Result
2:1
01/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 25
- Referee: Finnie W. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.06 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (455/530) | 78% (235/303) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.06 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.80 | 0.46 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (455/530) | 78% (235/303) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (15/41) | 32% (15/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (113/145) | 43% (21/49) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (6/20) | 38% (3/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.20 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 68% (13/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.46 | 2.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.54 | 0.80 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 17', 1 - 0, Philogene J. ⚽, Cajuste J. (A),
- 23', Goodrham T. ↓, Dembele S. ↑,
- 27', Dembele S. 🟨,
- 34', 1 - 1, Lankshear W. ⚽, Krastev F. (A),
- 40', 2 - 1, Akpom Ch. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Placheta P. ↓, Mills S. ↑,
- 56', Akpom Ch. 🟨,
- 56', Brown C. 🟨,
- 61', Helik M. 🟨,
- 68', Nunez M. ↓, Clarke J. ↑,
- 68', Egeli S. W. ↓, Burns W. ↑,
- 73', Krastev F. ↓, Harris L. ↑,
- 75', Vaulks W. 🟨,
- 76', Cajuste J. ↓, Taylor J. ↑,
- 76', Akpom Ch. ↓, Azon I. ↑,
- 84', Philogene J. ↓, Young A. ↑,
- 85', Lankshear W. ↓, Harris M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ipswich Town
69.9% | Draw
19.6% | Oxford United
10.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ipswich Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ipswich Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Ipswich Town - Oxford United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.35 ↑
(1.34) |
4.85 ↓
(4.93) |
8.97 ↓
(9.16) |
5.9%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Ipswich Town - Oxford United?
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Ipswich will win (votes: 19 - 79.2%). Oxford will win (votes: 2 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ipswich: 63% – 95.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Ipswich (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Oxford (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Oxford (2.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Oxford (2.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Oxford (3.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Oxford (3.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Ipswich (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Oxford (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ipswich won 1.
- Ipswich is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Oxford has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Ipswich is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Ipswich: Clarke H.
(Knee Injury)
Hirst G.
(Injury)
Townsend C.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Oxford: ter Avest H.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Ipswich: Azon I.
(Injury)
Szmodics S.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Oxford: Brannagan C.
(Calf Injury)
Davies B.
(Inactive)
Phillips M.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Ipswich won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.7:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ipswich won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 0.8:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Ipswich Town won against Oxford United?
Ipswich Town has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oxford United won against Ipswich Town?
Oxford United has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ipswich Town - Oxford United were as follows:
28.11.2025
Oxford United
-
Ipswich Town
2:1
21.01.2023
Oxford United
-
Ipswich Town
2:1
26.12.2022
Ipswich Town
-
Oxford United
3:0
Latest results of Ipswich Town
Latest results of Oxford United
English League Championship Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97:45 | 52 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 80:47 | 33 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64:49 | 15 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82:56 | 26 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72:47 | 25 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70:66 | 4 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69:65 | 4 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67:59 | 8 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63:56 | 7 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57:56 | 1 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57:59 | -2 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59:59 | 0 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66:66 | 0 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55:62 | -7 | 60 |
| 15 | QPR | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61:73 | -12 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53:65 | -12 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51:56 | -5 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49:64 | -15 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44:58 | -14 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 42:56 | -14 | 52 |
| 21 | West Brom | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48:58 | -10 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45:59 | -14 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58:68 | -10 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29:89 | -60 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
