Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Irapuato – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
20/02/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 7

Match Stats

Ball possession
57%43%
Total shots
2210
Shots on target
93
Corner kicks
72
Yellow cards
65
Total shots
2210
Shots on target
93
Shots off target
137
Corner kicks
72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', Mendoza B. 🟨,
  • 15', 1 - 0, Guzman W. ,
  • 20', Martinez R. 🟨,
  • 40', Dominguez I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 54', Sanchez B. 🟨,
  • 54', Gonzalez R. 🟨,
  • 63', Salazar J. , Pena R. ,
  • 64', Ruiz A. 🟨,
  • 67', 2 - 0, Mendoza B. ,
  • 68', Mendoza B. , Gomez J. ,
  • 74', Gonzalez R. , Gutierrez L. ,
  • 74', Rangel J. , Doldan J. ,
  • 74', Sanchez B. , Partida E. ,
  • 77', 2 - 1, Gamboa J. , Partida E. (A),
  • 81', Martinez R. , Santillan E. ,
  • 82', Aguilar D. 🟨,
  • 85', Islas O. , Gonzalez Calderon L. A. ,
  • 90+3', Gutierrez L. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Venegas J. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Samano L. , Talavera J. ,
  • 90+7', Gonzalez Calderon L. A. 🟨,
  • 90+10', Partida E. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tepatitlán de Morelos
41.5%
Draw
30.2%
Irapuato
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.8% 27.9% 29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9% 26.6% 27.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tepatitlán de Morelos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Irapuato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tepatitlán de Morelos than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Irapuato than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • Tepatitlán de Morelos - Irapuato Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.22
    (2.14)
    3.06
    (3.28)
    3.26
    (3.12)
    8.4%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Tepatitlán de Morelos - Irapuato?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Tepatitlán is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Irapuato has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Tepatitlán could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tepatitlán won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tepatitlán de Morelos - Irapuato were as follows:
    14.09.2025 Irapuato - Tepatitlán de Morelos 0:0
    Latest results of Tepatitlán de Morelos
    Latest results of Irapuato
    13.02.2026 Irapuato - Dorados 5:0
    07.02.2026 Jaiba Brava - Irapuato 0:1
    24.01.2026 Tlaxcala - Irapuato 2:1
    09.01.2026 Venados - Irapuato 4:1
    Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tepatitlan de Morelos1163216:7921
    2Atletico La Paz1054118:61219
    3Atl. Morelia1061316:9719
    4Tapatio1052322:17517
    5Atlante1044215:9616
    6Cancun1043315:12315
    7Tlaxcala1043312:12015
    8Zacatecas Mineros1042413:15-214
    9Irapuato1041522:20213
    10Jaiba Brava1041510:12-213
    11Correcaminos1033410:16-612
    12Alebrijes Oaxaca1033415:23-812
    13Venados1022616:20-48
    14Leones Negros1014510:20-107
    15Dorados de Sinaloa1114612:24-127

          Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)