Result
4:1
04/10/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 3. Liga - Round 10
- Referee: Uhrig B. H. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Germany | Magenta Sport |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 22', 1 - 0, Costly M. ⚽, Deichmann Y. (A),
- 32', 1 - 1, Dajaku L. (Pen),
- 41', Scholz J. ↓, Decker E. ↑,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Brandt M. ↓, Westermeier B. ↑,
- 46', Becker A. ↓, Roser L. ↑,
- 50', Wittmann S. 🟨,
- 52', 2 - 1, Lorenz S. ⚽,
- 60', Dajaku L. ↓, Anderson Brown E. ↑,
- 61', Chessa D. ↓, Besong P. ↑,
- 61', Rosenlocher L. ↓, Sekulovic D. ↑,
- 66', Anderson Brown E. 🟨,
- 75', Loder E. ↓, Scholze M. ↑,
- 83', David J. 🟨,
- 85', Deichmann Y. ↓, Maljojoki J. ↑,
- 87', 3 - 1, Costly M. ⚽, Plath M. (A),
- 90+1', 4 - 1, Sekulovic D. ⚽, Costly M. (A),
Chances of winning
Ingolstadt
40.4% | Draw
25.3% | Ulm 1846
34.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ingolstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ingolstadt's form might have worsened.Ulm 1846 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ulm 1846's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ingolstadt, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulm 1846 than the current prediction. (-5%)
Ingolstadt - Ulm 1846 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.3 ↑
(1.98) |
3.71 ↓
(3.78) |
2.77 ↓
(3.19) |
6.6%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Ingolstadt - Ulm 1846?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Ingolstadt will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Ulm will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ingolstadt: 8% – 64.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ulm (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 9).
- In recent matches, Ingolstadt has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Ulm is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Ingolstadt is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ingolstadt won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ingolstadt won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Ingolstadt won against Ulm 1846?
Ingolstadt has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ulm 1846 won against Ingolstadt?
Ulm 1846 has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ingolstadt - Ulm 1846 were as follows:
27.07.2024
Ingolstadt
-
Ulm 1846
1:1
24.02.2024
Ulm 1846
-
Ingolstadt
0:0
30.09.2023
Ingolstadt
-
Ulm 1846
4:0
Latest results of Ingolstadt
Latest results of Ulm 1846
German 3 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | VfL Osnabruck | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 43:25 | 18 | 52 |
| 2 | Cottbus | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 53:39 | 14 | 52 |
| 3 | Duisburg | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 47:33 | 14 | 47 |
| 4 | Verl | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 61:40 | 21 | 45 |
| 5 | Munich 1860 | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 44:37 | 7 | 45 |
| 6 | Wehen | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 40:29 | 11 | 44 |
| 7 | Hansa Rostock | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 44:30 | 14 | 43 |
| 8 | RW Essen | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 50:44 | 6 | 43 |
| 9 | Mannheim | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 43:47 | -4 | 39 |
| 10 | Viktoria Koln | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 38:35 | 3 | 38 |
| 11 | Ingolstadt | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 45:36 | 9 | 36 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim II | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 51:48 | 3 | 35 |
| 13 | Regensburg | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 36:40 | -4 | 35 |
| 14 | Stuttgart II | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 33:44 | -11 | 35 |
| 15 | Alemannia Aachen | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 43:48 | -5 | 32 |
| 16 | Saarbrucken | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 35:38 | -3 | 29 |
| 17 | Aue | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 30:45 | -15 | 24 |
| 18 | Ulm | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 35:55 | -20 | 24 |
| 19 | TSV Havelse | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 36:56 | -20 | 20 |
| 20 | Schweinfurt | 26 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 23:61 | -38 | 11 |
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
Relegation
