Israel vs Slovenia, EuroBasket – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball EuroBasket Israel - Slovenia
Result
96:106
04/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EuroBasket - Round 5
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 5
czech-republicCzech-republicCT sport Plus
finlandFinlandRuutu+
franceFrancebeIN Sports 1
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport
greeceGreeceNova Sports 4
israelIsraelSport 5, Sport 5+
italyItalyDAZN Italia
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 5
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
spainSpainDAZN Espana
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV
worldWorldCourt Side 1891

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
7967
Field Goals Made
3637
Field Goals %
45.6%55.2%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
5032
2-Point Field Goals Made
2625
2-Point Field Goals %
52%78.1%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
2935
3-Point Field Goals Made
1012
3-Point Field Goals %
34.5%34.3%
Free Throws Attempted
2123
Free Throws Made
1420
Free Throws %
66.7%87%
Offensive Rebounds
2111
Defensive Rebounds
1523
Total Rebounds
3634
Assists
2128
Blocks
02
Turnovers
1112
Steals
68
Personal Fouls
2322

Highlights

Chances of winning


Israel
55.7%
Slovenia
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.3% 58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9% 57.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Israel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Israel's performance.
  • Slovenia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Slovenia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Israel than the current prediction. (-12.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Israel that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slovenia than the current prediction. (+12.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Slovenia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Israel - Slovenia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (2.27)

    2.17
    (1.6)
    3.9%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 176.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
  • What is the prediction for Israel - Slovenia?
  • Users Predictions: Israel will win (30 of 36 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.15%95.51%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Israel will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 90:87.
  • Preview Facts
    • Israel is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Slovenia is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Slovenia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • We predict that Israel will win today's game, with odds of 1.81.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Israel won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 401:400. (average 80.2:80).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Israel - Slovenia were as follows:
    24.02.2025 Israel - Slovenia 84:74
    25.02.2024 Slovenia - Israel 88:79
    27.02.2023 Slovenia - Israel 79:87
    11.11.2022 Israel - Slovenia 62:75
    Latest results of Israel
    02.09.2025 Belgium - Israel 89:92
    31.08.2025 Israel - France 82:69
    30.08.2025 Poland - Israel 66:64
    28.08.2025 Israel - Iceland 83:71
    17.08.2025 Montenegro - Israel 88:76
    Latest results of Slovenia
    02.09.2025 Iceland - Slovenia 79:87
    31.08.2025 Slovenia - Belgium 86:69
    30.08.2025 France - Slovenia 103:95
    28.08.2025 Slovenia - Poland 95:105
    21.08.2025 Serbia - Slovenia 106:72
    Draw
    Final tournament

    1/8-finals
    1Lithuania (B2)Latvia (A3)88 : 79
    2Greece (C1)Israel (D4)84 : 79
    3Turkey (A1)Sweden (B4)85 : 79
    4Poland (D2)Bosnia & Herzegovina (C3)80 : 72
    5Germany (B1)Portugal (A4)85 : 58
    6Italy (C2)Slovenia (D3)77 : 84
    7Serbia (A2)Finland (B3)86 : 92
    8France (D1)Georgia (C4)70 : 80

    Quarter-finals
    1Lithuania (B2)Greece (C1)76 : 87
    2Turkey (A1)Poland (D2)91 : 77
    3Germany (B1)Slovenia (D3)99 : 91
    4Finland (B3)Georgia (C4)93 : 79

    Semi-finals
    1Greece (C1)Turkey (A1)68 : 94
    2Germany (B1)Finland (B3)98 : 86

    Final
    1Turkey (A1)Germany (B1)83 : 88

    3rd place
    2Greece (C1)Finland (B3)92 : 89