Ironi Modiin vs Hapoel Afula – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
10/11/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Leumit League - Round 12
  • Where to Watch on TV:
israelIsrael5 STARS Israel

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Machluf Y. ,
  • 38', 2 - 0, Machluf Y. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 64', 2 - 1, Mizrahi Y. ,
  • 80', 3 - 1, Melman H. S. ,

Chances of winning


Ironi Modiin
48.2%
Draw
26%
Hapoel Afula
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.9% 26.5% 22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1% 26.6% 22.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ironi Modiin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Hapoel Afula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ironi Modiin than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Afula than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Ironi Modiin - Hapoel Afula Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (1.82)
    3.53
    (3.5)
    3.56
    (4.11)
    8.9%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Ironi Modiin - Hapoel Afula?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Ironi Modiin will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Hapoel Afula will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ironi Modiin: 45%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ironi Modiin (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Hapoel Afula (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Hapoel Afula (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Ironi Modiin (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Hapoel Afula (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Leumit League (Relegation Group: ) and 15 in the zone Leumit League (Relegation Group: )).
    • Ironi Modiin is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Hapoel Afula has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Ironi Modiin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Ironi Modiin is seen as the favorite.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Ironi Modiin
    Latest results of Hapoel Afula
    Israeli Liga Leumit Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maccabi Petah Tikva25156456:263051
    2H. Ironi Rishon25117736:27940
    3M. Herzliya24117636:28840
    4Hap. Ramat Gan25107836:28837
    5Kiryat Yam24115833:29434
    6Hapoel Kfar Shalem2497837:37034
    7Bnei Yehuda2597929:33-434
    8H. Raanana25961026:32-633
    9Hapoel Kfar Saba2488828:31-332
    10Hapoel Afula25871028:42-1431
    11MS Kafr Qasim2479831:30130
    12Maccabi Jaffa25761241:45-427
    13Nof Hagalil25512832:37-527
    14Ironi Modiin25761227:37-1027
    15H. Akko25511925:34-926
    16Hapoel Hadera24411926:31-523

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