Iran vs Japan, Asian Cup – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Asian Cup Iran - Japan
Result
2:1
03/02/2024 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ASIA: ASIAN CUP - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS
  • Referee: Ning M. (Chn)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaParamount+
brazilBrazilESPN 4
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro
portugalPortugalSport TV2
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub
swedenSwedenTV4
ukraineUkraineSport 1

Chances of winning


Iran
19.6%
Draw
27%
Japan
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.4% 28.6% 47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8% 28.1% 46.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Iran has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • Japan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Japan's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iran than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Iran, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Japan than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Japan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Iran - Japan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.82
    (3.8)
    3.49
    (3.24)
    1.76
    (1.97)
    6.1%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Iran - Japan?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Iran will win (votes: 1 - 4.5%). Japan will win (votes: 16 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 22.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Japan: 54.1%91.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Iran in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Japan is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • In this match Japan is a favorite.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Iran won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.
    Latest results of Iran
    31.01.2024 Iran - Syria 2:1
    19.01.2024 Hong Kong - Iran 0:1
    14.01.2024 Iran - Palestine 4:1
    09.01.2024 Indonesia - Iran 0:5
    Latest results of Japan
    31.01.2024 Bahrain - Japan 1:3
    24.01.2024 Japan - Indonesia 3:1
    19.01.2024 Iraq - Japan 2:1
    14.01.2024 Japan - Vietnam 4:2
    09.01.2024 Japan - Jordan 6:1
    Asian Cup Table
    Third round

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philippines21106:334
    2Tajikistan21103:214
    3East Timor21011:103
    4Maldives20021:5-40


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lebanon21105:054
    2Brunei21012:6-43
    3Yemen20200:002
    4Bhutan20111:2-11


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Singapore21102:114
    2Hong Kong21101:014
    3Bangladesh20111:2-11
    4India20110:1-11


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Turkmenistan22005:236
    2Thailand21012:3-13
    3Sri Lanka21013:213
    4Chinese Taipei20022:5-30


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Syria22003:036
    2Myanmar22003:126
    3Afghanistan20021:3-20
    4Pakistan20020:3-30


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Malaysia22006:066
    2Vietnam21015:413
    3Laos21012:6-43
    4Nepal20021:4-30

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