Stenhousemuir vs Inverness – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
11/04/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 33
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC Alba, BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport

Match Stats

Yellow cards
25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 8', Millen R. 🟨,
  • 9', Bilham K. 🟨,
  • 16', 0 - 1, MacLeod C. ,
  • 25', Stewart A. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Allan P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Bilham K. , O'Reilly E. ,
  • 61', Aitken M. 🟨,
  • 66', Ritchie-Hosler K. , Carrick D. ,
  • 78', Whyte O. , Gray F. ,
  • 78', McGill S. , Grant L. ,
  • 81', 1 - 1, Aitken M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 83', Devine D. 🟨,
  • 85', Bavidge A. 🟨,
  • 88', Bavidge A. , Sole L. ,
  • 90+6', Stewart A. , Brannan B. ,

Chances of winning


Stenhousemuir
26.8%
Draw
29.4%
Inverness
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.5% 28.9% 45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5% 28.9% 45.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stenhousemuir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Inverness has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stenhousemuir than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inverness than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • Stenhousemuir - Inverness Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.43
    (3.59)
    3.14
    (3.16)
    2.15
    (2)
    7.4%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Stenhousemuir - Inverness?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Stenhousemuir will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Inverness will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stenhousemuir won 2.
    • Stenhousemuir is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Inverness has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Inverness may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Inverness will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Stenhousemuir won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.8:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Stenhousemuir won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stenhousemuir - Inverness were as follows:
    21.02.2026 Inverness - Stenhousemuir 1:1
    27.01.2026 Inverness - Stenhousemuir 1:0
    20.12.2025 Stenhousemuir - Inverness 1:0
    16.08.2025 Inverness - Stenhousemuir 1:2
    19.04.2025 Stenhousemuir - Inverness 1:1
    Latest results of Stenhousemuir
    Latest results of Inverness
    05.04.2026 Raith Rovers - Inverness 4:1
    21.03.2026 Alloa Athletic - Inverness 1:1
    17.03.2026 Inverness - Peterhead 3:1
    14.03.2026 Inverness - Cove Rangers 1:1
    Scottish League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inverness352011458:233566
    2Stenhousemuir351713548:272164
    3Alloa ✔ 351581249:341553
    4Queen of South ✔ 3513121054:46851
    5Peterhead351271648:62-1443
    6Montrose351191548:65-1742
    7Cove Rangers359101641:44-337
    8East Fife35981834:61-2735
    9Hamilton351671253:401334
    10Kelty Hearts ✔ 355111931:62-3126

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ Championship (Promotion: )
          League One (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Alloa is Qualified for Championship (Promotion )
    Queen of South is Qualified for Championship (Promotion )
    Kelty Hearts is Relegated to League Two