Result
0:1
21/02/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Gaucho - Relegation - Round 4
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.99 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (215/309) | 63% (165/264) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.99 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.90 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (215/309) | 63% (165/264) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (21/62) | 25% (16/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (59/113) | 56% (54/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (5/25) | 9% (1/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.38 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 39 | 33 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (14/18) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.87 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.10 | 0.87 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Bruno Cardoso ↓, Jean Martim ↑,
- 40', Tairone 🟨,
- 45+1', Murilo 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 52', Jarro Pedroso ↓, Joao Felipe ↑,
- 63', Tony Junior ↓, Adailson ↑,
- 67', Vitor Junior ↓, Wilson Junior ↑,
- 73', Mateus Santana ↓, Julio Simas ↑,
- 77', Marquinhos ↓, Talles ↑,
- 86', 0 - 1, Welder ⚽,
- 90', Vitor Oliveira 🟨,
Chances of winning
Inter Santa Maria
40.6% | Draw
31.7% | Guarany de Bagé
27.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Inter Santa Maria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Guarany de Bagé has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Santa Maria than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarany de Bagé than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Inter Santa Maria - Guarany de Bagé Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↓
(2.32) |
2.89 ↑
(2.8) |
3.32 ↑
(3.06) |
8.7%
(11.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Inter Santa Maria - Guarany de Bagé?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Inter SM (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inter SM won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Inter SM will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Inter SM won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.3:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Inter SM won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Inter Santa Maria won against Guarany de Bagé?
Inter Santa Maria has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guarany de Bagé won against Inter Santa Maria?
Guarany de Bagé has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Inter Santa Maria - Guarany de Bagé were as follows:
16.02.2026
Guarany de Bagé
-
Inter Santa Maria
3:2
24.01.2026
Guarany de Bagé
-
Inter Santa Maria
1:0
02.07.2023
Inter Santa Maria
-
Guarany de Bagé
1:1
Latest results of Inter Santa Maria
Latest results of Guarany de Bagé
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Internacional | Sao Luiz | 3 : 1 |
| 2 | SER Caxias | Ypiranga FC | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Juventude | EC Sao Jose | 3 : 2 |
| 4 | Gremio | Novo Hamburgo | 1 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Internacional | Ypiranga FC | 4 : 0, 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Juventude | Gremio | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
Final
