Smouha vs Ismaily – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Egyptian Premier League Smouha - Ismaily
Result
2:0
03/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 10

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.480.76
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
148
Shots on target
30
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
79% (314/396)72% (253/353)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.480.76
xG on target (xGOT)
0.610.00
Total shots
148
Shots on target
30
Shots off target
75
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
103
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
2217
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1115
Passes
79% (314/396)72% (253/353)
Long passes
47% (29/62)38% (24/64)
Passes in final third
60% (55/91)59% (68/115)
Crosses
53% (8/15)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.911.17
Throw-ins
2619
Fouls
1511
Tackles
79% (11/14)100% (14/14)
Duels won
4248
Clearances
2618
Interceptions
127
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
01
xGOT faced
0.000.61
Goals prevented
0.00-1.39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 31', Reda S. , Mostafa M. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Ehab M. , Samir M. ,
  • 46', El Ghandour K. , Amadi S. ,
  • 49', 1 - 0, Badji P. , Mostafa M. (A),
  • 56', 2 - 0, Fawzi A. , El Sisi A. (A),
  • 60', Mostafa A. , El Kot O. ,
  • 60', Farag N. , Saber H. ,
  • 64', Badji P. , Ashraf H. ,
  • 64', Yehia A. , Juhayna ,
  • 68', Al Nabris K. , El Malawany A. ,
  • 87', Dabash M. , Hassan A. ,
  • 87', Nasr M. , Mansour H. ,
  • 88', Mansour H. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Smouha
49.3%
Draw
31.9%
Ismaily
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.6% 26.3% 14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9% 25.7% 13.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Smouha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Smouha's form might have worsened.
  • Ismaily has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smouha than the current prediction. (+11.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Smouha, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ismaily than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • Smouha - Ismaily Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.88
    (1.55)
    2.9
    (3.51)
    4.94
    (6.55)
    7.9%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Smouha - Ismaily?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Smouha will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Ismaily will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:-1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 21 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Smouha won 1.
    • In recent matches, Smouha has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Ismaily is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Smouha is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Smouha won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:24. (average 1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Smouha won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 0.9:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Smouha - Ismaily were as follows:
    02.05.2025 Smouha - Ismaily 1:1
    21.01.2025 Ismaily - Smouha 1:0
    21.08.2024 Ismaily - Smouha 2:0
    16.08.2024 Smouha - Ismaily 2:0
    03.04.2024 Ismaily - Smouha 2:1
    Latest results of Smouha
    28.09.2025 Wadi Degla - Smouha 1:1
    19.09.2025 Smouha - Haras El-Hodood 1:0
    31.08.2025 Smouha - Petrojet 0:0
    26.08.2025 Kahrabaa Ismailia - Smouha 1:2
    Latest results of Ismaily
    24.09.2025 ENPPI - Ismaily 1:0
    18.09.2025 Ismaily - Zamalek 0:2
    12.09.2025 ZED - Ismaily 1:0
    30.08.2025 Ismaily - Ghazl El Mahalla 0:3
    Egyptian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Ahly1063119:12721
    2Ceramica Cleopatra1062212:4820
    3Al Masry1154218:11719
    4Zamalek1053214:7718
    5Enppi1146110:6418
    6Pyramids852113:4917
    7Wadi Degla1144312:9316
    8Smouha103618:5315
    9Ghazl El Mahallah122917:4315
    10ZED114349:8115
    11Modern Sport1143414:15-115
    12National Bank Egypt1035210:5514
    13Petrojet103529:10-114
    14El Gouna102627:9-212
    15Haras El Hodood113358:13-512
    16Arab Contractors121656:11-59
    17El Gaish112363:13-109
    18Al Ittihad102266:13-78
    19Kahrabaa Ismailia102269:19-108
    20El Ismaily112185:14-97
    21Pharco100643:10-76

          Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )
          Premier League (Relegation Group: )