Inter Milan vs River Plate – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football FIFA Club World Cup
Football FIFA Club World Cup Inter Milan - River Plate
Result
2:0
25/06/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FIFA Club World Cup - Round 3
  • Referee: Tantashev I. (Uzb)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.040.59
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
83% (341/413)76% (244/322)
Yellow Cards
44
Red Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
2.040.59
xG on target (xGOT)
0.720.20
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
96
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
125
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
3324
Accurate through passes
30
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
2018
Passes
83% (341/413)76% (244/322)
Long passes
40% (22/55)60% (31/52)
Passes in final third
77% (85/110)49% (42/85)
Crosses
28% (5/18)35% (7/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.930.72
Throw-ins
1418
Fouls
1820
Tackles
45% (9/20)47% (8/17)
Duels won
6654
Clearances
1917
Interceptions
911
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.200.72
Goals prevented
0.20-1.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Montiel G. 🟨,
  • 30', Bastoni A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 56', Meza M. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
  • 61', Aliendro R. ↓, Lanzini M. ↑,
  • 62', Kranevitter M. ↓, Costantini G. ↑,
  • 62', Barella N. ↓, Sucic P. ↑,
  • 63', Dimarco F. ↓, Carlos Augusto ↑,
  • 66', Martinez Quarta L. 🟥,
  • 68', Colidio F. ↓, Pezzella G. ↑,
  • 72', 1 - 0, Esposito F. ⚽, Sucic P. (A),
  • 73', Martinez L. ↓, Carboni V. ↑,
  • 77', Carlos Augusto 🟨,
  • 77', Lanzini M. 🟨,
  • 83', Darmian M. ↓, de Vrij S. ↑,
  • 83', Esposito F. ↓, Esposito Se. ↑,
  • 85', Esposito Se. 🟨,
  • 87', Pezzella G. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 2 - 0, Bastoni A. ⚽,
  • 90+3', Montiel G. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Dumfries D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Inter Milan
44.2%		Draw
30.6%		River Plate
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56% 22.7% 21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1% 25.6% 18.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Inter Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Inter Milan's form might have worsened.
  • River Plate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (+18.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Inter Milan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for River Plate, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Inter Milan - River Plate Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.19 ↑
    (1.69)    		 3.14 ↓
    (4.18)    		 3.87 ↓
    (4.46)    		 3.4%
    (5.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Inter Milan - River Plate?
  • Users Predictions: 76 users predict this event. Inter will win (votes: 24 - 31.6%). River Plate will win (votes: 8 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 44 - 57.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 46.8% – 69%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 24 high ROI users predict this event. Inter (votes: 4 - 16.7%). River Plate (votes: 3 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 17 - 70.8%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 13 - 92.9%).
    • DC - River Plate (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Recently, River Plate has had a series of home games.
    • Inter could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Inter: Bisseck Y. (Thigh Injury) Pavard B. (Ankle Injury) Taremi M. (Inactive) Zielinski P. (Calf Injury)
    • There will not play in River Plate: Castano K. (Red Card) Driussi S. (Ankle Injury) Ruberto A. (Knee Injury) Simon S. (Muscle Injury)
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Inter Milan
    21.06.2025 Inter Milan - Urawa Red Diamonds 2:1 ✺
    17.06.2025 Monterrey - Inter Milan 1:1 ✺
    31.05.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Inter Milan 5:0 ✺
    23.05.2025 Como - Inter Milan 0:2 ✺
    18.05.2025 Inter Milan - Lazio 2:2 ✺
    Latest results of River Plate
    21.06.2025 River Plate - Monterrey 0:0 ✺
    17.06.2025 River Plate - Urawa Red Diamonds 3:1 ✺
    27.05.2025 River Plate - Universitario de Deportes 1:1 ✺
    20.05.2025 River Plate - Platense 1:2 ✺
    15.05.2025 River Plate - Independiente del Valle 6:2 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Inter (E1)Fluminense (F2)0 : 2
    2Manchester City (G1)Al Hilal (H2)3 : 4
    3Palmeiras (A1)Botafogo RJ (B2)1 : 0
    4Benfica (C1)Chelsea (D2)1 : 4
    5PSG (B1)Inter Miami (A2)4 : 0
    6Flamengo RJ (D1)Bayern Munich (C2)2 : 4
    7Real Madrid (H1)Juventus (G2)1 : 0
    8Dortmund (F1)Monterrey (E2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Fluminense (F2)Al Hilal (H2)2 : 1
    2Palmeiras (A1)Chelsea (D2)1 : 2
    3PSG (B1)Bayern Munich (C2)2 : 0
    4Real Madrid (H1)Dortmund (F1)3 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Fluminense (F2)Chelsea (D2)0 : 2
    2PSG (B1)Real Madrid (H1)4 : 0

    Final
    1Chelsea (D2)PSG (B1)3 : 0
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