Result
1:2
18/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 9
- Referee: Karaoglan A. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | TOD |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free |
 Hungary | Sport 2 |
 Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV6 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 6, Arena Sport 9 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 4 |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 2.96 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (295/373) | 83% (370/445) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 2.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 2.66 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (295/373) | 83% (370/445) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (15/46) | 47% (34/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (47/74) | 65% (80/123) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 38% (6/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.39 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.66 | 0.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.66 | -0.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 15', Elmali E. 🟨,
- 17', Buruk O. 🟨,
- 23', Harit A. 🟨,
- 35', Turuc D. 🟨,
- 35', Bardakci A. 🟨,
- 37', Guvenc G. 🟨,
- 37', Ayhan K. 🟨,
- 45+3', 0 - 1, Sane L. ⚽, Gundogan I. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Sahiner O. ↓, Ebosele F. ↑,
- 46', Harit A. ↓, Da Costa N. ↑,
- 48', Torreira L. 🟨,
- 54', Sahin N. 🟨,
- 59', 1 - 1, Shomurodov E. ⚽, Kemen O. (A),
- 62', 1 - 2, Sane L. ⚽, Gabriel Sara (A),
- 73', Elmali E. ↓, Jakobs I. ↑,
- 74', Gabriel Sara ↓, Lemina M. ↑,
- 74', Icardi M. ↓, Osimhen V. ↑,
- 74', Gundogan I. ↓, Akgun Y. ↑,
- 80', Crespo M. ↓, Yildirim B. ↑,
- 86', Sane L. ↓, Kutlu B. ↑,
- 90+2', Yilmaz B. A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
İstanbul Başakşehir
20.7% | Draw
22.1% | Galatasaray
57.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
İstanbul Başakşehir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Galatasaray has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galatasaray than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Galatasaray could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
İstanbul Başakşehir - Galatasaray Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.66 ↓
(5.24) |
4.25 ↓
(4.53) |
1.66 ↑
(1.54) |
5.3%
(6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for İstanbul Başakşehir - Galatasaray?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Başakşehir will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Galatasaray will win (votes: 15 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Galatasaray: 66.1% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Galatasaray (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Başakşehir won 0.
- Başakşehir is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Galatasaray is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Başakşehir has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Galatasaray is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Başakşehir: Duarte L.
(Injury)
Selke D.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Galatasaray: Ayhan K.
(Injury)
Demir Y.
(Injury)
Karatas K.
(Injury)
Sanchez D.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Başakşehir: Kemen O.
(Inactive)
Sari Y.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Galatasaray: Singo W.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Başakşehir won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 23:34. (average 1.2:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Başakşehir won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 1.5:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has İstanbul Başakşehir won against Galatasaray?
İstanbul Başakşehir has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Galatasaray won against İstanbul Başakşehir?
Galatasaray has won 6 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between İstanbul Başakşehir - Galatasaray were as follows:
30.05.2025
Galatasaray
-
İstanbul Başakşehir
2:0
12.01.2025
İstanbul Başakşehir
-
Galatasaray
1:2
08.01.2025
Galatasaray
-
İstanbul Başakşehir
2:2
10.02.2024
Galatasaray
-
İstanbul Başakşehir
2:0
23.09.2023
İstanbul Başakşehir
-
Galatasaray
1:2
Latest results of İstanbul Başakşehir
Latest results of Galatasaray
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 22:4 | 18 | 25 |
| 2 | Trabzonspor | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15:7 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Goztepe | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 11:2 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | Fenerbahce | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 16 |
| 5 | Gaziantep | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 14 |
| 6 | Besiktas | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:11 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Konyaspor | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 11 |
| 9 | Alanyaspor | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Antalyaspor | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 10 |
| 11 | Kasimpasa | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 | Rizespor | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Genclerbirligi | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Kocaelispor | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 | Basaksehir | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 | Eyupspor | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:11 | -7 | 5 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5:17 | -12 | 5 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7:18 | -11 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
