Result
2:1
20/02/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 7
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', Mendoza B. 🟨,
- 15', 1 - 0, Guzman W. ⚽,
- 20', Martinez R. 🟨,
- 40', Dominguez I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 54', Sanchez B. 🟨,
- 54', Gonzalez R. 🟨,
- 63', Salazar J. ↓, Pena R. ↑,
- 64', Ruiz A. 🟨,
- 67', 2 - 0, Mendoza B. ⚽,
- 68', Mendoza B. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
- 74', Gonzalez R. ↓, Gutierrez L. ↑,
- 74', Rangel J. ↓, Doldan J. ↑,
- 74', Sanchez B. ↓, Partida E. ↑,
- 77', 2 - 1, Gamboa J. ⚽, Partida E. (A),
- 81', Martinez R. ↓, Santillan E. ↑,
- 82', Aguilar D. 🟨,
- 85', Islas O. ↓, Gonzalez Calderon L. A. ↑,
- 90+3', Gutierrez L. 🟨,
- 90+3', Venegas J. 🟨,
- 90+4', Samano L. ↓, Talavera J. ↑,
- 90+7', Gonzalez Calderon L. A. 🟨,
- 90+10', Partida E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tepatitlán de Morelos
41.5% | Draw
30.2% | Irapuato
28.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tepatitlán de Morelos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Irapuato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tepatitlán de Morelos than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Irapuato than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Tepatitlán de Morelos - Irapuato Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.22 ↑
(2.14) |
3.06 ↓
(3.28) |
3.26 ↑
(3.12) |
8.4%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Tepatitlán de Morelos - Irapuato?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Tepatitlán is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Irapuato has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Tepatitlán could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tepatitlán won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Tepatitlán de Morelos won against Irapuato?
Tepatitlán de Morelos has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Irapuato won against Tepatitlán de Morelos?
Irapuato has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tepatitlán de Morelos - Irapuato were as follows:
14.09.2025
Irapuato
-
Tepatitlán de Morelos
0:0
Latest results of Tepatitlán de Morelos
Latest results of Irapuato
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos ✔ | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Atl. Morelia | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | Cancun | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:16 | 6 | 22 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 21:11 | 10 | 21 |
| 5 | Tapatio | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 20 |
| 6 | Atlante | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Irapuato | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 19 |
| 8 | Tlaxcala | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 19 |
| 9 | Jaiba Brava | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
| 10 | Zacatecas Mineros | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 17 |
| 11 | Venados | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 15 |
| 12 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 |
| 13 | Correcaminos | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12:21 | -9 | 12 |
| 14 | Leones Negros | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14:27 | -13 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tepatitlan de Morelos is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
