Roma vs Inter Milan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
12/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Coppa Italia Women - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus
austriaAustriaDAZN
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDirecTV Sports
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoFOX One, Fox Sports
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean
peruPeruDirecTV Sports
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus, Inter

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.041.29
Ball possession
39%61%
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
95
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
92
Passes
72% (216/301)83% (396/478)
Yellow cards
02
Expected goals (xG)
1.041.29
xG on target (xGOT)
2.181.22
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
95
Shots off target
54
Blocked shots
12
Shots inside the box
97
Shots outside the box
64
Hit the woodwork
20
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
92
Touches in opposition box
2224
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
16
Free kicks
76
Passes
72% (216/301)83% (396/478)
Long passes
21% (10/47)63% (42/67)
Passes in final third
67% (58/86)60% (76/127)
Crosses
28% (5/18)33% (5/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.901.05
Throw ins
2420
Fouls
67
Tackles
71% (5/7)64% (7/11)
Duels won
2226
Clearances
2718
Interceptions
611
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
48
xGOT faced
1.222.18
Goals prevented
0.221.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 30', Milinkovic M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Tomaselli M. , Vilhjalmsdottir K. ,
  • 52', 1 - 0, Babajide R. ,
  • 58', Merlo B. , Schough O. ,
  • 62', Bergamaschi V. , Thogersen F. ,
  • 64', Ivana 🟨,
  • 77', Babajide R. , Haavi E. ,
  • 77', Viens E. , Brennskag-Dorsin F. ,
  • 77', Detruyer M. , Tomasevic M. ,
  • 88', 1 - 1, Wullaert T. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 88', Csiki A. , Ventriglia R. ,
  • 90+3', Polli E. , Csiszar H. ,

Chances of winning


Roma
39.2%
Draw
26.8%
Inter Milan
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.7% 27% 28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1% 26.8% 28%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Roma's form might have worsened.
  • Inter Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Inter Milan's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Roma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Inter Milan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Roma - Inter Milan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (2.01)
    3.37
    (3.33)
    2.65
    (3.17)
    11%
    (11.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Roma - Inter Milan?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Roma (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Roma (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Roma (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • First leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roma won 3.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • In this match, Roma is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Roma will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Roma won 13 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 40:24. (average 2.1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Roma won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:12. (average 2.6:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Roma - Inter Milan were as follows:
    22.02.2026 Inter Milan - Roma 0:1
    02.11.2025 Roma - Inter Milan 3:0
    19.04.2025 Inter Milan - Roma 3:0
    09.03.2025 Roma - Inter Milan 2:1
    12.01.2025 Roma - Inter Milan 1:2
    Latest results of Roma
    22.02.2026 Inter Milan - Roma 0:1
    15.02.2026 Roma - Napoli 2:2
    08.02.2026 Roma - Milan 1:0
    01.02.2026 Parma - Roma 3:3
    28.01.2026 Roma - Lazio 3:0
    Latest results of Inter Milan
    22.02.2026 Inter Milan - Roma 0:1
    15.02.2026 Parma - Inter Milan 2:3
    08.02.2026 Inter Milan - Fiorentina 3:0
    01.02.2026 Ternana - Inter Milan 0:1
    28.01.2026 Inter Milan - Ternana 4:0
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/32-finals
    1Cesena WBye
    2ByeBrescia W
    4ByeJuventus W
    5Napoli WBye
    6Venezia WFrosinone W1 : 0
    8ByeSassuolo W
    9Genoa WBye
    10ByeVerona W
    12ByeAC Milan W
    13Bologna WBye
    14ByeFreedom W
    16ByeFiorentina W
    17Lumezzane WBye
    18ByeArezzo W
    20ByeAS Roma W
    21Parma WBye
    22ByeSan Marino Academy W
    24ByeLazio W
    25Trastevere Calcio WVicenza W3 : 2
    26ByeTernana W
    28ByeComo W
    29Como WBye
    30ByeRES Roma W
    32ByeInter W

    1/16-finals
    1Cesena WBrescia W2 : 1
    2ByeJuventus W
    3Napoli WVenezia W5 : 1
    4ByeSassuolo W
    5Genoa WVerona W4 : 0
    6ByeAC Milan W
    7Bologna WFreedom W4 : 3
    8ByeFiorentina W
    9Lumezzane WArezzo W1 : 0
    10ByeAS Roma W
    11Parma WSan Marino Academy W4 : 0
    12ByeLazio W
    13Trastevere Calcio WTernana W0 : 3
    14ByeComo W
    15Como WRES Roma W3 : 2
    16ByeInter W

    1/8-finals
    1Cesena WJuventus W1 : 7
    2Napoli WSassuolo W3 : 1
    3Genoa WAC Milan W2 : 3
    4Bologna WFiorentina W1 : 2
    5Lumezzane WAS Roma W1 : 4
    6Parma WLazio W0 : 1
    7Ternana WComo W2 : 1
    8Como WInter W1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Juventus WNapoli W2 : 1, 2 : 1
    2AC Milan WFiorentina W0 : 1, 1 : 1
    3AS Roma WLazio W3 : 0, 0 : 0
    4Ternana WInter W0 : 4, 0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Juventus WFiorentina W2 : 0
    2AS Roma WInter W1 : 1

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2