Inter Milan vs Barcelona – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Inter Milan - Barcelona
Result
4:3 ET
06/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
afghanistanAfghanistanAsr TV, Meraj Sport, Solh Sports 1
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 1, New World Sport 4, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN, TNT
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, Q Arena Asia, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Sport Austria 1
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 1, Pickx+ Sports 1, RTL Club, RTL Play
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, SBT, Sky+, TNT Sports, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+, ESPN Premium
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
cote-d-ivoireCote-d-ivoireNCI
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Nova Sport 6
denmarkDenmarkTV3+, Viaplay
europeEuropeGo3 Sport Open Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1, V Sport Ultra
franceFranceCANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1, New World TV
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1, Silk Universal
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 1
haitiHaitiCanal+ Sport 1
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
hungaryHungaryRTL, RTL+
icelandIcelandViaplay, Vodafone Sport
indiaIndiaSony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Sony Sports TEN 3, Sony Sports TEN 4
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
iranIranAio Sport, Persiana Sports
irelandIrelandShabake 3
israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Uno, TV8
japanJapanWowow Live
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Sports 3
maltaMaltaTSN Malta 6
mexicoMexicoMAX, TNT Go, TNT Sports
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, SportsMax Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
pakistanPakistanTapmad
papua-new-guineaPapua-new-guineaTVWan Sports
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Sports 1
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 1
portugalPortugalSport TV5
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaKanal A, Voyo
south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South, ViX Latin America
spainSpainLaLiga TV Bar, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+
swedenSwedenTV6, Viaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 1
thailandThailandAIS PLAY
turkeyTurkeyTabii, TRT 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesNeto
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS, Fubo Sports Network, Paramount+, SiriusXM FC, Sport 24 At Sea, TUDN, Univision
uzbekistanUzbekistanZor TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Football, TV 360
worldWorldVIX App

