İstanbulspor vs Ankaragücü – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
09/02/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • TURKEY: 1. Lig - Round 23
  • Referee: Yorgancilar R. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.891.35
Ball Possession
55%45%
Goal Attempts
2211
Shots on Goal
63
Shots off Goal
103
Blocked Shots
65
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
77
Shots inside the Box
129
Shots outside the Box
102
Hit the Woodwork
20
Goalkeeper Saves
35
Free Kicks
916
Offsides
40
Fouls
169
Yellow Cards
20
Throw-ins
1315
Touches in the Opposition Box
3627
Passes
85% (394/466)79% (298/375)
Passes in the final third
79% (143/180)71% (71/100)
Crosses
16% (3/19)40% (10/25)
Tackles
89% (8/9)57% (4/7)
Clearances Total
2522
Interceptions
1710

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 31', Diarra G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 67', Kitsiou S. , Gultekin Y. ,
  • 68', 1 - 0, Gultekin E. ,
  • 74', Diarra G. , Cham A. ,
  • 74', Rakoczy M. , Astanakulov S. ,
  • 83', Bilazer H. , Cokcalis I. ,
  • 84', Sahan O. , Bahadir Y. ,
  • 84', Loshaj F. , Aydin D. ,
  • 84', Sambissa D. , Ozer Y. ,
  • 90+1', Gultekin E. , Aksu D. ,
  • 90+2', Bahadir Y. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


İstanbulspor
42.3%
Draw
26.9%
Ankaragücü
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.2% 28.9% 35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4% 28.3% 35.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • İstanbulspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in İstanbulspor's performance.
  • Ankaragücü has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for İstanbulspor than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with İstanbulspor that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ankaragücü than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ankaragücü could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • İstanbulspor - Ankaragücü Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (2.56)
    3.44
    (3.21)
    3.02
    (2.65)
    7.7%
    (8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for İstanbulspor - Ankaragücü?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. İstanbulspor will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Ankaragücü will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for İstanbulspor: 46.4%99%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches İstanbulspor won 1.
    • Recent matches İstanbulspor is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Ankaragücü is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • İstanbulspor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Ankaragücü have a series of guest games.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches İstanbulspor won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 9:13 (average 1:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams İstanbulspor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:6 (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between İstanbulspor - Ankaragücü were as follows:
    01.09.2024 Ankaragücü - İstanbulspor 2:1
    02.03.2024 Ankaragücü - İstanbulspor 1:1
    22.10.2023 İstanbulspor - Ankaragücü 2:1
    08.04.2023 Ankaragücü - İstanbulspor 3:2
    08.10.2022 İstanbulspor - Ankaragücü 1:2
    Latest results of İstanbulspor
    Latest results of Ankaragücü
    Turkish First League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Erzurumspor35239379:245578
    2Amedspor35219577:364172
    3Erokspor352010579:334670
    4Corum35197955:371864
    5Bodrumspor35188969:363362
    6Pendikspor351513754:312358
    7Keciorengucu351412967:402754
    8Bandirmaspor3514111043:331053
    9Sivasspor3513111144:38650
    10Manisa FK351471450:54-449
    11Igdir FK351391347:48-148
    12Vanspor FK3512101348:40846
    13Sariyer351371541:41046
    14Umraniyespor351271642:44-243
    15Istanbulspor AS3510131243:52-943
    16Boluspor351261752:54-242
    17Serik Spor351061939:69-3036
    18Sakaryaspor35891844:62-1833
    19Hatayspor35172727:96-6910
    20Adana Demirspor ✔ 35133120:152-132-54

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Adana Demirspor is Relegated to