İstanbul Başakşehir vs Heidenheim: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Europa Conference League İstanbul Başakşehir - Heidenheim
Result
3:1
12/12/2024 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 5
  • Referee: Guida M. (Ita)
İstanbul Başakşehir - Heidenheim - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.511.38
Ball Possession
41%59%
Goal Attempts
1116
Shots on Goal
64
Shots off Goal
33
Blocked Shots
29
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
96
Shots inside the Box
99
Shots outside the Box
27
Hit the Woodwork
01
Goalkeeper Saves
33
Free Kicks
1512
Offsides
00
Fouls
1215
Yellow Cards
13
Throw-ins
1427
Touches in the Opposition Box
2713
Passes
75% (247/331)81% (381/472)
Passes in the final third
62% (61/98)70% (76/108)
Crosses
30% (6/20)26% (6/23)
Tackles
67% (10/15)80% (16/20)
Clearances Total
2020
Interceptions
810

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Turuc D. , Piatek K. (A),
  • 18', 2 - 0, Crespo M. , Kemen O. (A),
  • 24', Ergun O. , Ozdemir B. ,
  • 30', Breunig M. , Honsak M. ,
  • 30', Wanner P. , Schoppner J. ,
  • 45+1', Maloney L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 61', 2 - 1, Honsak M. ,
  • 62', Scienza L. , Negele C. ,
  • 62', Maloney L. , Fohrenbach J. ,
  • 68', 3 - 1, Piatek K. , Crespo M. (A),
  • 72', Busch M. , Traore O. H. ,
  • 73', Piatek K. 🟨,
  • 73', Schoppner J. 🟨,
  • 74', Turuc D. , Keny P. P. ,
  • 86', Piatek K. , Pelkas D. ,
  • 86', Davidson , Kaplan E. ,
  • 90+2', Eicher V. 🟨,

Chances of winning


İstanbul Başakşehir
41.7%
Draw
27.4%
Heidenheim
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34% 26.9% 39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2% 25.3% 36.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • İstanbul Başakşehir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in İstanbul Başakşehir's performance.
  • Heidenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Heidenheim might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with İstanbul Başakşehir that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Heidenheim could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • İstanbul Başakşehir - Heidenheim Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (2.65)
    3.42
    (3.35)
    3.05
    (2.3)
    6.4%
    (11.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for İstanbul Başakşehir - Heidenheim?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Başakşehir will win (votes: 11 - 47.8%). Heidenheim will win (votes: 8 - 34.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 17.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Başakşehir: 27.4%68.2%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Başakşehir is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Heidenheim has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Heidenheim could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Başakşehir have a series of home games.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Başakşehir: Ba O. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Heidenheim: Janes L. (Shoulder Injury) Kaufmann M. (Ankle Injury) Niehues J. (Knee Injury) Pieringer M. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There are questionable in Başakşehir: Beyaz O. (Injury) Gurler S. (Injury) Sahiner O. (Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Başakşehir won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0
    Latest results of İstanbul Başakşehir
    Latest results of Heidenheim
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1Dundee UtdBye
    2ByeUNA Strassen
    3LarneAuda
    6UrartuNeman
    7VaduzBye
    8ByeDungannon
    9SilkeborgBye
    10ByeKA Akureyri
    11RosenborgBye
    12ByeBanga
    13Atletic EscaldesDudelange
    14ByeDinamo Tirana
    15Austria ViennaBye
    16ByeSpaeri
    17FC BallkaniBye
    18FlorianaHaverfordwest
    19VikingBye
    20ZeljeznicarKoper
    21AEK Athens FCBye
    23Tre FioriPyunik Yerevan
    24ByeGyor
    25Riga FCBye
    26Racing LuxembourgDila Gori
    27RakowBye
    28ByeZilina
    29BirkirkaraPetrocub
    31Ararat-ArmeniaBye
    32ByeU. Cluj
    33VarazdinBye
    34ByeSanta Clara
    35Kauno ZalgirisPenybont
    36ValurFlora
    38ByeMaribor
    39VllazniaBFC Daugavpils
    40MalishevaVikingur Reykjavik
    41HammarbyBye
    42ByeCharleroi
    43Radnicki 1923Bye
    44SJKKlaksvik
    45Novi PazarBye
    46ByeJagiellonia
    47Polissya ZhytomyrBye
    48Borac Banja LukaFC Santa Coloma
    49La FioritaVardar
    50ByeLausanne
    51HB TorshavnBye
    52ByeBrondby
    53OleksandriyaBye
    55HiberniansBye
    57St. PatricksHegelmann
    58KaljuPartizani
    59AIKBye
    60MagpiesPaide
    61FK SarajevoBye
    62ByeUniv. Craiova
    63ArisBye
    64ByePuskas Academy
    65St JosephsCliftonville
    66ByeShamrock Rovers
    68ByeAZ Alkmaar
    69ZiraBye
    70ByeHajduk Split
    71ArdaBye
    72NSI RunavikHJK
    74ByeSparta Prague
    75Zimbru ChisinauBye
    76ByeFC Astana
    77DecicSileks
    78ByeSK Rapid
    79ZhodinoRabotnicki
    80ByeMaccabi Haifa
    81ArazBye
    82ByeAris
    83OmoniaBye
    84Torpedo KutaisiOrdabasy
    85Cherno MoreBye
    86ByeBasaksehir
    87SutjeskaDynamo Brest
    88ByeBeitar Jerusalem

    Quarter-finals
    1Dundee UtdUNA Strassen
    2TBD #3Bye
    3ByeTBD #6
    4VaduzDungannon
    5SilkeborgKA Akureyri
    6RosenborgBanga
    7TBD #13Dinamo Tirana
    8Austria ViennaSpaeri
    9FC BallkaniTBD #18
    10VikingTBD #20
    11AEK Athens FCBye
    12TBD #23Gyor
    13Riga FCTBD #26
    14RakowZilina
    15TBD #29Bye
    16Ararat-ArmeniaU. Cluj
    17VarazdinSanta Clara
    18TBD #35TBD #36
    19ByeMaribor
    20TBD #39TBD #40
    21HammarbyCharleroi
    22Radnicki 1923TBD #44
    23Novi PazarJagiellonia
    24Polissya ZhytomyrTBD #48
    25TBD #49Lausanne
    26HB TorshavnBrondby
    27OleksandriyaBye
    28HiberniansBye
    29TBD #57TBD #58
    30AIKTBD #60
    31FK SarajevoUniv. Craiova
    32ArisPuskas Academy
    33TBD #65Shamrock Rovers
    34ByeAZ Alkmaar
    35ZiraHajduk Split
    36ArdaTBD #72
    37ByeSparta Prague
    38Zimbru ChisinauFC Astana
    39TBD #77SK Rapid
    40TBD #79Maccabi Haifa
    41ArazAris
    42OmoniaTBD #84
    43Cherno MoreBasaksehir
    44TBD #87Beitar Jerusalem
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