Ioannis Xilas vs Maxim Mrva – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
05/03/2026 at 05:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
02
Double Faults
14
1st serve percentage
67%63%
1st serve points won
59% (24/41)57% (24/42)
2nd serve points won
55% (11/20)28% (7/25)
Break Points Saved
50% (3/6)45% (5/11)
1st return points won
43% (18/42)41% (17/41)
2nd return points won
72% (18/25)45% (9/20)
Break Points Converted
55% (6/11)50% (3/6)
Winners
812
Unforced errors
2647
Net points won
100% (7/7)70% (7/10)
Service Points Won
57% (35/61)46% (31/67)
Return Points Won
54% (36/67)43% (26/61)
Total Points Won
55% (71/128)45% (57/128)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
03
Service games won
67% (6/9)33% (3/9)
Return games won
67% (6/9)33% (3/9)
Total games won
67% (12/18)33% (6/18)

Chances of winning


Ioannis Xilas
39.6%
Maxim Mrva
60.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.7% 53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8% 48.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ioannis Xilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ioannis Xilas's form might have worsened.
  • Maxim Mrva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maxim Mrva's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ioannis Xilas than the current prediction. (+12.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ioannis Xilas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maxim Mrva than the current prediction. (-12.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maxim Mrva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ioannis Xilas - Maxim Mrva Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (1.98)

    1.54
    (1.73)
    7.5%
    (8.4%)
    What is the prediction for Ioannis Xilas - Maxim Mrva?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Xilas will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Mrva will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mrva: 30.4%86.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Xilas (votes: 1 - 50%). Mrva (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1.5 Sets - Xilas (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Xilas (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Mrva (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Xilas is ranked ATP: 363. Mrva is ranked ATP: 305.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Xilas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Ioannis Xilas
    Latest results of Maxim Mrva
    03.03.2026 Petr Brunclik - Maxim Mrva Canceled
    27.02.2026 Maxim Mrva - Zsombor Piros 0:2
    25.02.2026 Maxim Mrva - Michael Mmoh 2:1
    24.02.2026 Alex Rybakov - Maxim Mrva 1:2
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Giustino L. (1)Fellin P. O. (Q)2 : 0
    2Henning P.Gadamauri B. (Q)1 : 2
    3Bertrand R.Soriano Barrera A. (Q)2 : 0
    4Barranco Cosano J. (Q)Kuzmanov D. (8)0 : 2
    5Neumayer L. (3)Vasami J. (RET.) (JR)1 : 0
    6Rybakov A.Berrettini J.2 : 1
    7Maxted L. (Q)Wendelken H.1 : 2
    8Jones M.Dostanic S. (LL)0 : 2
    9Samuel T. (5)Brancaccio R. (Alt)2 : 1
    10Rincon D.Durasovic V.2 : 0
    11Shelbayh A.Tsitsipas Pa. (WC)2 : 0
    12Efstathiou M. (WC)Moro Canas A. (4)2 : 1
    13Piraino G. (LL)Xilas I. (WC)0 : 2
    14Gulin S. (LL)Mrva M.1 : 2
    15Geerts M.Pereira T.2 : 0
    16Carboni L. (RET.) (Q)Sakellaridis S. (2)1 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Giustino L. (1)Gadamauri B.2 : 1
    2Bertrand R.Kuzmanov D. (8)0 : 2
    3Neumayer L. (3)Rybakov A.2 : 0
    4Wendelken H.Dostanic S.2 : 1
    5Samuel T. (5)Rincon D.2 : 0
    6Shelbayh A.Efstathiou M.2 : 1
    7Xilas I.Mrva M.2 : 0
    8Geerts M.Sakellaridis S. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Giustino L. (1)Kuzmanov D. (8)0 : 2
    2Neumayer L. (3)Wendelken H.1 : 2
    3Samuel T. (5)Shelbayh A.2 : 0
    4Xilas I.Sakellaridis S. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Kuzmanov D. (8)Wendelken H.0 : 2
    2Samuel T. (5)Sakellaridis S. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Wendelken H.Samuel T. (5)0 : 2