Result
2:5
16/01/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Mestis
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 11.11% (2/18) | 41.67% (5/12) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 63.64% (7/11) | 88.89% (16/18) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/1) | 0% (0/0) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (0/0) | 100% (1/1) |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 1)
- 13:10, 0 - 1, Markkula S. (G), Vuorela J. (A), Karnaranta V. (A2)
- 2nd Period (0 - 3)
- 12:35, 0 - 2, Karnaranta V. (G), Markkula S. (A),
- 13:06, 0 - 3, Korhonen J. (G), Pennanen A. (A), Trakht D. (A2)
- 19:18, 0 - 4, Vuorela J. (G), Karnaranta V. (A), Trakht D. (A2)
- 3rd Period (2 - 1)
- 11:44, 1 - 4, Valtola K. (G), Ring L. (A),
- 15:51, 2 - 4, Halonen V. (G), Viirret V. (A),
- 19:20, 2 - 5, Karnaranta V. (G),
Chances of winning
IPK
50.5% | Draw
21.6% | TuTo
27.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
IPK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)TuTo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for IPK than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for TuTo than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
IPK - TuTo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↑
(1.79) |
4.24 ↑
(4.22) |
3.29 ↓
(3.57) |
9.2%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, IPK won 1.
- IPK has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- TuTo has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- IPK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, IPK is a strong favorite.
- We predict that IPK will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, IPK won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 60:66. (average 3:3.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, IPK won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:34. (average 3.1:3.4).
How many head-to-head matches has IPK won against TuTo?
IPK has won 6 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has TuTo won against IPK?
TuTo has won 10 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between IPK - TuTo were as follows:
05.12.2025
TuTo
-
IPK
4:0
14.11.2025
IPK
-
TuTo
3:2
12.09.2025
TuTo
-
IPK
4:3
28.02.2025
IPK
-
TuTo
0:5
07.02.2025
TuTo
-
IPK
3:2
Finnish Mestis Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Jokerit ✔ | 46 | 28 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 163:90 | 100 |
| 2 | IPK ✔ | 45 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 159:135 | 80 |
| 3 | K-Vantaa ✔ | 46 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 142:135 | 75 |
| 4 | Kettera ✔ | 45 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 139:132 | 70 |
| 5 | RoKi ✔ | 46 | 18 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 145:146 | 69 |
| 6 | Kiekko-Pojat | 45 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 142:148 | 64 |
| 7 | TUTO | 45 | 16 | 2 | 10 | 17 | 127:126 | 62 |
| 8 | Hermes | 45 | 16 | 6 | 0 | 23 | 138:161 | 60 |
| 9 | Pyry | 45 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 127:166 | 52 |
| 10 | KeuPa ✔ | 46 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 26 | 126:169 | 49 |
Promotion ~ Mestis (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Mestis (Relegation)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Jokerit is Qualified for Mestis (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
IPK is Qualified for Mestis (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
K-Vantaa is Qualified for Mestis (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Kettera is Qualified for Mestis (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
RoKi is Qualified for Mestis (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
KeuPa is Mestis (Relegation)
