Result
0:1
15/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 0.85 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (302/380) | 78% (280/359) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 0.85 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.99 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (302/380) | 78% (280/359) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (28/60) | 25% (14/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (92/130) | 60% (42/70) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (9/36) | 33% (1/3) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.40 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 31 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (13/24) | 71% (17/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 66 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 54 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.41 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.01 | 0.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 23', 0 - 1, Willian Jose ⚽,
- 41', Paulinho Paula 🟨,
- 43', Ronaldo Strada 🟨,
- 45+3', Aguirre B. 🟨,
- 45+4', Luciano Juba 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Aguirre B. ↓, Bruno Gomes ↑,
- 56', Matheus Bahia ↓, Vitinho ↑,
- 57', Paulinho Paula ↓, Bruno Henrique ↑,
- 59', Rodrigo ↓, Michel Araujo ↑,
- 59', Willian Jose ↓, Dell ↑,
- 63', Victor Gabriel 🟨,
- 70', Olivera C. ↓, Ademir ↑,
- 70', Erick Pulga ↓, Sanabria M. ↑,
- 73', Alan Patrick ↓, Alerrandro ↑,
- 82', Ronaldo ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 85', Jean Lucas ↓, Caio Alexandre ↑,
Chances of winning
Internacional RS
45.5% | Draw
28.5% | Bahia
26.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Internacional RS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Internacional RS - Bahia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.31 ↑
(2.14) |
3.52 ↑
(3.2) |
3.74 ↑
(3.32) |
-1.6%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Internacional RS - Bahia?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Internacional will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Bahia will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Internacional: 35.9% – 97.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Internacional RS will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Internacional won 1.
- Internacional has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Bahia is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Bahia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Bahia has had a series of home games.
- Internacional could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Internacional: Villagra R.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Bahia: Caio Alexandre
(Muscle Injury)
Gilberto
(Illness)
Kanu
(Hamstring Injury)
Ruan Pablo
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Bahia: David Duarte
(Hamstring Injury)
Everton Ribeiro
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Internacional won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 30:17. (average 1.5:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Internacional won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:9. (average 1.9:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Internacional RS won against Bahia?
Internacional RS has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bahia won against Internacional RS?
Bahia has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Internacional RS - Bahia were as follows:
08.11.2025
Internacional RS
-
Bahia
2:2
22.10.2025
Bahia
-
Internacional RS
1:0
28.05.2025
Internacional RS
-
Bahia
2:1
03.04.2025
Bahia
-
Internacional RS
1:1
27.07.2024
Bahia
-
Internacional RS
1:1
Latest results of Internacional RS
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21:10 | 11 | 25 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:7 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Flamengo RJ | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:9 | 7 | 17 |
| 5 | Bahia | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 17 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 16 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | Atletico-MG | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | Botafogo RJ | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Gremio | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | Vasco | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 | Internacional | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 | Vitoria | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 | Santos | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 10 |
| 17 | Chapecoense-SC | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10:16 | -6 | 8 |
| 18 | Remo | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10:17 | -7 | 7 |
| 19 | Cruzeiro | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12:20 | -8 | 7 |
| 20 | Mirassol | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10:14 | -4 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
