Intercity vs Mérida AD – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2 Intercity - Mérida AD
Result
3:1
15/02/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 24
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFEF TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Goal Attempts
711
Shots on Goal
58
Shots off Goal
23
Corner Kicks
12
Goalkeeper Saves
72
Yellow Cards
33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Locadia J. ,
  • 16', Sanchez E. 🟨,
  • 28', 2 - 0, Locadia J. , Burlamaqui A. (A),
  • 35', Sanchez E. , Jimenez N. ,
  • 35', Bonaque M. , Alvaro J. ,
  • 35', Carvalho M. , Nabian H. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 49', 3 - 0, Locadia J. , Martinez B. (A),
  • 57', Ganet P. , Miki ,
  • 58', 3 - 1, Doncel C. ,
  • 61', Nabian H. 🟨,
  • 67', Gracia J. 🟨,
  • 68', 🟨,
  • 69', Sito , Llonch P. ,
  • 69', Gracia J. , Modeste A. ,
  • 78', Doncel C. , Mizzian M. ,
  • 90', Locadia J. , Codina M. ,
  • 90', Martinez B. , Gonzalez N. ,
  • 90+5', 🟨,
  • 90+7', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Intercity
40.8%
Draw
31%
Mérida AD
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.3% 30.6% 41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6% 29.9% 42.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Intercity has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Intercity's performance.
  • Mérida AD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mérida AD might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Intercity than the current prediction. (-13.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Intercity that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (+14%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mérida AD could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Intercity - Mérida AD Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (3.19)
    2.97
    (2.95)
    3.25
    (2.2)
    9%
    (10.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).
    • Intercity is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Mérida AD is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Mérida AD could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Intercity will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Intercity won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1:6 (average 0.3:2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Intercity won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Intercity - Mérida AD were as follows:
    23.11.2024 Mérida AD - Intercity 2:1
    11.05.2024 Mérida AD - Intercity 3:0
    02.12.2023 Intercity - Mérida AD 0:1
    Latest results of Intercity
    08.02.2025 Sevilla B - Intercity 1:0
    31.01.2025 Intercity - Marbella 0:0
    26.01.2025 Intercity - Betis B 1:1
    19.01.2025 Algeciras - Intercity 1:0
    Latest results of Mérida AD
    08.02.2025 Mérida AD - Alcorcón 2:1
    01.02.2025 Betis B - Mérida AD 0:4
    26.01.2025 Ibiza - Mérida AD 3:0
    19.01.2025 Mérida AD - Marbella 4:2
    10.01.2025 Sevilla B - Mérida AD 1:0
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1AntequeraPonferradina1 : 2, 1 : 0
    2AndorraUD Ibiza1 : 0, 2 : 0
    3GimnasticMurcia1 : 0, 1 : 1
    4Merida ADReal Sociedad B1 : 0, 0 : 1

    Final
    1PonferradinaAndorra0 : 1, 1 : 1
    2GimnasticReal Sociedad B2 : 1, 1 : 3