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.282.74
Ball Possession
29%71%
Total shots
1322
Shots on target
710
Big Chances
46
Corner Kicks
57
Passes
66% (208/313)87% (666/768)
Yellow Cards
53
Expected Goals (xG)
2.282.74
xG on target (xGOT)
4.193.95
Total shots
1322
Shots on target
710
Shots off target
310
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
1014
Shots outside the Box
38
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
46
Corner Kicks
57
Touches in opposition box
3149
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
92
Free Kicks
1014
Passes
66% (208/313)87% (666/768)
Long passes
35% (23/66)63% (26/41)
Passes in final third
54% (49/90)76% (196/258)
Crosses
50% (7/14)16% (6/37)
Expected assists (xA)
1.622.22
Throw-ins
2731
Fouls
1410
Tackles
70% (21/30)43% (9/21)
Duels won
6470
Clearances
5123
Interceptions
1413
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
73
xGOT faced
3.954.19
Goals prevented
0.950.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 21', 1 - 0, Martinez L. , Dumfries D. (A),
  • 36', Calhanoglu H. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 2 - 0, Calhanoglu H. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 51', Martinez I. 🟨,
  • 54', 2 - 1, Garcia E. , Martin G. (A),
  • 55', Dimarco F. , Carlos Augusto ,
  • 60', 2 - 2, Olmo D. , Martin G. (A),
  • 68', Mkhitaryan H. 🟨,
  • 71', Bisseck Y. , Darmian M. ,
  • 71', Martinez L. , Taremi M. ,
  • 76', Martinez I. , Araujo R. ,
  • 79', Mkhitaryan H. , Frattesi D. ,
  • 79', Calhanoglu H. , Zielinski P. ,
  • 83', Olmo D. , Lopez F. ,
  • 87', 2 - 3, Raphinha , Pedri (A),
  • 90+1', Torres F. , Lewandowski R. ,
  • 90+3', 3 - 3, Acerbi F. , Dumfries D. (A),
  • 90+5', Victor P. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Acerbi F. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Flick H. 🟨,
  • Extra Time (1 - 0)
  • 91', Carlos Augusto 🟨,
  • 98', Garcia E. , Fort H. ,
  • 99', 4 - 3, Frattesi D. , Taremi M. (A),
  • 106', Cubarsi P. , Gavi ,
  • 106', Pedri , Victor P. ,
  • 108', Dumfries D. , de Vrij S. ,
  • 118', Bastoni A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Inter Milan
36%
Draw
25.7%
Barcelona
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.5% 24.2% 44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5% 25% 43%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Inter Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • Barcelona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barcelona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • Inter Milan - Barcelona Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.66
    (3.06)
    3.74
    (3.99)
    2.52
    (2.17)
    4.1%
    (3.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Inter Milan - Barcelona?
  • Users Predictions: 98 users predict this event. Inter will win (votes: 26 - 26.5%). Barcelona will win (votes: 46 - 46.9%). It will Tie (votes: 26 - 26.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Barcelona: 37%56.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Inter (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Barcelona (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 9 - 75%).
    • TQ, OT - Barcelona (votes: 9 - 81.8%).
    • BTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%).
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 75%).
    • AH 0 - Inter (votes: 5 - 83.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 3-3. 2nd leg./
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inter won 1.
    • Inter is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Barcelona is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Recently, Barcelona has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Inter: Carboni V. (Knee Injury) Correa J. (Inactive) Pavard B. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Barcelona: Balde A. (Hamstring Injury) Bernal M. (Knee Injury) Casado M. (Knee Injury) Kounde J. (Muscle Injury) Torre P. (Knee Injury) ter Stegen M. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Inter: De Pieri G. (Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Inter won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.4:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Inter won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Inter Milan - Barcelona were as follows:
    30.04.2025 Barcelona - Inter Milan 3:3
    12.10.2022 Barcelona - Inter Milan 3:3
    04.10.2022 Inter Milan - Barcelona 1:0
    Latest results of Inter Milan
    03.05.2025 Inter Milan - Verona 1:0
    30.04.2025 Barcelona - Inter Milan 3:3
    27.04.2025 Inter Milan - Roma 0:1
    23.04.2025 Inter Milan - Milan 0:3
    20.04.2025 Bologna - Inter Milan 1:0
    Latest results of Barcelona
    03.05.2025 Valladolid - Barcelona 1:2
    30.04.2025 Barcelona - Inter Milan 3:3
    26.04.2025 Barcelona - Real Madrid 3:2
    22.04.2025 Barcelona - Mallorca 1:0
    19.04.2025 Barcelona - Celta de Vigo 4:3
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    2Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    3FC CopenhagenBye
    4DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    5Lech PoznanBye
    6EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    7VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    8ByeCrvena zvezda
    9KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    10O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Slovan BratislavaBye
    12VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    13RijekaBye
    14LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    15NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    16ByeFerencvaros
    17ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    18ByeDyn. Kyiv
    19PafosBye
    20ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    21TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    22FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    23ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    24ByeQarabag
    25BrannBye
    26ByeSalzburg
    28ByeClub Brugge KV
    29RangersBye
    30ByePanathinaikos
    31PlzenBye
    32ByeServette
    33NiceBye
    36ByeBenfica
    37FeyenoordBye
    40ByeFenerbahce

    Quarter-finals
    1RFSMalmo FF0 : 1, 1 : 4
    2FC CopenhagenDrita1 : 0, 2 : 0
    3Lech PoznanBreidablik1 : 0, 7 : 1
    4Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda1 : 5, 0 : 1
    5KuPSKairat Almaty0 : 3, 2 : 0
    6Slovan BratislavaZrinjski2 : 2, 4 : 0
    7RijekaLudogorets1 : 3, 0 : 0
    8NoahFerencvaros3 : 4, 1 : 2
    9HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3, 0 : 3
    10PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 0, 1 : 1
    11ShkendijaFCSB2 : 1, 1 : 0
    12ShelbourneQarabag0 : 1, 0 : 3
    13BrannSalzburg1 : 1, 1 : 4
    14ByeClub Brugge KV
    15RangersPanathinaikos1 : 1, 2 : 0
    16PlzenServette3 : 1, 0 : 1
    17NiceBye
    18ByeBenfica
    19FeyenoordBye
    20ByeFenerbahce

    Semi-finals
    1Malmo FFFC Copenhagen
    2Lech PoznanCrvena zvezda
    3Kairat AlmatySlovan Bratislava
    4LudogoretsFerencvaros
    5Dyn. KyivPafos
    6ShkendijaQarabag
    7SalzburgClub Brugge KV
    8RangersPlzen
    9NiceBenfica
    10FeyenoordFenerbahce