Result
2:1
01/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 25
- Referee: Finnie W. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.06 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (455/530) | 78% (235/303) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.06 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.80 | 0.46 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (455/530) | 78% (235/303) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (15/41) | 32% (15/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (113/145) | 43% (21/49) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (6/20) | 38% (3/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.20 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 68% (13/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.46 | 2.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.54 | 0.80 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 17', 1 - 0, Philogene J. ⚽, Cajuste J. (A),
- 23', Goodrham T. ↓, Dembele S. ↑,
- 27', Dembele S. 🟨,
- 34', 1 - 1, Lankshear W. ⚽, Krastev F. (A),
- 40', 2 - 1, Akpom Ch. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Placheta P. ↓, Mills S. ↑,
- 56', Akpom Ch. 🟨,
- 56', Brown C. 🟨,
- 61', Helik M. 🟨,
- 68', Nunez M. ↓, Clarke J. ↑,
- 68', Egeli S. W. ↓, Burns W. ↑,
- 73', Krastev F. ↓, Harris L. ↑,
- 75', Vaulks W. 🟨,
- 76', Cajuste J. ↓, Taylor J. ↑,
- 76', Akpom Ch. ↓, Azon I. ↑,
- 84', Philogene J. ↓, Young A. ↑,
- 85', Lankshear W. ↓, Harris M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ipswich Town
69.9% | Draw
19.6% | Oxford United
10.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ipswich Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ipswich Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Ipswich Town - Oxford United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.35 ↑
(1.34) |
4.85 ↓
(4.93) |
8.97 ↓
(9.16) |
5.9%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Ipswich Town - Oxford United?
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Ipswich will win (votes: 19 - 79.2%). Oxford will win (votes: 2 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ipswich: 63% – 95.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Ipswich (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Oxford (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Oxford (2.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Oxford (2.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Oxford (3.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Oxford (3.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Ipswich (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Oxford (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ipswich won 1.
- Ipswich is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Oxford has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Ipswich is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Ipswich: Clarke H.
(Knee Injury)
Hirst G.
(Injury)
Townsend C.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Oxford: ter Avest H.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Ipswich: Azon I.
(Injury)
Szmodics S.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Oxford: Brannagan C.
(Calf Injury)
Davies B.
(Inactive)
Phillips M.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Ipswich won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.7:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ipswich won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 0.8:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Ipswich Town won against Oxford United?
Ipswich Town has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oxford United won against Ipswich Town?
Oxford United has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ipswich Town - Oxford United were as follows:
28.11.2025
Oxford United
-
Ipswich Town
2:1
21.01.2023
Oxford United
-
Ipswich Town
2:1
26.12.2022
Ipswich Town
-
Oxford United
3:0
Latest results of Ipswich Town
Latest results of Oxford United
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 42 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 84:42 | 42 | 85 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 40 | 21 | 12 | 7 | 71:40 | 31 | 75 |
| 3 | Millwall | 42 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 56:47 | 9 | 73 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 62:42 | 20 | 72 |
| 5 | Southampton | 41 | 19 | 12 | 10 | 70:50 | 20 | 69 |
| 6 | Hull | 42 | 20 | 8 | 14 | 64:60 | 4 | 68 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 42 | 17 | 13 | 12 | 63:60 | 3 | 64 |
| 8 | Derby | 42 | 18 | 9 | 15 | 61:53 | 8 | 63 |
| 9 | Norwich | 42 | 17 | 7 | 18 | 55:50 | 5 | 58 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 52:51 | 1 | 58 |
| 11 | QPR | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 58:63 | -5 | 58 |
| 12 | Watford | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 52:51 | 1 | 57 |
| 13 | Preston | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 50:53 | -3 | 57 |
| 14 | Swansea | 42 | 16 | 9 | 17 | 50:54 | -4 | 57 |
| 15 | Birmingham | 42 | 15 | 11 | 16 | 51:52 | -1 | 56 |
| 16 | Stoke | 42 | 15 | 10 | 17 | 49:46 | 3 | 55 |
| 17 | Sheffield Utd | 42 | 16 | 6 | 20 | 59:59 | 0 | 54 |
| 18 | Charlton | 42 | 12 | 13 | 17 | 39:51 | -12 | 49 |
| 19 | Blackburn | 42 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 38:50 | -12 | 48 |
| 20 | West Brom | 42 | 11 | 13 | 18 | 42:56 | -14 | 46 |
| 21 | Portsmouth | 41 | 11 | 12 | 18 | 41:57 | -16 | 45 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 42 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 41:54 | -13 | 44 |
| 23 | Leicester | 42 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 54:64 | -10 | 41 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 42 | 1 | 11 | 30 | 25:82 | -57 | -4 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
