Atlético Mineiro vs Internacional RS – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/03/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

MRV Arena (Belo Horizonte).

Serie A Betano - Round 5
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Flow Eventos, Flow Sports
Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
Mexico	Azteca Deportes, Fanatiz
North-central-america	Flow Sports 1 Caribbean
Paraguay	Flow Eventos
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Uruguay	Flow
Usa	Fanatiz
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.68	1.82
Ball possession
35%	65%
Total shots
7	19
Shots on target
3	7
Big chances
2	2
Corner kicks
2	14
Passes
73% (208/285)	84% (419/499)
Yellow cards
2	2
Expected goals (xG)
0.68	1.82
xG on target (xGOT)
0.36	1.80
Total shots
7	19
Shots on target
3	7
Shots off target
4	8
Blocked shots
0	4
Shots inside the box
6	10
Shots outside the box
1	9
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
2	2
Corner kicks
2	14
Touches in opposition box
12	36
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
2	4
Free kicks
20	16
Passes
73% (208/285)	84% (419/499)
Long passes
38% (26/69)	44% (16/36)
Passes in final third
57% (45/79)	69% (118/170)
Crosses
40% (2/5)	19% (6/31)
Expected assists (xA)
0.52	2.28
Throw ins
15	23
Fouls
16	20
Tackles
67% (12/18)	74% (14/19)
Duels won
61	61
Clearances
37	12
Interceptions
9	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
7	2
xGOT faced
1.80	0.36
Goals prevented
1.80	-0.64

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Cuello ⚽, Hulk (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bruno Gomes ↓, Bruno Tabata ↑,
50', Pezzolano P. 🟨,
58', Gustavo Scarpa ↓, Minda A. ↑,
67', Alerrandro ↓, Borre R. ↑,
68', Carbonero J. ↓, Kayky ↑,
70', Cassierra M. ↓, Reinier ↑,
70', Ruan Tressoldi ↓, Preciado A. ↑,
75', Cuello ↓, Dudu ↑,
75', Victor Hugo ↓, Perez T. ↑,
79', Ruan Tressoldi 🟨,
84', Paulinho Paula ↓, Bruno Henrique ↑,
84', Alan Patrick ↓, Vitinho ↑,
90+3', Vitor Hugo 🟨,
90+6', Bernabei A. 🟨,
90+7', Victor Gabriel 🟨,

Chances of winning

Atlético Mineiro
46.3%

Draw
28.1%

Internacional RS
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

27%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

26.8%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Internacional RS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Atlético Mineiro - Internacional RS Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.93)	3.51 ↑ (3.46)	3.91 ↑ (3.8)	1.9% (7.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Atlético Mineiro - Internacional RS?

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Atlético MG will win (votes: 8 - 38.1%). Internacional will win (votes: 10 - 47.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Internacional: 26.2% – 69%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético MG (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Internacional (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Recently, Atlético MG has had a series of away games.
Atlético MG could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Atlético MG: Alexsander (Injury) Natanael (Red Card)
There are questionable in Internacional: Arhin B. (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:21. (average 1.4:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Atlético MG won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.6:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Internacional RS?

Atlético Mineiro has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Internacional RS won against Atlético Mineiro?

Internacional RS has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Mineiro - Internacional RS were as follows:

02.11.2025 Internacional RS - Atlético Mineiro 0:0

12.06.2025 Atlético Mineiro - Internacional RS 2:0

26.10.2024 Atlético Mineiro - Internacional RS 1:3

26.06.2024 Internacional RS - Atlético Mineiro 1:2

30.09.2023 Internacional RS - Atlético Mineiro 0:2

Latest results of Atlético Mineiro

08.03.2026 Cruzeiro - Atlético Mineiro 1:0 ✺

01.03.2026 América Mineiro - Atlético Mineiro 0:1 ✺

25.02.2026 Grêmio - Atlético Mineiro 2:1 ✺

22.02.2026 Atlético Mineiro - América Mineiro 1:1 ✺

14.02.2026 Itabirito - Atlético Mineiro 2:7 ✺

Latest results of Internacional RS

08.03.2026 Internacional RS - Grêmio 1:1 ✺

01.03.2026 Grêmio - Internacional RS 3:0 ✺

25.02.2026 Remo - Internacional RS 1:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Internacional RS - Ypiranga 4:0 ✺

15.02.2026 Ypiranga - Internacional RS 0:3 ✺

Brazilian Serie A Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sao Paulo	6	5	1	0	10:3	7	16
2	Palmeiras	6	4	1	1	14:7	7	13
3	Fluminense	6	4	1	1	10:6	4	13
4	Bahia	5	3	2	0	6:3	3	11
5	Flamengo RJ	5	3	1	1	9:4	5	10
6	Coritiba	6	3	1	2	8:6	2	10
7	Gremio	6	2	2	2	10:10	0	8
8	Corinthians	6	2	2	2	6:6	0	8
9	Bragantino	6	2	2	2	5:6	-1	8
10	Athletico-PR	5	2	1	2	6:6	0	7
11	Vitoria	5	2	1	2	7:8	-1	7
12	Chapecoense-SC	5	1	3	1	9:9	0	6
13	Mirassol	5	1	3	1	8:8	0	6
14	Santos	6	1	3	2	9:11	-2	6
15	Vasco	6	1	2	3	8:10	-2	5
16	Atletico-MG	6	1	2	3	7:10	-3	5
17	Botafogo RJ	4	1	0	3	7:9	-2	3
18	Remo	6	0	3	3	6:11	-5	3
19	Cruzeiro	6	0	3	3	7:14	-7	3
20	Internacional	6	0	2	4	3:8	-5	2

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