Result
3:1
28/08/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Conference League - Qualification - Final
- Referee: Schlager D. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Romania | Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV |
 Turkey | Tabii, TRT 1 |
 Uzbekistan | Zor TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.82 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (263/332) | 86% (369/431) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.64 | 0.68 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (263/332) | 86% (369/431) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (33/65) | 64% (30/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (50/78) | 70% (73/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (3/7) | 28% (7/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.04 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.68 | 2.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.32 | -0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, Selke D. ⚽, Operi C. (A),
- 9', 1 - 1, Cicaldau A. ⚽, Bancu N. (A),
- 20', Baluta T. 🟨,
- 27', 2 - 1, Baiaram S. ⚽, Bancu N. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Crespo M. ↓, Kemen O. ↑,
- 47', Turuc D. 🟨,
- 54', Shomurodov E. 🟨,
- 54', Selke D. 🟨,
- 54', Badelj J. 🟨,
- 63', Ergun O. ↓, Fayzullaev A. ↑,
- 63', Ozdemir B. ↓, Gunes U. ↑,
- 63', Bancu N. 🟨,
- 73', Selke D. ↓, Da Costa N. ↑,
- 77', Baiaram S. ↓, Nsimba S. ↑,
- 77', Cicaldau A. ↓, Mekvabishvili A. ↑,
- 80', Operi C. 🟨,
- 80', Operi C. 🟨,
- 81', Brnic I. ↓, Sari Y. ↑,
- 81', 3 - 1, Nsimba S. ⚽, Mekvabishvili A. (A),
- 90+1', Gunes U. 🟨,
- 90+2', Teles ↓, Cretu A. ↑,
- 90+4', Baluta T. ↓, Houri L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Universitatea Craiova
33.2% | Draw
27.4% | İstanbul Başakşehir
39.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universitatea Craiova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)İstanbul Başakşehir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universitatea Craiova than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Universitatea Craiova - İstanbul Başakşehir Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.79 ↓
(2.88) |
3.39 ↑
(3.12) |
2.36 ↑
(2.31) |
7.8%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Universitatea Craiova - İstanbul Başakşehir?
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Uni Craiova will win (votes: 9 - 36%). Başakşehir will win (votes: 11 - 44%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Başakşehir: 24.5% – 63.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Uni Craiova (votes: 1 - 25%). Başakşehir (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 2-1. 2nd leg.
- Uni Craiova is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Başakşehir's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Başakşehir may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Başakşehir has had a series of home games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Uni Craiova won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Universitatea Craiova won against İstanbul Başakşehir?
Universitatea Craiova has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has İstanbul Başakşehir won against Universitatea Craiova?
İstanbul Başakşehir has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Universitatea Craiova - İstanbul Başakşehir were as follows:
21.08.2025
İstanbul Başakşehir
-
Universitatea Craiova
1:2
Latest results of Universitatea Craiova
Latest results of İstanbul Başakşehir
UEFA Europa Conference League Table
League phase | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Fiorentina | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | AEK Larnaca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 3 | Celje | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | Lausanne | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Samsunspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Mainz | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Rayo Vallecano | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | Rakow | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Strasbourg | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Jagiellonia | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Noah | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 12 | AEK Athens FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | Zrinjski | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:1 | 4 | 3 |
| 14 | Lech Poznan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 3 |
| 15 | Sparta Prague | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
| 16 | Crystal Palace | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 17 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 18 | Legia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 19 | Rijeka | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 20 | Shkendija | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
| 21 | AZ Alkmaar | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 3 |
| 22 | Lincoln Red Imps | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
| 23 | Drita | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 24 | Hacken | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 25 | KuPS | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 26 | Omonia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 27 | Shelbourne | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 1 |
| 28 | Sigma Olomouc | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 29 | Univ. Craiova | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 30 | Breidablik | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 1 |
| 31 | Slovan Bratislava | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 32 | Hamrun | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 33 | Shamrock Rovers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
| 34 | Dyn. Kyiv | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
| 35 | SK Rapid | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
| 36 | Aberdeen | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:9 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
