Italy vs Israel, FIFA World Cup – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football FIFA World Cup Italy - Israel
Result
3:0
14/10/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • World Cup - Qualification
  • Referee: Turpin C. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, Supersport Action
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada, TLN, VIVA
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaiQIYI, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
europeEuropeUEFA TV
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
franceFranceL'Equipe Live Foot
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports Extra 2
hungaryHungaryMatch 4
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaSony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 5
israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
italyItalyRAI 1, RaiPlay
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kenyaKenyaGotv
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 3
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 4
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Action
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandPolsat Sport 3
portugalPortugalSport TV3
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 5
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 4
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Variety 3
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime+
surinameSurinameSCCN
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandRTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyExxen
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.230.68
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
168
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
87% (415/477)88% (392/443)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
2.230.68
xG on target (xGOT)
3.190.39
Total shots
168
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
106
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
2816
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1012
Passes
87% (415/477)88% (392/443)
Long passes
45% (13/29)49% (23/47)
Passes in final third
79% (114/144)72% (50/69)
Crosses
35% (7/20)17% (1/6)
Expected assists (xA)
2.020.60
Throw-ins
1819
Fouls
1210
Tackles
42% (8/19)57% (4/7)
Duels won
4028
Clearances
1126
Interceptions
613
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.393.19
Goals prevented
0.390.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 42', Biton D. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 1 - 0, Retegui M. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Raspadori G. , Esposito F. ,
  • 72', Baribo T. , Turgeman D. ,
  • 72', Khalaili A. , Turiel S. ,
  • 74', 2 - 0, Retegui M. ,
  • 75', Peretz E. , Abu Fani M. ,
  • 85', Cambiaso A. , Spinazzola L. ,
  • 86', Locatelli M. , Cristante B. ,
  • 88', Tonali S. 🟨,
  • 89', Dasa E. , Mizrahi G. ,
  • 89', Solomon M. , Shua Y. ,
  • 90+2', Retegui M. , Cambiaghi N. ,
  • 90+3', Tonali S. , Piccoli R. ,
  • 90+3', 3 - 0, Mancini G. , Dimarco F. (A),
  • 90+4', Barella N. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Italy
80.2%
Draw
13.1%
Israel
6.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
78.6% 14.2% 7.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Italy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Israel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Italy - Israel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.2
    (1.2)
    7.42
    (6.66)
    14.29
    (13)
    3.5%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Italy - Israel?
  • Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Italy will win (votes: 26 - 96.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Italy: 89.2%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Italy will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, Italy is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Italy won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 3:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Italy - Israel were as follows:
    08.09.2025 Israel - Italy 4:5
    14.10.2024 Italy - Israel 4:1
    09.09.2024 Israel - Italy 1:2
    Latest results of Italy
    11.10.2025 Estonia - Italy 1:3
    08.09.2025 Israel - Italy 4:5
    05.09.2025 Italy - Estonia 5:0
    09.06.2025 Italy - Moldova 2:0
    06.06.2025 Norway - Italy 3:0
    Latest results of Israel
    11.10.2025 Norway - Israel 5:0
    08.09.2025 Israel - Italy 4:5
    05.09.2025 Moldova - Israel 0:4
    10.06.2025 Israel - Slovakia 1:0
    06.06.2025 Estonia - Israel 1:3
    FIFA World Cup Table
    South America
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Argentina18122431:102138
    2Ecuador1888214:5929
    3Colombia1877428:181028
    4Uruguay1877422:121028
    5Brazil1884624:17728
    6Paraguay1877414:10428
    7Bolivia18621017:35-1820
    8Venezuela1846818:28-1018
    9Peru1826106:21-1512
    10Chile1825119:27-1811

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