Result
2:2
19/02/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Paulista - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, UOL Play, Zapping |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 1.73 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 73% | 27% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 20 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 21 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 39 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (429/504) | 71% (125/176) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 68% (98/144) | 60% (42/70) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (10/32) | 6% (1/16) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (17/24) | 70% (16/23) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 25 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 10', Marlon 🟨,
- 28', Robles Fuentes A. ↓, Fabio Sanches ↑,
- 30', 0 - 1, Ruan Ribeiro ⚽,
- 38', 0 - 2, Ruan Ribeiro ⚽, Ramon (A),
- 40', Marlon ↓, Flavio ↑,
- 41', Ramon 🟨,
- 45+2', Wesley Dias 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Wesley Dias ↓, Marco Antonio ↑,
- 46', Ramon ↓, Rafael Silva ↑,
- 48', 1 - 2, Davi Gomes ⚽,
- 54', Ruan Ribeiro 🟨,
- 57', Pablo ↓, Bernardo ↑,
- 59', Gabriel Silva ↓, Robinho ↑,
- 59', Arthur Korek ↓, Ademilson ↑,
- 62', Igo Gabriel 🟨,
- 78', Albano ↓, Mauricio ↑,
- 78', Ruan Ribeiro ↓, Alex Sandro ↑,
- 84', Rafael Vaz ↓, Willen Mota ↑,
- 84', Lucas Buchecha 🟨,
- 87', Netinho 🟨,
- 90', 2 - 2, Ademilson (Pen),
- 90+1', Diogo Batista 🟥,
Chances of winning
Água Santa
41.9% | Draw
29.6% | Internacional de Limeira
28.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Água Santa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Água Santa's performance.Internacional de Limeira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Internacional de Limeira might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Água Santa than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Água Santa that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Internacional de Limeira than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Internacional de Limeira could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Água Santa - Internacional de Limeira Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.22 ↓
(2.55) |
3.12 ↑
(3.04) |
3.25 ↑
(2.68) |
7.7%
(9.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Água Santa - Internacional de Limeira?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Água Santa will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Inter de Limeira will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.
- Água Santa will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Água Santa won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1:0.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Água Santa won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Água Santa won against Internacional de Limeira?
Água Santa has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Internacional de Limeira won against Água Santa?
Internacional de Limeira has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Água Santa - Internacional de Limeira were as follows:
06.07.2024
Água Santa
-
Internacional de Limeira
1:0
11.05.2024
Internacional de Limeira
-
Água Santa
1:0
18.02.2024
Água Santa
-
Internacional de Limeira
2:1
18.02.2023
Internacional de Limeira
-
Água Santa
0:1
Latest results of Água Santa
Latest results of Internacional de Limeira
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Sao Bernardo | Palmeiras | 0 : 3 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | Novorizontino | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Corinthians | Mirassol | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Santos | Bragantino | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Palmeiras | Sao Paulo | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Corinthians | Santos | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Palmeiras | Corinthians | 0 : 0, 0 : 1 |
