Nokian Pyry vs IPK – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:4
25/02/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Mestis
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2831
Shots off target
916
Shooting PCT
7.14% (2/28)12.9% (4/31)
Blocked shots
154
Goalkeeper Saves
2726
Saves PCT
87.1% (27/31)92.86% (26/28)
Penalties
44
PIM
88
Power-play Goals
10
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
25% (1/4)0% (0/4)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (4/4)75% (3/4)
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 1)
  • 16:07, 0 - 1, Kahkonen J. (G), Curri R. (A),
  • 2nd Period (1 - 2)
  • 06:01, 1 - 1, Peltola S. (G), Ahvenlampi M. (A), Hakanen S. (A2)
  • 08:07, 1 - 2, Oden M. (G),
  • 12:28, 1 - 3, Koponen E. (G), Karppinen A. (A), Lahtinen O. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (1 - 1)
  • 09:07, 1 - 4, Vesaaja J. (G), Koskela S. (A), Viirret V. (A2)
  • 14:55, 2 - 4, Valtonen T. (G), Ahvenlampi M. (A),

Chances of winning


Nokian Pyry
34.8%
Draw
22.4%
IPK
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27% 20.6% 52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28% 21.3% 50.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nokian Pyry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nokian Pyry's performance.
  • IPK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and IPK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nokian Pyry than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nokian Pyry that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for IPK than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that IPK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Nokian Pyry - IPK Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.64
    (3.43)
    4.11
    (4.51)
    2.15
    (1.77)
    8.9%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
    What is the prediction for Nokian Pyry - IPK?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Period - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 5.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:4.
  • Preview Facts
    • Pyry is Mestis (Relegation)
    • IPK is Qualified for Mestis (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pyry won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • IPK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • IPK could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Pyry won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:35. (average 3.5:4.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pyry won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 3.8:3.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nokian Pyry - IPK were as follows:
    13.02.2026 IPK - Nokian Pyry 5:2
    06.01.2026 Nokian Pyry - IPK 5:4
    04.12.2025 Nokian Pyry - IPK 1:3
    04.10.2025 IPK - Nokian Pyry 5:3
    Latest results of Nokian Pyry
    Latest results of IPK
    24.02.2026 TuTo - IPK 4:2
    13.02.2026 IPK - Nokian Pyry 5:2
    10.02.2026 IPK - KeuPa 2:4
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Jokerit (1)Kiekko-Pojat (8)4 : 2
    2K-Vantaa (4)TUTO (5)4 : 1
    3IPK (2)Hermes (7)4 : 1
    4Kettera (3)RoKi (6)4 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Jokerit (1)K-Vantaa (4)
    2IPK (2)Kettera (3)