Result
1:2
23/07/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.15 | 2.50 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (461/520) | 74% (211/285) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.15 | 2.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.25 | 2.76 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (461/520) | 74% (211/285) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (23/37) | 39% (21/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 82% (115/141) | 70% (51/73) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (4/27) | 50% (5/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 1.09 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 52% (11/21) | 75% (15/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.76 | 2.25 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 9', 0 - 1, Carbonero J. ⚽, Alan Patrick (A),
- 12', Vitao 🟨,
- 15', Guilherme ↓, Barreal A. ↑,
- 37', Souza 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Ze Rafael ↓, Gabriel Bontempo ↑,
- 59', Bruno Henrique ↓, Luis Otavio ↑,
- 59', Carbonero J. ↓, Bruno Tabata ↑,
- 62', Deivid Washington ↓, Luca Meirelles ↑,
- 75', 0 - 2, Borre R. (Pen),
- 76', Borre R. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
- 76', Thiago Maia ↓, Diego Rosa ↑,
- 77', Rollheiser B. ↓, Igor Vinicius ↑,
- 77', Escobar G. ↓, Robson Junior ↑,
- 81', Valencia E. 🟨,
- 81', Joao Basso 🟨,
- 83', Igor Vinicius 🟨,
- 87', Wesley ↓, Benitez A. ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 2, Barreal A. ⚽,
- 90+4', Gil 🟨,
Chances of winning
Santos
36.3% | Draw
30.7% | Internacional RS
33% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)Internacional RS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Santos - Internacional RS Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.7 ↑
(2.3) |
3.16 ↓
(3.2) |
2.91 ↓
(3.2) |
3.1%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Santos - Internacional RS?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Santos will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Internacional will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 68.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 46.1% – 91.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Santos (votes: 1 - 25%). Internacional (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos won 0.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Santos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Internacional has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Santos: Rincon T.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Internacional: Bruno Gomes
(Knee Injury)
Drummond L.
(Knee Injury)
Fernando
(Knee Injury)
Vitinho
(Elbow Injury)
- There are questionable in Santos: Aderlan
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santos won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 18:30. (average 0.9:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santos won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.3:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Santos won against Internacional RS?
Santos has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Internacional RS won against Santos?
Internacional RS has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santos - Internacional RS were as follows:
22.10.2023
Internacional RS
-
Santos
7:1
03.06.2023
Santos
-
Internacional RS
1:1
01.10.2022
Internacional RS
-
Santos
1:0
Latest results of Internacional RS
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 28 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 53:26 | 27 | 61 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 29 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 56:16 | 40 | 61 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 42:21 | 21 | 56 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 52:31 | 21 | 55 |
| 5 | Bahia | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 40:34 | 6 | 49 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 44 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:33 | 0 | 41 |
| 9 | Vasco | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 46:41 | 5 | 39 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 39 |
| 11 | Bragantino | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 34:44 | -10 | 36 |
| 12 | Atletico-MG | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 27:32 | -5 | 36 |
| 13 | Gremio | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 30:37 | -7 | 36 |
| 14 | Ceara | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 27:28 | -1 | 35 |
| 15 | Internacional | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35:43 | -8 | 35 |
| 16 | Santos | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 28:40 | -12 | 31 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 27:44 | -17 | 31 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 27:44 | -17 | 27 |
| 19 | Juventude | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 23:53 | -30 | 26 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 29 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 22:46 | -24 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
