İstanbul Başakşehir vs Fatih Karagümrükspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium (Istanbul).

Super Lig - Round 18
Referee: Kol Y. (Tur)
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.00	0.64
Ball possession
62%	38%
Total shots
12	11
Shots on target
6	5
Big chances
5	2
Corner kicks
5	1
Passes
89% (516/582)	79% (281/354)
Yellow cards
2	2
Expected goals (xG)
2.00	0.64
xG on target (xGOT)
2.68	1.21
Total shots
12	11
Shots on target
6	5
Shots off target
4	6
Blocked shots
2	0
Shots inside the box
10	6
Shots outside the box
2	5
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
1	0
Big chances
5	2
Corner kicks
5	1
Touches in opposition box
24	10
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	5
Free kicks
8	17
Passes
89% (516/582)	79% (281/354)
Long passes
71% (55/78)	36% (15/42)
Passes in final third
80% (109/136)	57% (42/74)
Crosses
24% (5/21)	18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.57	0.37
Throw ins
16	18
Fouls
17	8
Tackles
73% (8/11)	85% (11/13)
Duels won
31	37
Clearances
11	20
Interceptions
15	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
4	4
xGOT faced
1.21	2.68
Goals prevented
0.21	0.68

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Shomurodov E. ⚽, Operi C. (A),
29', Da Costa N. 🟨,
42', Kranevitter M. 🟨,
45', Fayzullaev A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Da Costa N. ↓, Selke D. ↑,
57', Serginho ↓, Ahmed T. ↑,
57', Fayzullaev A. ↓, Brnic I. ↑,
67', Larsson S. ↓, Doh M. ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Fofana D. D. ⚽, Kalayci B. (A),
81', Kemen O. ↓, Yildirim B. ↑,
84', Ozcan B. ↓, Cukur T. ↑,
87', 2 - 1, Sahiner O. ⚽,
89', Shomurodov E. ↓, Ergun O. ↑,
89', Balkovec J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

İstanbul Başakşehir
62.9%

Draw
21.8%

Fatih Karagümrükspor
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

22.2%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

21.6%

15.5%

İstanbul Başakşehir - Fatih Karagümrükspor Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.53)	4.3 ↑ (4.27)	6.16 ↑ (5.94)	7% (5.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for İstanbul Başakşehir - Fatih Karagümrükspor?

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Başakşehir will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Karagümrük will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Başakşehir: 54% – 99.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Karagümrük (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Karagümrük (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Başakşehir won 2.
In recent matches, Başakşehir has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Karagümrük is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Başakşehir may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Başakşehir has had a series of home games.
In this match, Başakşehir is the team to beat.
There are questionable in Başakşehir: Sari Y. (Injury)
There are questionable in Karagümrük: Camacho J. (Injury)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Başakşehir won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Başakşehir won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has İstanbul Başakşehir won against Fatih Karagümrükspor?

İstanbul Başakşehir has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Fatih Karagümrükspor won against İstanbul Başakşehir?

Fatih Karagümrükspor has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between İstanbul Başakşehir - Fatih Karagümrükspor were as follows:

17.09.2025 Fatih Karagümrükspor - İstanbul Başakşehir 0:2

20.01.2024 Fatih Karagümrükspor - İstanbul Başakşehir 1:1

20.08.2023 İstanbul Başakşehir - Fatih Karagümrükspor 0:2

19.03.2023 Fatih Karagümrükspor - İstanbul Başakşehir 2:2

18.01.2023 Fatih Karagümrükspor - İstanbul Başakşehir 2:3 pen.

Latest results of İstanbul Başakşehir

13.01.2026 İstanbul Başakşehir - Boluspor 2:1 ✺

09.01.2026 İstanbul Başakşehir - Osijek 1:1 ✺

09.01.2026 İstanbul Başakşehir - Westerlo 1:1 ✺

22.12.2025 İstanbul Başakşehir - Gaziantep 5:1 ✺

18.12.2025 Galatasaray - İstanbul Başakşehir 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Fatih Karagümrükspor

13.01.2026 Alanyaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor 2:2 ✺

09.01.2026 Fatih Karagümrükspor - Petrolul Ploieşti 1:2 ✺

21.12.2025 Alanyaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor 2:0 ✺

17.12.2025 Fatih Karagümrükspor - İstanbulspor 0:0 ✺

14.12.2025 Fatih Karagümrükspor - Kocaelispor 1:1 ✺

Turkish Super League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Galatasaray	18	13	4	1	40:13	27	43
2	Fenerbahce	18	12	6	0	42:16	26	42
3	Trabzonspor	18	11	5	2	35:21	14	38
4	Goztepe	18	10	5	3	24:10	14	35
5	Besiktas	18	9	5	4	31:22	9	32
6	Basaksehir	18	7	5	6	29:19	10	26
7	Samsunspor	18	6	8	4	23:21	2	26
8	Gaziantep	18	6	6	6	25:31	-6	24
9	Kocaelispor	18	6	5	7	16:19	-3	23
10	Alanyaspor	18	4	9	5	18:18	0	21
11	Genclerbirligi	18	5	4	9	22:25	-3	19
12	Rizespor	18	4	6	8	21:27	-6	18
13	Konyaspor	18	4	6	8	22:30	-8	18
14	Kasimpasa	18	3	7	8	14:24	-10	16
15	Antalyaspor	18	4	4	10	16:31	-15	16
16	Kayserispor	18	2	9	7	16:34	-18	15
17	Eyupspor	18	3	5	10	11:25	-14	14
18	Karagumruk	18	2	3	13	15:34	-19	9

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ 1. Lig