Result
0:3
24/01/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 19
- Referee: Kolak B. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 1.49 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (264/330) | 86% (358/417) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 1.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.21 | 2.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (264/330) | 86% (358/417) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (29/64) | 59% (23/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (49/74) | 79% (92/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (4/28) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.67 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 83% (5/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.09 | 0.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.09 | 0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 20', Soyalp F. 🟨,
- 35', 0 - 1, Selke D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Sahiner O. ↓, Bulut O. ↑,
- 62', Mendes J. ↓, Guler S. ↑,
- 62', Carole L. ↓, Mane C. ↑,
- 67', 0 - 2, Civelek R. (Own goal),
- 69', Selke D. ↓, Da Costa N. ↑,
- 70', Soyalp F. ↓, Tuci I. ↑,
- 81', Gunes U. ↓, Ergun O. ↑,
- 81', Fayzullaev A. ↓, Yildirim B. ↑,
- 84', Civelek R. ↓, Sariarslan T. ↑,
- 84', Onugkha G. ↓, Mather S. ↑,
- 86', 0 - 3, Da Costa N. ⚽, Shomurodov E. (A),
- 88', Harit A. ↓, Brnic I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Kayserispor
28.4% | Draw
27.3% | İstanbul Başakşehir
44.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kayserispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)İstanbul Başakşehir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)The ML Model estimate for Kayserispor aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Kayserispor - İstanbul Başakşehir Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.33 ↑
(3.29) |
3.44 ↓
(3.73) |
2.13 ↑
(2.06) |
6.1%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Kayserispor - İstanbul Başakşehir?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5 - Kayserispor (1.71) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
İstanbul Başakşehir will win
(13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): İstanbul Başakşehir will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Kayserispor (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Başakşehir (votes: 5 - 71.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kayserispor won 2.
- Kayserispor is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Başakşehir is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Başakşehir may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Kayserispor has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Başakşehir has had a series of home games.
- Başakşehir might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Kayserispor: Burak A.
(Suspended)
Celtik Y.
(Knee Injury)
Hosseini M.
(Injury)
Jung G.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Kayserispor: Civelek R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Başakşehir: Sari Y.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kayserispor won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:25. (average 0.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kayserispor won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Kayserispor won against İstanbul Başakşehir?
Kayserispor has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has İstanbul Başakşehir won against Kayserispor?
İstanbul Başakşehir has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kayserispor - İstanbul Başakşehir were as follows:
17.08.2025
İstanbul Başakşehir
-
Kayserispor
1:1
08.03.2025
Kayserispor
-
İstanbul Başakşehir
3:1
05.10.2024
İstanbul Başakşehir
-
Kayserispor
1:1
19.02.2024
İstanbul Başakşehir
-
Kayserispor
2:3
02.10.2023
Kayserispor
-
İstanbul Başakşehir
0:0
Latest results of Kayserispor
Latest results of İstanbul Başakşehir
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 55:17 | 38 | 55 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 23 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 52:21 | 31 | 53 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 45:27 | 18 | 48 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 44:29 | 15 | 43 |
| 5 | Goztepe | 23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 27:16 | 11 | 41 |
| 6 | Basaksehir | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 40:26 | 14 | 36 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 23 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 25:27 | -2 | 31 |
| 8 | Kocaelispor | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 21:24 | -3 | 30 |
| 9 | Gaziantep | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 30:40 | -10 | 28 |
| 10 | Alanyaspor | 23 | 5 | 11 | 7 | 25:27 | -2 | 26 |
| 11 | Rizespor | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 28:35 | -7 | 24 |
| 12 | Genclerbirligi | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 28:34 | -6 | 23 |
| 13 | Konyaspor | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 27:35 | -8 | 23 |
| 14 | Antalyaspor | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 22:36 | -14 | 23 |
| 15 | Eyupspor | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 19:35 | -16 | 21 |
| 16 | Kasimpasa | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 20:32 | -12 | 20 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 23 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 18:43 | -25 | 19 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 23 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 20:42 | -22 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
