Avenida vs Inter Santa Maria – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
07/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Gaucho - Relegation - Round 6

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.751.01
Ball possession
68%32%
Total shots
2211
Shots on target
44
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
81
Passes
85% (383/448)70% (155/222)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
1.751.01
xG on target (xGOT)
0.690.30
Total shots
2211
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
105
Blocked shots
82
Shots inside the box
167
Shots outside the box
64
Hit the woodwork
02
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
81
Touches in opposition box
3810
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free kicks
1212
Passes
85% (383/448)70% (155/222)
Long passes
52% (23/44)46% (24/52)
Passes in final third
75% (141/187)55% (30/55)
Crosses
26% (15/57)17% (1/6)
Expected assists (xA)
2.020.10
Throw ins
2915
Fouls
1212
Tackles
77% (10/13)67% (8/12)
Duels won
5656
Clearances
858
Interceptions
511
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
34
xGOT faced
0.300.69
Goals prevented
0.300.69

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Itaqui , Noal E. ,
  • 56', Xandy , Matheus Rodrigues ,
  • 56', Adryel Itaqui , Yuri ,
  • 57', Marcao 🟨,
  • 62', Guedes I. , Correa L. C. ,
  • 64', Cristian Lessa , Tinga ,
  • 74', Emerson Junior , Ze Pedro ,
  • 74', Marquinhos , Callegaro P. ,
  • 74', Rodrigo Milanez , Jo ,
  • 80', Callegaro P. 🟨,
  • 82', Ze Pedro 🟨,
  • 87', Wilson Junior , Fred ,

Chances of winning


Avenida
69.7%
Draw
20.7%
Inter Santa Maria
9.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48% 30.2% 21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 29.8% 21.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Avenida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Avenida's performance.
  • Inter Santa Maria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Inter Santa Maria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avenida than the current prediction. (-21%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Avenida that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Santa Maria than the current prediction. (+11.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Inter Santa Maria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Avenida - Inter Santa Maria Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.32
    (1.95)
    4.38
    (3.09)
    9.89
    (4.29)
    9%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Avenida - Inter Santa Maria?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Inter SM (2.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Inter SM (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avenida won 2.
    • Avenida has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Inter SM is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Avenida is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Avenida won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 0.7:0.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Avenida won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Avenida - Inter Santa Maria were as follows:
    05.02.2026 Inter Santa Maria - Avenida 1:1
    31.01.2026 Inter Santa Maria - Avenida 1:0
    Latest results of Avenida
    28.02.2026 Guarany de Bagé - Avenida 1:1
    23.02.2026 Monsoon - Avenida 1:1
    14.02.2026 Avenida - Monsoon 1:1
    09.02.2026 Avenida - Guarany de Bagé 2:1
    Latest results of Inter Santa Maria
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1InternacionalSao Luiz3 : 1
    2SER CaxiasYpiranga FC0 : 2
    3JuventudeEC Sao Jose3 : 2
    4GremioNovo Hamburgo1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1InternacionalYpiranga FC4 : 0, 3 : 0
    2JuventudeGremio1 : 2, 1 : 1

    Final
    1InternacionalGremio1 : 1, 0 : 3