Result
1:1
02/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Relegation Group - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Egypt | On Time Sports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.39 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (160/261) | 68% (257/376) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (160/261) | 68% (257/376) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (23/71) | 24% (18/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 46% (39/84) | 44% (50/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (6/23) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.70 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 95% (20/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 71 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.26 | 0.71 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.74 | -0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', Ammar M. 🟨,
- 17', El Dah A. 🟨,
- 25', Mostafa A. 🟨,
- 27', 1 - 0, Amadi S. ⚽, Juhayna (A),
- 38', El Nagaawy I. ↓, Abdelsamia M. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 51', Juhayna 🟨,
- 56', Juhayna ↓, Liadi A. ↑,
- 59', Sukkar H. M. 🟨,
- 60', Mohamed H. ↓, Wagdi M. ↑,
- 60', El Malawany A. A. O. ↓, El Kot O. ↑,
- 64', Farag N. 🟨,
- 66', 1 - 1, Farag N. ⚽, Abdelsamia M. (A),
- 76', El Ouadi A. ↓, El Badry M. ↑,
- 79', Sukkar H. M. ↓, Traore E. ↑,
- 81', El Dah A. 🟨,
- 83', Rabia M. ↓, Salim M. ↑,
- 90+1', Reda S. 🟨,
- 90+4', Wagdi M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Smouha
37.5% | Draw
35.1% | Ismaily
27.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Smouha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Ismaily has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smouha than the current prediction. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ismaily than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Smouha - Ismaily Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.48 ↑
(2.19) |
2.66 ↓
(2.72) |
3.4 ↓
(4) |
7.4%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
What is the prediction for Smouha - Ismaily?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Ismaily will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Smouha won 1.
- Smouha has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Ismaily has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Ismaily may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Ismaily has had a series of home games.
- Smouha will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Smouha won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 20:24. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Smouha won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Smouha won against Ismaily?
Smouha has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ismaily won against Smouha?
Ismaily has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Smouha - Ismaily were as follows:
21.01.2025
Ismaily
-
Smouha
1:0
21.08.2024
Ismaily
-
Smouha
2:0
16.08.2024
Smouha
-
Ismaily
2:0
03.04.2024
Ismaily
-
Smouha
2:1
30.03.2023
Smouha
-
Ismaily
1:3
Latest results of Ismaily
Egyptian Premier League Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Ahly | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22:9 | 13 | 58 |
| 2 | Pyramids | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 56 |
| 3 | Zamalek | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:6 | 8 | 47 |
| 4 | Al Masry | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 42 |
| 5 | National Bank Egypt | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 38 |
| 6 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 37 |
| 7 | Pharco | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:16 | -8 | 32 |
| 8 | Petrojet | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:17 | -10 | 27 |
| 9 | Haras El Hodood | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3:16 | -13 | 24 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
