Galatasaray vs İstanbul Başakşehir – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Turkish Super League Galatasaray - İstanbul Başakşehir
Result
2:0
30/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super Lig - Round 38
  • Referee: Taskinsoy A. B. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiaTOD
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 8
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
mexicoMexicoDisney+
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV1
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 7, SportKlub 8
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 5
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.041.24
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
209
Shots on target
91
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
86% (396/462)82% (259/314)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
3.041.24
xG on target (xGOT)
2.000.22
Total shots
209
Shots on target
91
Shots off target
86
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
157
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
3216
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
17
Free Kicks
1216
Passes
86% (396/462)82% (259/314)
Long passes
50% (24/48)51% (26/51)
Passes in final third
74% (90/121)61% (38/62)
Crosses
29% (5/17)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.041.05
Throw-ins
713
Fouls
1612
Tackles
53% (9/17)50% (5/10)
Duels won
4144
Clearances
1417
Interceptions
510
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
17
xGOT faced
0.222.00
Goals prevented
0.220.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', 1 - 0, Mertens D. (Pen),
  • 28', Ba O. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Osimhen V. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Ba O. , Turuc D. ,
  • 63', Frankowski P. , Jelert E. ,
  • 69', Sahiner O. , Kemen O. ,
  • 78', Sanchez D. , Baltaci M. ,
  • 79', Mertens D. , Sallai R. ,
  • 81', 2 - 0, Osimhen V. , Ayhan K. (A),
  • 86', Sari Y. , Ebosele F. ,
  • 86', Gunes U. , Beyaz O. ,
  • 87', Osimhen V. , Akman E. ,
  • 88', Muslera F. , Guvenc G. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Galatasaray
63.7%
Draw
18.5%
İstanbul Başakşehir
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.5% 17.7% 17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.1% 16.8% 16.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Galatasaray has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • The chances for İstanbul Başakşehir have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galatasaray than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Galatasaray - İstanbul Başakşehir Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.45)
    5.01
    (5.3)
    5.37
    (5.25)
    6.4%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
  • What is the prediction for Galatasaray - İstanbul Başakşehir?
  • Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Galatasaray will win (votes: 22 - 81.5%). Başakşehir will win (votes: 2 - 7.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Galatasaray: 66.9%96.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Galatasaray (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Başakşehir (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 75%).
    • AH -1 - Galatasaray (votes: 4 - 80%).
    • AH -0.5 - Başakşehir (votes: 3 - 100%).
    • AH -0.75 - Başakşehir (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Galatasaray is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
    • Başakşehir is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Galatasaray won 4.
    • Galatasaray has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Başakşehir has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Galatasaray is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Galatasaray: Akgun Y. (Inactive) Icardi M. (Knee Injury) Osimhen V. (Inactive) Torreira L. (Inactive) Yilmaz B. A. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Galatasaray: Bardakci A. (Injury)
    • We predict that Galatasaray will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Galatasaray won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:23. (average 1.7:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Galatasaray won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:8. (average 1.7:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Galatasaray - İstanbul Başakşehir were as follows:
    12.01.2025 İstanbul Başakşehir - Galatasaray 1:2
    08.01.2025 Galatasaray - İstanbul Başakşehir 2:2
    10.02.2024 Galatasaray - İstanbul Başakşehir 2:0
    23.09.2023 İstanbul Başakşehir - Galatasaray 1:2
    08.05.2023 Galatasaray - İstanbul Başakşehir 1:0
    Latest results of Galatasaray
    24.05.2025 Göztepe - Galatasaray 0:2
    18.05.2025 Galatasaray - Kayserispor 3:0
    14.05.2025 Trabzonspor - Galatasaray 0:3
    10.05.2025 Trabzonspor - Galatasaray 0:2
    03.05.2025 Galatasaray - Sivasspor 4:1
    Latest results of İstanbul Başakşehir
    Turkish Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kayserispor00000:000
    2Trabzonspor00000:000
    3Antalyaspor00000:000
    4Gaziantep00000:000
    5Samsunspor00000:000
    6Alanyaspor00000:000
    7Eyupspor00000:000
    8Karagumruk00000:000
    9Galatasaray00000:000
    10Fenerbahce00000:000
    11Besiktas00000:000
    12Konyaspor00000:000
    13Genclerbirligi00000:000
    14Rizespor00000:000
    15Kasimpasa00000:000
    16Kocaelispor00000:000
    17Basaksehir00000:000
    18Goztepe00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig