Iran vs Japan, Asian Cup – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
03/02/2024 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ASIA: ASIAN CUP - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS
  • Referee: Ning M. (Chn)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaParamount+
brazilBrazilESPN 4
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro
portugalPortugalSport TV2
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub
swedenSwedenTV4
ukraineUkraineSport 1

Chances of winning


Iran
19.6%
Draw
27%
Japan
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.4% 28.6% 47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8% 28.1% 46.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Iran has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • Japan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Japan's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iran than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Iran, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Japan than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Japan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Iran - Japan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.82
    (3.8)
    3.49
    (3.24)
    1.76
    (1.97)
    6.1%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Iran - Japan?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Iran will win (votes: 1 - 4.5%). Japan will win (votes: 16 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 22.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Japan: 54.1%91.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Iran in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Japan is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • In this match Japan is a favorite.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Iran won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.
    Latest results of Iran
    31.01.2024 Iran - Syria 2:1
    19.01.2024 Hong Kong - Iran 0:1
    14.01.2024 Iran - Palestine 4:1
    09.01.2024 Indonesia - Iran 0:5
    Latest results of Japan
    31.01.2024 Bahrain - Japan 1:3
    24.01.2024 Japan - Indonesia 3:1
    19.01.2024 Iraq - Japan 2:1
    14.01.2024 Japan - Vietnam 4:2
    09.01.2024 Japan - Jordan 6:1
    Asian Cup Table
    Third round

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tajikistan642014:31114
    2Philippines642016:61014
    3Maldives61053:13-103
    4Timor-Leste61054:15-113


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lebanon541014:01413
    2Yemen532018:11711
    3Bhutan61144:16-124
    4Brunei61053:22-193


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Singapore ✔ 64208:4414
    2Hong Kong62228:808
    3Bangladesh61236:8-25
    4India61234:6-25


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Thailand650116:51115
    2Turkmenistan640211:7412
    3Sri Lanka63038:9-19
    4Chinese Taipei60065:19-140


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Syria ✔ 660021:21918
    2Myanmar64028:11-312
    3Afghanistan60244:11-72
    4Pakistan60242:11-92


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vietnam ✔ 660017:21518
    2Malaysia630310:1009
    3Laos62044:16-126
    4Nepal61055:8-33

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    Vietnam is Qualified for Asian Cup