Result
0:1
31/01/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Gaucho - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | SporTV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.26 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 22% | 78% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 54% (78/145) | 88% (492/557) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 1.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 54% (78/145) | 88% (492/557) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (18/54) | 62% (33/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 39% (20/51) | 74% (88/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 23% (5/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 0.86 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 44% (4/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.19 | 0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 10', Wellington Reis 🟨,
- 19', Mauricio Ribeiro 🟥,
- 23', Calyson ↓, Joilson ↑,
- 25', Douglas Skilo 🟨,
- 39', Marfo D. 🟨,
- 43', Marfo D. ↓, Thiago Maia ↑,
- 45+6', Alisson 🟨,
- 45+8', Villagra R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Alisson ↓, Pablo ↑,
- 46', Wellington Reis ↓, Jhonatan Ribeiro ↑,
- 46', Joao Victor ↓, Gustavo Prado ↑,
- 59', 0 - 1, Gustavo Prado ⚽,
- 64', Villagra R. ↓, Kauan Alves ↑,
- 66', Clayton Sampaio 🟨,
- 68', Thiago Maia 🟨,
- 71', Jeam ↓, Gustavo Nescau ↑,
- 71', Douglas Skilo ↓, Andrew ↑,
- 81', Roberto ↓, Vitinho ↑,
- 87', Robles Fuentes A. 🟨,
- 89', Bruno Tabata ↓, Gabriel Kempes Goncalves J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Caxias
45.7% | Draw
31.3% | Internacional RS
23% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caxias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Caxias's performance.Internacional RS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Internacional RS might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (-14.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Caxias that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (+15.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Internacional RS could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Caxias - Internacional RS Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↓
(2.93) |
2.92 ↓
(2.95) |
4.02 ↑
(2.34) |
8.5%
(10.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Caxias - Internacional RS?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Caxias will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Internacional will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.25 - Caxias (1.62) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Caxias (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Caxias is Qualified for Gaucho (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
- Internacional is Qualified for Gaucho (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caxias won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Caxias may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Caxias won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 14:27. (average 0.8:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Caxias won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.9:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Caxias won against Internacional RS?
Caxias has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Internacional RS won against Caxias?
Internacional RS has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Caxias - Internacional RS were as follows:
01.03.2025
Internacional RS
-
Caxias
3:1
22.02.2025
Caxias
-
Internacional RS
0:2
03.02.2024
Internacional RS
-
Caxias
2:0
26.03.2023
Internacional RS
-
Caxias
1:2
18.03.2023
Caxias
-
Internacional RS
1:1
Latest results of Internacional RS
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Internacional | Sao Luiz | 3 : 1 |
| 2 | SER Caxias | Ypiranga FC | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Juventude | EC Sao Jose | 3 : 2 |
| 4 | Gremio | Novo Hamburgo | 1 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Internacional | Ypiranga FC | 4 : 0, 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Juventude | Gremio | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
Final
