Result
4:1
13/09/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 4 |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 4 |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports Player |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.50 | 0.24 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (518/577) | 83% (308/369) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.50 | 0.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.11 | 0.52 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 5 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (518/577) | 83% (308/369) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 84% (51/61) | 50% (21/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 82% (153/187) | 67% (44/66) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/21) | 0% (0/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.51 | 0.12 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (9/17) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.52 | 4.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.48 | 0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (4 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Vitor Roque ⚽, Felipe Anderson (A),
- 17', Gomez G. 🟨,
- 24', 2 - 0, Vitor Roque ⚽, Torres F. (A),
- 29', 3 - 0, Lucas Evangelista ⚽,
- 34', Vitinho 🟨,
- 43', 4 - 0, Vitor Roque ⚽, Gomez G. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 47', Ricardo Mathias ↓, Raykkonen ↑,
- 47', Vitinho ↓, Benitez A. ↑,
- 62', Gomez G. ↓, Bruno Fuchs ↑,
- 62', Lucas Evangelista ↓, Pereira A. ↑,
- 70', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
- 72', 4 - 1, Carbonero J. ⚽,
- 75', Lopez J. ↓, Sosa R. ↑,
- 75', Felipe Anderson ↓, Raphael Veiga ↑,
- 80', Vitor Roque ↓, Bruno Rodrigues ↑,
Chances of winning
Palmeiras
65.2% | Draw
22.7% | Internacional RS
12% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Palmeiras's performance.Internacional RS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Palmeiras - Internacional RS Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.52 ↓
(1.62) |
4.37 ↑
(3.75) |
8.39 ↑
(5.77) |
0.7%
(5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Palmeiras - Internacional RS?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Palmeiras will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Internacional will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palmeiras: 30.4% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Palmeiras (votes: 1 - 50%). Internacional (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 2.
- Palmeiras is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Internacional is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Palmeiras is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Palmeiras: Bruno Rodrigues
(Knee Injury)
Paulinho
(Leg Injury)
Raphael Veiga
(Contusion)
- There will not play in Internacional: Bernabei A.
(Yellow Cards)
Bruno Gomes
(Knee Injury)
Drummond L.
(Knee Injury)
Ivan
(Knee Injury)
Mercado G.
(Calf Injury)
Ronaldo
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Internacional: Bruno Tabata
(Inactive)
Thiago Maia
(Injury)
- We predict that Palmeiras will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 0.9:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Palmeiras won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:3. (average 1.2:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Palmeiras won against Internacional RS?
Palmeiras has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Internacional RS won against Palmeiras?
Internacional RS has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Palmeiras - Internacional RS were as follows:
16.04.2025
Internacional RS
-
Palmeiras
0:1
04.08.2024
Internacional RS
-
Palmeiras
1:1
17.04.2024
Palmeiras
-
Internacional RS
0:1
11.11.2023
Palmeiras
-
Internacional RS
3:0
16.07.2023
Internacional RS
-
Palmeiras
0:0
Latest results of Palmeiras
Latest results of Internacional RS
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 28 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 53:26 | 27 | 61 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 56:15 | 41 | 61 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 42:21 | 21 | 56 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 29 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 50:30 | 20 | 52 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 |
| 6 | Bahia | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 39:32 | 7 | 46 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 41 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 31:33 | -2 | 38 |
| 9 | Vasco | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 44:41 | 3 | 36 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 34:43 | -9 | 36 |
| 11 | Corinthians | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 31:35 | -4 | 36 |
| 12 | Gremio | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 30:37 | -7 | 36 |
| 13 | Ceara | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 27:27 | 0 | 35 |
| 14 | Internacional | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 35:41 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 | Atletico-MG | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 26:32 | -6 | 33 |
| 16 | Santos | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 28:39 | -11 | 31 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 26:43 | -17 | 28 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 26:44 | -18 | 24 |
| 19 | Juventude | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 22:53 | -31 | 23 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 28 | 2 | 11 | 15 | 21:44 | -23 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
