Result
3:1
28/08/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Conference League - Qualification - Final
- Referee: Schlager D. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Romania | Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV |
 Turkey | Tabii, TRT 1 |
 Uzbekistan | Zor TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.82 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (263/332) | 86% (369/431) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.64 | 0.68 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (263/332) | 86% (369/431) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (33/65) | 64% (30/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (50/78) | 70% (73/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (3/7) | 28% (7/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.04 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.68 | 2.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.32 | -0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, Selke D. ⚽, Operi C. (A),
- 9', 1 - 1, Cicaldau A. ⚽, Bancu N. (A),
- 20', Baluta T. 🟨,
- 27', 2 - 1, Baiaram S. ⚽, Bancu N. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Crespo M. ↓, Kemen O. ↑,
- 47', Turuc D. 🟨,
- 54', Shomurodov E. 🟨,
- 54', Selke D. 🟨,
- 54', Badelj J. 🟨,
- 63', Ergun O. ↓, Fayzullaev A. ↑,
- 63', Ozdemir B. ↓, Gunes U. ↑,
- 63', Bancu N. 🟨,
- 73', Selke D. ↓, Da Costa N. ↑,
- 77', Baiaram S. ↓, Nsimba S. ↑,
- 77', Cicaldau A. ↓, Mekvabishvili A. ↑,
- 80', Operi C. 🟨,
- 80', Operi C. 🟨,
- 81', Brnic I. ↓, Sari Y. ↑,
- 81', 3 - 1, Nsimba S. ⚽, Mekvabishvili A. (A),
- 90+1', Gunes U. 🟨,
- 90+2', Teles ↓, Cretu A. ↑,
- 90+4', Baluta T. ↓, Houri L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Universitatea Craiova
33.2% | Draw
27.4% | İstanbul Başakşehir
39.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universitatea Craiova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)İstanbul Başakşehir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universitatea Craiova than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Universitatea Craiova - İstanbul Başakşehir Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.79 ↓
(2.88) |
3.39 ↑
(3.12) |
2.36 ↑
(2.31) |
7.8%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Universitatea Craiova - İstanbul Başakşehir?
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Uni Craiova will win (votes: 9 - 36%). Başakşehir will win (votes: 11 - 44%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Başakşehir: 24.5% – 63.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Uni Craiova (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Başakşehir (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Uni Craiova (1.87) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Uni Craiova (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Uni Craiova (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Başakşehir (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 2-1. 2nd leg.
- Uni Craiova is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Başakşehir's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Başakşehir may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Başakşehir has had a series of home games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Uni Craiova won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Universitatea Craiova won against İstanbul Başakşehir?
Universitatea Craiova has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has İstanbul Başakşehir won against Universitatea Craiova?
İstanbul Başakşehir has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Universitatea Craiova - İstanbul Başakşehir were as follows:
21.08.2025
İstanbul Başakşehir
-
Universitatea Craiova
1:2
Latest results of Universitatea Craiova
Latest results of İstanbul Başakşehir
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | KuPS (21) | Lech Poznan (11) | 0 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Noah (19) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Sparta Prague (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Zrinjski (23) | Crystal Palace (10) | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | AEK Larnaca (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Jagiellonia (17) | Fiorentina (15) | 4 : 2, 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Rakow (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Shkendija (22) | Samsunspor (12) | 0 : 4, 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Drita (20) | Celje (13) | 2 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 12 | AEK Athens (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Lausanne (9) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 14 | Mainz (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Omonia (18) | Rijeka (16) | 1 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Strasbourg (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Lech Poznan (11) | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | 2 : 1, 1 : 3 |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar (14) | Sparta Prague (4) | 4 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Crystal Palace (10) | AEK Larnaca (8) | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | Fiorentina (15) | Rakow (2) | 2 : 1, 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Samsunspor (12) | Rayo Vallecano (5) | 1 : 0, 1 : 3 |
| 6 | Celje (13) | AEK Athens (3) | 2 : 0, 0 : 4 |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Mainz (7) | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Rijeka (16) | Strasbourg (1) | 1 : 1, 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | |
| 2 | Crystal Palace (10) | Fiorentina (15) | |
| 3 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | AEK Athens (3) | |
| 4 | Mainz (7) | Strasbourg (1) | |
Semi-finalsFinal
