Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Ironi Nesher – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
23/01/2026 at 06:20 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Alef North - Round 17

Match Stats

Red cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 39', Raya B. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 54', 0 - 1, Razon S. ,
  • 61', 1 - 1, Gabarin N. A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 84', 1 - 2, Bilton I. ,

Chances of winning


Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
43.9%
Draw
27.5%
Ironi Nesher
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.7% 29.4% 34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36% 28.8% 34.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hapoel Umm al-Fahm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hapoel Umm al-Fahm's performance.
  • Ironi Nesher has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ironi Nesher might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hapoel Umm al-Fahm that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ironi Nesher than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ironi Nesher could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Ironi Nesher Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.07
    (2.48)
    3.31
    (3.1)
    3.18
    (2.68)
    10%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Ironi Nesher?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Hapoel Umm al-Fahm (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 11).
    • Recent form of Hapoel Umm al-Fahm has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Ironi Nesher is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Recently, Hapoel Umm al-Fahm has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hapoel Umm al-Fahm won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Ironi Nesher were as follows:
    11.09.2025 Ironi Nesher - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 2:1
    Latest results of Ironi Nesher
    Israeli Liga Alef North Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1M. Nazareth21153344:172748
    2MS Tira22133642:231942
    3M. Kiryat Ata-Bialik22108435:211438
    4Hapoel Karmiel2196629:21833
    5Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad2196632:28433
    6Hapoel Bnei Musmus2196628:28033
    7Beit Shean2288628:27132
    8Tzeirey Um El Fahem2186728:23530
    9Ironi Baka2193933:30330
    10H. Migdal HaEmek2177727:23428
    11Ironi Nesher2184928:37-928
    12Tzeirey Tamra21731132:45-1324
    13Araba21461128:38-1018
    14Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad21451216:36-2017
    15Hapoel Tirat Karmel21331516:42-2612
    16Hapoel Umm al-Fahm22651130:37-711

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