Galatasaray vs İstanbul Başakşehir – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
18/12/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Turkish Cup - Round 1
  • Referee: Meler H. U. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
austriaAustriaA Spor
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
chinaChinaZhiBo8
norwayNorwayVG+
turkeyTurkeyA Spor

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
139
Shots on target
53
Corner Kicks
75
Yellow Cards
30
Total shots
139
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
86
Corner Kicks
75
Free Kicks
1212
Throw-ins
1222

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Kutucu A. , Sane L. (A),
  • 27', Sallai R. 🟨,
  • 40', Kutucu A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Sane L. , Yilmaz B. A. ,
  • 46', Gundogan I. , Torreira L. ,
  • 46', Bardakci A. , Sanchez D. ,
  • 63', Ozdemir B. , Ergun O. ,
  • 63', Sahiner O. , Fayzullaev A. ,
  • 64', Shomurodov E. , Ebosele F. ,
  • 72', Gurpuz G. , Akgun Y. ,
  • 74', Da Costa N. , Selke D. ,
  • 74', Brnic I. , Harit A. ,
  • 78', Unyay A. 🟨,
  • 84', Kutucu A. , Demir Y. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Galatasaray
60.1%
Draw
21.5%
İstanbul Başakşehir
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.2% 21.6% 17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5% 21.2% 16.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Galatasaray has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • İstanbul Başakşehir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galatasaray than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Galatasaray - İstanbul Başakşehir Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.51)
    4.31
    (4.26)
    5.07
    (5.36)
    7.7%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Galatasaray - İstanbul Başakşehir?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Galatasaray will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Başakşehir will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Galatasaray: 41.6%98.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 4 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Galatasaray will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Galatasaray won 4.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Başakşehir may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Galatasaray is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Galatasaray won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 35:22. (average 1.8:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Galatasaray won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:8. (average 1.7:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Galatasaray - İstanbul Başakşehir were as follows:
    18.10.2025 İstanbul Başakşehir - Galatasaray 1:2
    30.05.2025 Galatasaray - İstanbul Başakşehir 2:0
    12.01.2025 İstanbul Başakşehir - Galatasaray 1:2
    08.01.2025 Galatasaray - İstanbul Başakşehir 2:2
    10.02.2024 Galatasaray - İstanbul Başakşehir 2:0
    Latest results of Galatasaray
    13.12.2025 Antalyaspor - Galatasaray 1:4
    09.12.2025 Monaco - Galatasaray 1:0
    05.12.2025 Galatasaray - Samsunspor 3:2
    01.12.2025 Fenerbahçe - Galatasaray 1:1
    Latest results of İstanbul Başakşehir
    Turkish Cup Table
    Main

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Galatasaray33006:249
    2Alanyaspor32107:257
    3Trabzonspor32019:276
    4Basaksehir32016:336
    5Karagumruk30213:6-32
    6Fethiyespor30121:5-41
    7Boluspor30121:6-51
    8Istanbulspor AS30122:9-71


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Samsunspor330010:379
    2Konyaspor33008:179
    3Genclerbirligi32106:427
    4Igdir FK31119:454
    5Eyupspor31115:504
    6Aliaga30124:13-91
    7Bodrumspor30033:7-40
    8Antalyaspor30030:8-80


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Besiktas32106:247
    2Gaziantep32018:626
    3Fenerbahce32015:326
    4Rizespor31116:514
    5Kocaelispor31114:314
    6Erzurumspor31024:6-23
    7Keciorengucu31024:9-53
    8Beyoglu Yeni Carsi30122:5-31


    Ranking of third-placed teams
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Genclerbirligi32106:427
    2Trabzonspor32019:276
    3Fenerbahce32015:326

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