Israel vs Italy, FIFA World Cup – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football FIFA World Cup Israel - Italy
Result
4:5
08/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • World Championship - Qualification
  • Referee: Vincic S. (Slo)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 1, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, Play Sports 1
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaTLN, VIVA
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
europeEuropeUEFA TV
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
franceFranceL'Equipe, L'Equipe Live Foot, New World TV
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
italyItalyRAI 1, RaiPlay
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 3
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 3
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
papua-new-guineaPapua-new-guineaTVWan Sports
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
polandPolandPolsat Sport 1
portugalPortugalSport TV1
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
slovakiaSlovakiaSport 1
south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South, ViX Latin America
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 3
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
worldWorldSport 24

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.411.81
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
1117
Shots on target
77
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
82% (296/360)81% (329/407)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.411.81
xG on target (xGOT)
1.922.11
Total shots
1117
Shots on target
77
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
15
Shots inside the Box
813
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
2037
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1115
Passes
82% (296/360)81% (329/407)
Long passes
44% (21/48)51% (27/53)
Passes in final third
72% (86/119)67% (86/129)
Crosses
27% (3/11)36% (8/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.842.00
Throw-ins
728
Fouls
1512
Tackles
71% (10/14)82% (9/11)
Duels won
4843
Clearances
3415
Interceptions
116
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
2.111.92
Goals prevented
-2.89-0.08

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 9', Lemkin S. , Shlomo R. ,
  • 16', 1 - 0, Locatelli M. (Own goal),
  • 40', 1 - 1, Kean M. , Retegui M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 4)
  • 52', 2 - 1, Peretz D. , Solomon M. (A),
  • 54', 2 - 2, Kean M. , Retegui M. (A),
  • 59', 2 - 3, Politano M. , Retegui M. (A),
  • 66', Dasa E. , Jehezkel S. ,
  • 66', Khalaili A. , Baribo T. ,
  • 66', Biton D. , Mizrahi G. ,
  • 68', Politano M. , Orsolini R. ,
  • 68', Barella N. , Frattesi D. ,
  • 79', Dimarco F. , Cambiaso A. ,
  • 79', Kean M. , Raspadori G. ,
  • 81', 2 - 4, Raspadori G. , Frattesi D. (A),
  • 87', 3 - 4, Bastoni A. (Own goal),
  • 88', Retegui M. , Maldini D. ,
  • 88', Shlomo R. , Turgeman D. ,
  • 89', 4 - 4, Peretz D. , Jehezkel S. (A),
  • 90+1', 4 - 5, Tonali S. , Cambiaso A. (A),

Chances of winning


Israel
14.7%
Draw
21%
Italy
64.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
12.3% 20.3% 67.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Israel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • Italy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Israel - Italy Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.56
    (7.8)
    4.66
    (4.71)
    1.57
    (1.42)
    0.3%
    (4.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Israel - Italy?
  • Users Predictions: 58 users predict this event. Israel will win (votes: 2 - 3.4%). Italy will win (votes: 52 - 89.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 6.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Italy: 81.9%97.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%).
    • BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Italy will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Neutral location - Nagyerdei Stadion.
    • In this match, Italy is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Israel won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 0.8:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Israel - Italy were as follows:
    14.10.2024 Italy - Israel 4:1
    09.09.2024 Israel - Italy 1:2
    Latest results of Israel
    05.09.2025 Moldova - Israel 0:4
    10.06.2025 Israel - Slovakia 1:0
    06.06.2025 Estonia - Israel 1:3
    25.03.2025 Israel - Norway 2:4
    22.03.2025 Israel - Estonia 2:1
    Latest results of Italy
    05.09.2025 Italy - Estonia 5:0
    09.06.2025 Italy - Moldova 2:0
    06.06.2025 Norway - Italy 3:0
    23.03.2025 Germany - Italy 3:3
    20.03.2025 Italy - Germany 1:2
    FIFA World Cup Table
    South America
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Argentina18122431:102138
    2Ecuador1888214:5929
    3Colombia1877428:181028
    4Uruguay1877422:121028
    5Brazil1884624:17728
    6Paraguay1877414:10428
    7Bolivia18621017:35-1820
    8Venezuela1846818:28-1018
    9Peru1826106:21-1512
    10Chile1825119:27-1811

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