Result
1:4
04/02/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Turkish Cup - Round 3
- Referee: Altay C. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | A Spor |
 Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 1 |
 Turkey | A Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 8', 0 - 1, Fayzullaev A. ⚽, Brnic I. (A),
- 22', 0 - 2, Shomurodov E. ⚽,
- 26', Shomurodov E. ↓, Crespo M. ↑,
- 45', Kadioglu M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Duarte L. ↓, Gureler H. ↑,
- 46', Serginho ↓, Ozcan B. ↑,
- 46', Kranevitter M. ↓, Larsson S. ↑,
- 46', Babicka S. ↓, Kalayci B. ↑,
- 46', Kurukalip C. ↓, Esgaio R. ↑,
- 50', 0 - 3, Crespo M. ⚽,
- 58', Operi C. ↓, Ebosele F. ↑,
- 58', Fayzullaev A. ↓, Sari Y. ↑,
- 65', 0 - 4, Brnic I. ⚽, Yildirim B. (A),
- 66', Gunes U. ↓, Kaluzinski J. ↑,
- 71', Kalpakli T. ↓, Biraschi D. ↑,
- 78', Ebosele F. 🟨,
- 79', 1 - 4, Kone ⚽, Kalayci B. (A),
Chances of winning
Fatih Karagümrükspor
17.9% | Draw
24.5% | İstanbul Başakşehir
57.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fatih Karagümrükspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)İstanbul Başakşehir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Fatih Karagümrükspor - İstanbul Başakşehir Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.65 ↑
(4.52) |
4.02 ↑
(3.67) |
1.67 ↓
(1.7) |
2.4%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Fatih Karagümrükspor - İstanbul Başakşehir?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Karagümrük will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Başakşehir will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1 - Başakşehir (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Karagümrük (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): İstanbul Başakşehir will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Karagümrük (votes: 1 - 20%). Başakşehir (votes: 4 - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 1.
- Karagümrük is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Başakşehir is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Başakşehir has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Başakşehir is considered a favorite.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.5:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Karagümrük won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.7:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Fatih Karagümrükspor won against İstanbul Başakşehir?
Fatih Karagümrükspor has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has İstanbul Başakşehir won against Fatih Karagümrükspor?
İstanbul Başakşehir has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fatih Karagümrükspor - İstanbul Başakşehir were as follows:
17.01.2026
İstanbul Başakşehir
-
Fatih Karagümrükspor
2:1
17.09.2025
Fatih Karagümrükspor
-
İstanbul Başakşehir
0:2
20.01.2024
Fatih Karagümrükspor
-
İstanbul Başakşehir
1:1
20.08.2023
İstanbul Başakşehir
-
Fatih Karagümrükspor
0:2
19.03.2023
Fatih Karagümrükspor
-
İstanbul Başakşehir
2:2
Latest results of Fatih Karagümrükspor
Latest results of İstanbul Başakşehir
Turkish Cup Table
MainGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | Trabzonspor | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:4 | 9 | 9 |
| 3 | Alanyaspor | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Basaksehir | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Karagumruk | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 6 | Boluspor | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 2 |
| 7 | Istanbulspor AS | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:9 | -7 | 2 |
| 8 | Fethiyespor | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:7 | -6 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Samsunspor | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:3 | 9 | 12 |
| 2 | Konyaspor | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:1 | 8 | 12 |
| 3 | Genclerbirligi | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Igdir FK | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 5 |
| 5 | Eyupspor | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
| 6 | Bodrumspor | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 1 |
| 7 | Aliaga | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:16 | -11 | 1 |
| 8 | Antalyaspor | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0:10 | -10 | 0 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Besiktas | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 9 |
| 3 | Erzurumspor | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Gaziantep | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
| 5 | Kocaelispor | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Rizespor | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 4 |
| 7 | Beyoglu Yeni Carsi | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 8 | Keciorengucu | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:13 | -7 | 3 |
Ranking of third-placed teams | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Genclerbirligi | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Alanyaspor | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Erzurumspor | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
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