Result
4:1
03/10/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | AYM Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 29 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 29 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Doldan J. ⚽,
- 14', Pena R. 🟨,
- 16', Pineda I. 🟨,
- 22', 2 - 0, Doldan J. ⚽, Ruiz J. (A),
- 32', Velazquez H. ↓, Estopier J. ↑,
- 36', 3 - 0, Martinez J. (Own goal),
- 44', Castellanos R. 🟥,
- 45+2', Martinez J. ↓, Chavez L. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 57', 4 - 0, Pucheta J. ⚽, Elbis (A),
- 61', Hernandez H. ↓, Magana G. ↑,
- 61', Alvarado V. ↓, de Alba J. ↑,
- 61', Ruiz J. ↓, Munoz G. ↑,
- 61', Rangel J. ↓, Gamboa J. ↑,
- 63', Garcia J. ↓, Lopez M. ↑,
- 63', Hernandez E. ↓, Arce R. ↑,
- 63', Pineda I. ↓, Espinosa Y. ↑,
- 75', Sandoval R. ↓, Martinez R. ↑,
- 80', Pucheta J. 🟨,
- 85', 4 - 1, Moreno G. ⚽, Espinosa Y. (A),
Chances of winning
Irapuato
74.1% | Draw
15.8% | Correcaminos UAT
10.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Irapuato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Irapuato's performance.Correcaminos UAT has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Correcaminos UAT might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Irapuato than the current prediction. (-15.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Irapuato that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Correcaminos UAT than the current prediction. (+9.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Correcaminos UAT could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Irapuato - Correcaminos UAT Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.27 ↓
(1.62) |
6.15 ↑
(4.05) |
9.58 ↑
(4.59) |
5.7%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Irapuato - Correcaminos UAT?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Irapuato will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).
- Recent performances by Irapuato have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Correcaminos has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Correcaminos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Irapuato is considered a favorite.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Irapuato won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.5:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Irapuato won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Irapuato won against Correcaminos UAT?
Irapuato has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Correcaminos UAT won against Irapuato?
Correcaminos UAT has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Irapuato - Correcaminos UAT were as follows:
Latest results of Irapuato
Latest results of Correcaminos UAT
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cancun | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 17:4 | 13 | 23 |
| 2 | Tampico Madero | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14:8 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | Atlante | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 21:8 | 13 | 19 |
| 4 | Irapuato | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 18 |
| 5 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 19:12 | 7 | 17 |
| 6 | Venados | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 23:24 | -1 | 14 |
| 7 | Atletico La Paz | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 20:19 | 1 | 13 |
| 8 | Leones Negros | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Tlaxcala | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:19 | -8 | 12 |
| 10 | Tapatio | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:12 | 1 | 11 |
| 11 | Atl. Morelia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:18 | -5 | 11 |
| 12 | Zacatecas Mineros | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14:14 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:20 | -8 | 8 |
| 14 | Correcaminos | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 14:27 | -13 | 6 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6:20 | -14 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
