Result
2:1
22/02/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 8
- Referee: Roldan W. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 1.34 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (251/325) | 82% (353/433) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 1.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 1.45 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (251/325) | 82% (353/433) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (43/71) | 50% (21/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (60/104) | 72% (117/163) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 0% (0/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.50 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 29 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 26 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.45 | 1.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.45 | -0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 22', 1 - 0, Moreno V. ⚽, Fernandez O. (A),
- 28', Mosquera A. 🟨,
- 29', 1 - 1, Muriel L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Velasquez Y. ↓, Bustos N. ↑,
- 54', Moreno V. ↓, Scarpeta Silgado I. R. ↑,
- 54', Torres D. ↓, Murillo E. ↑,
- 57', 2 - 1, Scarpeta Silgado I. R. ⚽, Fernandez O. (A),
- 65', Barrios C. ↓, Sarmiento J. ↑,
- 65', Muriel L. ↓, Paiva G. ↑,
- 68', Palacios H. 🟨,
- 68', Canchimbo J. ↓, Gutierrez T. ↑,
- 75', Mosquera E. ↓, Palacios L. ↑,
- 75', Murillo E. ↓, Zapata A. ↑,
- 77', Gutierrez T. 🟨,
- 85', Torres J. 🟨,
- 85', Rivas J. ↓, Villarreal D. ↑,
- 85', Celis G. ↓, Rios J. ↑,
- 90', Palacios H. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/mvr4529m
Chances of winning
Independiente Santa Fe
44.9% | Draw
29.7% | Junior Barranquilla
25.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Independiente Santa Fe - Junior Barranquilla Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.08 ↑
(2.03) |
3.14 ↓
(3.5) |
3.69 ↑
(3.42) |
7%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Independiente Santa Fe - Junior Barranquilla?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Santa Fe will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Junior will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santa Fe: 15.4% – 84.6%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Santa Fe (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.25 - Junior (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Santa Fe (votes: 1 - 50%). Junior (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 3.
- Santa Fe has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Junior is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Recently, Santa Fe has had a series of away games.
- Santa Fe could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 7 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:19. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santa Fe won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:4. (average 1.2:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Santa Fe won against Junior Barranquilla?
Independiente Santa Fe has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Junior Barranquilla won against Independiente Santa Fe?
Junior Barranquilla has won 0 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Santa Fe - Junior Barranquilla were as follows:
21.01.2026
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Junior Barranquilla
3:0
15.01.2026
Junior Barranquilla
-
Independiente Santa Fe
1:1
29.10.2025
Junior Barranquilla
-
Independiente Santa Fe
1:2
10.05.2025
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Junior Barranquilla
2:1
01.09.2024
Junior Barranquilla
-
Independiente Santa Fe
1:1
Latest results of Independiente Santa Fe
Latest results of Junior Barranquilla
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | 20 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior ✔ | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | 7 | 35 |
| 3 | Dep. Pasto ✔ | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 34 |
| 4 | America De Cali ✔ | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | 10 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas ✔ | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | 9 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima ✔ | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | 10 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 29 |
| 8 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | 4 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 26 |
| 11 | Ind. Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
| 12 | Aguilas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | 6 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 |
| 20 | Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Junior is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Dep. Pasto is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
America De Cali is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Once Caldas is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
