Result
2:4
10/02/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Mestis
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 26 | 27 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 7.69% (2/26) | 14.81% (4/27) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 23 | 24 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 88.46% (23/26) | 92.31% (24/26) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 100% (0/0) |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 1)
- 15:27, 0 - 1, Dobos M. B. (G), Manni E. (A),
- 2nd Period (1 - 1)
- 00:18, 0 - 2, Lehtonen W. (G), Hokkanen R. (A), Vuontisvaara O. (A2)
- 07:08, 1 - 2, Koskela V. (G), Koponen E. (A), Lausniemi A. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 2)
- 01:16, 2 - 2, Ring L. (G), Haakana S. (A), Viirret V. (A2)
- 03:06, 2 - 3, Manni E. (G),
- 19:48, 2 - 4, Lehmus J. (G), Tarvainen K. (A),
Chances of winning
IPK
61.2% | Draw
19% | KeuPa
19.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
IPK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)KeuPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for IPK than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for KeuPa than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
IPK - KeuPa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↑
(1.43) |
4.78 ↓
(5.12) |
4.6 ↓
(5.43) |
9.9%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 6.25
What is the prediction for IPK - KeuPa?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 5.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 4.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 4 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 4.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Period - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:1.
Preview Facts
- IPK is Qualified for Mestis (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, IPK won 4.
- IPK has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- KeuPa is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- KeuPa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, IPK is a strong favorite.
- We predict that IPK will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, IPK won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 73:43. (average 3.7:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, IPK won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 33:23. (average 3.3:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has IPK won against KeuPa?
IPK has won 14 of their last 19 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has KeuPa won against IPK?
KeuPa has won 5 of their last 19 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between IPK - KeuPa were as follows:
24.01.2026
KeuPa
-
IPK
2:4
13.01.2026
IPK
-
KeuPa
6:3
15.11.2025
KeuPa
-
IPK
0:3
28.10.2025
IPK
-
KeuPa
3:4
03.10.2025
KeuPa
-
IPK
0:4
Finnish Mestis Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Jokerit ✔ | 46 | 28 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 163:90 | 100 |
| 2 | IPK ✔ | 45 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 159:135 | 80 |
| 3 | K-Vantaa ✔ | 46 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 142:135 | 75 |
| 4 | Kettera ✔ | 45 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 139:132 | 70 |
| 5 | RoKi ✔ | 46 | 18 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 145:146 | 69 |
| 6 | Kiekko-Pojat | 45 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 142:148 | 64 |
| 7 | TUTO | 45 | 16 | 2 | 10 | 17 | 127:126 | 62 |
| 8 | Hermes | 45 | 16 | 6 | 0 | 23 | 138:161 | 60 |
| 9 | Pyry | 45 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 127:166 | 52 |
| 10 | KeuPa ✔ | 46 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 26 | 126:169 | 49 |
Promotion ~ Mestis (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Mestis (Relegation)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Jokerit is Qualified for Mestis (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
IPK is Qualified for Mestis (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
K-Vantaa is Qualified for Mestis (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Kettera is Qualified for Mestis (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
RoKi is Qualified for Mestis (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
KeuPa is Mestis (Relegation)
