Result
1:3
12/02/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 3
- Referee: Lacerda D. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
Mexico | Fanatiz |
Portugal | Canal 11 |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 0.90 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (415/475) | 81% (245/302) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 0.90 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 2.59 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 43 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (415/475) | 81% (245/302) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (16/28) | 52% (31/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (127/156) | 60% (24/40) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (9/37) | 50% (2/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.27 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (16/21) | 53% (9/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.59 | 1.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.41 | 0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 17', Abel Ferreira 🟨,
- 23', 0 - 1, Gomez G. ⚽, Andreas Pereira (A),
- 36', 1 - 1, Ronaldo ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 51', Victor Gabriel ↓, Torres F. ↑,
- 52', 1 - 2, Vitor Roque ⚽,
- 55', Paulinho Paula 🟨,
- 58', Andreas Pereira 🟨,
- 61', Alan Patrick ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 61', Paulinho Paula ↓, Aguirre B. ↑,
- 67', Mauricio ↓, Luighi ↑,
- 67', Vitor Roque ↓, Sosa R. ↑,
- 70', Pezzolano P. 🟨,
- 81', Allan Elias ↓, Lucas Evangelista ↑,
- 81', Lopez J. ↓, Giay A. ↑,
- 82', 1 - 3, Andreas Pereira ⚽, Lucas Evangelista (A),
- 85', Ronaldo ↓, Alerrandro ↑,
- 85', Carbonero J. ↓, Kayky ↑,
- 89', Piquerez J. ↓, Jefte ↑,
Chances of winning
Internacional RS 30.8% | Draw 29.3% | Palmeiras 39.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Internacional RS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Internacional RS - Palmeiras Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.06 ↑ (2.99) |
3.21 ↑ (3.03) |
2.38 ↓ (2.49) |
5.8% (6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Internacional RS - Palmeiras?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Internacional will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Palmeiras will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palmeiras: 44.1% – 94.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Internacional (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Palmeiras (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Internacional won 1.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Palmeiras: Felipe Anderson
(Inactive)
Figueiredo
(Inactive)
Paulinho
(Leg Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Internacional won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 16:21. (average 0.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Internacional won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 1.2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Internacional RS won against Palmeiras?
Internacional RS has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palmeiras won against Internacional RS?
Palmeiras has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Internacional RS - Palmeiras were as follows:
13.09.2025
Palmeiras
-
Internacional RS
4:1
16.04.2025
Internacional RS
-
Palmeiras
0:1
04.08.2024
Internacional RS
-
Palmeiras
1:1
17.04.2024
Palmeiras
-
Internacional RS
0:1
11.11.2023
Palmeiras
-
Internacional RS
3:0
Latest results of Internacional RS
Latest results of Palmeiras
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Bahia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Corinthians | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Bragantino | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Chapecoense-SC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8:6 | 2 | 5 |
| 9 | Mirassol | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 10 | Coritiba | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Flamengo RJ | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Botafogo RJ | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Gremio | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | Vitoria | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 | Atletico-MG | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 2 |
| 16 | Remo | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 2 |
| 17 | Vasco | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 18 | Santos | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 1 |
| 19 | Internacional | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
| 20 | Cruzeiro | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet