Result
3:0
14/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 26
- Referee: Kolak B. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Hungary | Selekt, Sport 1 |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio |
 Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
 Kosovo | ART Sport 3 |
 Malaysia | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Nigeria | SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Portugal | Sport TV5 |
 Romania | Prima Sport 4, Prima TV |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 3 |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 2 |
 South-africa | SupeSport ESPN |
 Thailand | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.72 | 0.47 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (436/499) | 68% (171/251) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.72 | 0.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.99 | 0.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (436/499) | 68% (171/251) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (41/74) | 33% (20/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (101/125) | 36% (19/53) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (6/27) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.00 | 0.21 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 42% (5/12) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.33 | 3.99 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.33 | 0.99 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 28', Ebosele F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 56', Ebosele F. 🟨,
- 57', 1 - 0, Singo W. ⚽, Lang N. (A),
- 58', Brnic I. ↓, Ba O. ↑,
- 58', Sari Y. ↓, Bulut O. ↑,
- 66', 2 - 0, Osimhen V. ⚽, Akgun Y. (A),
- 70', Shomurodov E. ↓, Crespo M. ↑,
- 70', Selke D. ↓, Yildirim B. ↑,
- 74', Torreira L. ↓, Boey S. ↑,
- 74', Yilmaz B. A. ↓, Gundogan I. ↑,
- 75', Osimhen V. ↓, Icardi M. ↑,
- 79', Singo W. ↓, Ayhan K. ↑,
- 79', Gunes U. ↓, Ergun O. ↑,
- 82', Sallai R. ↓, Nhaga R. ↑,
- 84', 3 - 0, Nhaga R. ⚽, Akgun Y. (A),
Chances of winning
Galatasaray
67.1% | Draw
18.4% | İstanbul Başakşehir
14.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Galatasaray has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)İstanbul Başakşehir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Galatasaray than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Galatasaray - İstanbul Başakşehir Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.41 ↓
(1.48) |
5.09 ↑
(5.07) |
6.55 ↑
(5.92) |
5.6%
(4.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Galatasaray - İstanbul Başakşehir?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Galatasaray will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Başakşehir will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Galatasaray: 50.5% – 99.5%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1.25 - Başakşehir (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Galatasaray (1.59) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - Galatasaray (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +0.5 - Başakşehir (4.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 4 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Galatasaray (1.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 4.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 4.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 4.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Galatasaray (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Başakşehir (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Galatasaray won 4.
- Galatasaray is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Başakşehir has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Başakşehir may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Başakşehir has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Galatasaray is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Galatasaray: Baltaci M.
(Suspended)
Bardakci A.
(Yellow Cards)
Sane L.
(Red Card)
Unyay A.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Başakşehir: Harit A.
(Injury)
Karatas K.
(Yellow Cards)
- We predict that Galatasaray will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Galatasaray won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 36:18. (average 1.8:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Galatasaray won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:8. (average 1.6:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Galatasaray won against İstanbul Başakşehir?
Galatasaray has won 8 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has İstanbul Başakşehir won against Galatasaray?
İstanbul Başakşehir has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Galatasaray - İstanbul Başakşehir were as follows:
18.12.2025
Galatasaray
-
İstanbul Başakşehir
1:0
18.10.2025
İstanbul Başakşehir
-
Galatasaray
1:2
30.05.2025
Galatasaray
-
İstanbul Başakşehir
2:0
12.01.2025
İstanbul Başakşehir
-
Galatasaray
1:2
08.01.2025
Galatasaray
-
İstanbul Başakşehir
2:2
Latest results of Galatasaray
Latest results of İstanbul Başakşehir
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 31 | 23 | 5 | 3 | 72:23 | 49 | 74 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 31 | 19 | 10 | 2 | 68:33 | 35 | 67 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 58:34 | 24 | 65 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 54:36 | 18 | 56 |
| 5 | Basaksehir | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 52:31 | 21 | 51 |
| 6 | Goztepe | 31 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 39:27 | 12 | 51 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 39:41 | -2 | 45 |
| 8 | Konyaspor | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 40:42 | -2 | 40 |
| 9 | Rizespor | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 41:44 | -3 | 37 |
| 10 | Gaziantep | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 41:52 | -11 | 37 |
| 11 | Kocaelispor | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 25:35 | -10 | 36 |
| 12 | Alanyaspor | 31 | 6 | 15 | 10 | 37:38 | -1 | 33 |
| 13 | Kasimpasa | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 29:45 | -16 | 31 |
| 14 | Genclerbirligi | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 30:44 | -14 | 28 |
| 15 | Eyupspor | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 25:44 | -19 | 28 |
| 16 | Antalyaspor | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 30:51 | -21 | 28 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 23:57 | -34 | 26 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 31 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 27:53 | -26 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
