Russia vs Iran, Friendly – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Friendly Russia - Iran
Result
2:1
10/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Friendly International
  • Referee: Dabanovic N. (Mne)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
iranIranIRIB Varzesh
russiaRussiaMatch TV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.291.18
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
148
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
76
Passes
79% (357/451)71% (265/374)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.291.18
xG on target (xGOT)
0.881.17
Total shots
148
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
84
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
76
Touches in opposition box
3013
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1611
Passes
79% (357/451)71% (265/374)
Long passes
50% (30/60)26% (20/76)
Passes in final third
66% (104/157)51% (39/76)
Crosses
18% (4/22)36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.941.06
Throw-ins
1928
Fouls
1116
Tackles
80% (4/5)50% (5/10)
Duels won
3435
Clearances
3031
Interceptions
1411
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
1.170.88
Goals prevented
0.17-1.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Vorobyev D. , Miranchuk An. (A),
  • 39', Bakaev Z. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 48', 1 - 1, Hosseinzadeh A. , Ghoddos S. (A),
  • 53', Batrakov A. 🟨,
  • 67', Glushenkov M. , Miranchuk Al. ,
  • 68', Glebov D. , Umyarov N. ,
  • 68', Vorobyev D. , Sergeev I. ,
  • 68', Bakaev Z. , Sadulaev L. ,
  • 70', Hosseinzadeh A. , Esmaeilifar D. ,
  • 70', Rezaeian R. , Jahanbakhsh A. ,
  • 71', 2 - 1, Batrakov A. ,
  • 74', Miranchuk An. 🟨,
  • 78', Ghoddos S. , Taheri K. ,
  • 78', Ezatolahi S. , Ghorbani M. ,
  • 84', Jahanbakhsh A. 🟨,
  • 88', Melekhin V. , Beveev M. ,
  • 89', Vakhania I. , Lukin M. ,

Chances of winning


Russia
60.1%
Draw
24.4%
Iran
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.9% 26.4% 20.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Russia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Russia's performance.
  • Iran has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Iran might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • Russia - Iran Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.85)
    3.93
    (3.71)
    6.22
    (4.74)
    4.2%
    (2.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Russia - Iran?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Russia (votes: 1 - 50%). Iran (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Users Predictions: Russia will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.03%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, Russia is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Russia won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Russia - Iran were as follows:
    23.03.2023 Iran - Russia 1:1
    Latest results of Russia
    07.09.2025 Qatar - Russia 1:4
    04.09.2025 Russia - Jordan 0:0
    10.06.2025 Belarus - Russia 1:4
    06.06.2025 Russia - Nigeria 1:1
    25.03.2025 Russia - Zambia 5:0
    Latest results of Iran
    08.09.2025 Uzbekistan - Iran 1:0
    04.09.2025 Tajikistan - Iran 2:2
    01.09.2025 India - Iran 0:3
    29.08.2025 Iran - Afghanistan 3:1
    10.06.2025 Iran - North Korea 3:0