Result
1:2
21/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 3.69 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (395/462) | 84% (361/428) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 3.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 1.54 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (395/462) | 84% (361/428) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (29/52) | 48% (29/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (89/114) | 64% (72/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (7/27) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.73 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (12/12) | 71% (5/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.54 | 0.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.46 | -0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 14', 0 - 1, Selke D. ⚽, Harit A. (A),
- 22', Operi C. 🟨,
- 31', Harit A. ↓, Sari Y. ↑,
- 37', Yalcin G. 🟨,
- 37', Kemen O. 🟨,
- 41', Akdag U. 🟨,
- 44', 0 - 2, Shomurodov E. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Hagi I. ↓, Elia M. ↑,
- 46', Yalcin G. ↓, Mounie S. ↑,
- 46', Operi C. ↓, Karatas K. ↑,
- 46', Selke D. 🟨,
- 53', Hadergjonaj F. 🟨,
- 58', Selke D. ↓, Da Costa N. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 2, Hadergjonaj F. ⚽,
- 70', Shomurodov E. ↓, Ergun O. ↑,
- 71', Fayzullaev A. ↓, Ba O. ↑,
- 72', Makouta G. ↓, Keskin E. ↑,
- 74', Sahiner O. 🟨,
- 76', Mounie S. 🟨,
- 84', Hwang Ui-Jo ↓, Kaya I. ↑,
- 84', Janvier N. ↓, Celik I. ↑,
- 88', Duarte L. 🟨,
- 90+6', Kaya I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Alanyaspor
32.3% | Draw
28.1% | İstanbul Başakşehir
39.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alanyaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)İstanbul Başakşehir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alanyaspor than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (-2%)
Alanyaspor - İstanbul Başakşehir Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.92 ↑
(2.65) |
3.37 ↓
(3.55) |
2.38 ↓
(2.51) |
5.9%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Alanyaspor - İstanbul Başakşehir?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Alanyaspor will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). Başakşehir will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 52.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.2% – 76.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alanyaspor won 2.
- In recent matches, Alanyaspor has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Başakşehir is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Alanyaspor: Aliti F.
(Yellow Cards)
Bulut B.
(Knee Injury)
Ozdemir Y.
(Suspended)
- There are questionable in Başakşehir: Yildirim B.
(Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Alanyaspor won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:29. (average 1.4:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alanyaspor won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:12. (average 1.9:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Alanyaspor won against İstanbul Başakşehir?
Alanyaspor has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has İstanbul Başakşehir won against Alanyaspor?
İstanbul Başakşehir has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alanyaspor - İstanbul Başakşehir were as follows:
21.09.2025
İstanbul Başakşehir
-
Alanyaspor
1:1
25.01.2025
Alanyaspor
-
İstanbul Başakşehir
5:4
18.08.2024
İstanbul Başakşehir
-
Alanyaspor
4:2
13.01.2024
İstanbul Başakşehir
-
Alanyaspor
3:2
14.08.2023
Alanyaspor
-
İstanbul Başakşehir
2:0
Latest results of Alanyaspor
Latest results of İstanbul Başakşehir
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 26 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 62:18 | 44 | 64 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 27 | 17 | 9 | 1 | 61:28 | 33 | 60 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 53:29 | 24 | 60 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 49:31 | 18 | 52 |
| 5 | Basaksehir | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 44:30 | 14 | 43 |
| 6 | Goztepe | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 30:20 | 10 | 43 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 29:31 | -2 | 35 |
| 8 | Kocaelispor | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 23:32 | -9 | 33 |
| 9 | Gaziantep | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 36:46 | -10 | 33 |
| 10 | Alanyaspor | 27 | 6 | 13 | 8 | 33:32 | 1 | 31 |
| 11 | Rizespor | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 32:36 | -4 | 30 |
| 12 | Konyaspor | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 31:39 | -8 | 30 |
| 13 | Genclerbirligi | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 28:37 | -9 | 25 |
| 14 | Antalyaspor | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 25:43 | -18 | 25 |
| 15 | Kasimpasa | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 23:38 | -15 | 24 |
| 16 | Kayserispor | 27 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 21:48 | -27 | 23 |
| 17 | Eyupspor | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 19:38 | -19 | 22 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 27 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 24:47 | -23 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
