Result
2:0
03/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 10
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 0.76 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (314/396) | 72% (253/353) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 0.76 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (314/396) | 72% (253/353) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (29/62) | 38% (24/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (55/91) | 59% (68/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 1.17 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 100% (14/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -1.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 31', Reda S. ↓, Mostafa M. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Ehab M. ↓, Samir M. ↑,
- 46', El Ghandour K. ↓, Amadi S. ↑,
- 49', 1 - 0, Badji P. ⚽, Mostafa M. (A),
- 56', 2 - 0, Fawzi A. ⚽, El Sisi A. (A),
- 60', Mostafa A. ↓, El Kot O. ↑,
- 60', Farag N. ↓, Saber H. ↑,
- 64', Badji P. ↓, Ashraf H. ↑,
- 64', Yehia A. ↓, Juhayna ↑,
- 68', Al Nabris K. ↓, El Malawany A. ↑,
- 87', Dabash M. ↓, Hassan A. ↑,
- 87', Nasr M. ↓, Mansour H. ↑,
- 88', Mansour H. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Smouha 49.3% | Draw 31.9% | Ismaily 18.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Smouha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Smouha's form might have worsened.Ismaily has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smouha than the current prediction. (+11.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Smouha, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ismaily than the current prediction. (-5%)
Smouha - Ismaily Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.88 ↑ (1.55) |
2.9 ↓ (3.51) |
4.94 ↓ (6.55) |
7.9% (8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Smouha - Ismaily?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Smouha will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Ismaily will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:-1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 21 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Smouha won 1.
- In recent matches, Smouha has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Ismaily is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Smouha is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Smouha won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:24. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Smouha won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 0.9:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Smouha won against Ismaily?
Smouha has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ismaily won against Smouha?
Ismaily has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Smouha - Ismaily were as follows:
02.05.2025
Smouha
-
Ismaily
1:1
21.01.2025
Ismaily
-
Smouha
1:0
21.08.2024
Ismaily
-
Smouha
2:0
16.08.2024
Smouha
-
Ismaily
2:0
03.04.2024
Ismaily
-
Smouha
2:1
Latest results of Ismaily
Egyptian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Ahly | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19:12 | 7 | 21 |
| 2 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 12:4 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Al Masry | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18:11 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Zamalek | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 18 |
| 5 | Enppi | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 18 |
| 6 | Pyramids | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:4 | 9 | 17 |
| 7 | Wadi Degla | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 16 |
| 8 | Smouha | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 15 |
| 9 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 12 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 15 |
| 10 | ZED | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 9:8 | 1 | 15 |
| 11 | Modern Sport | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 15 |
| 12 | National Bank Egypt | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10:5 | 5 | 14 |
| 13 | Petrojet | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 14 |
| 14 | El Gouna | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 12 |
| 15 | Haras El Hodood | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 12 |
| 16 | Arab Contractors | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 6:11 | -5 | 9 |
| 17 | El Gaish | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3:13 | -10 | 9 |
| 18 | Al Ittihad | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | 8 |
| 19 | Kahrabaa Ismailia | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:19 | -10 | 8 |
| 20 | El Ismaily | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5:14 | -9 | 7 |
| 21 | Pharco | 10 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 3:10 | -7 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )
Premier League (Relegation Group: )