Al-Zawraa vs Istiklol Dushanbe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Al-Zawraa Stadium (Baghdad).

AFC Champions League 2 - Round 4
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	SportKlub 1
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Russia	TV Start
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
Ukraine	Sport 2, Sport 3
World	Sport 2 Baltic

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.84	1.12
Ball Possession
55%	45%
Total shots
9	9
Shots on target
3	2
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
4	5
Passes
80% (363/453)	77% (282/367)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.84	1.12
xG on target (xGOT)
1.89	0.73
Total shots
9	9
Shots on target
3	2
Shots off target
3	7
Blocked Shots
3	0
Shots inside the Box
5	4
Shots outside the Box
4	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
4	5
Touches in opposition box
16	9
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	8
Free Kicks
8	11
Passes
80% (363/453)	77% (282/367)
Long passes
39% (25/64)	42% (19/45)
Passes in final third
63% (56/89)	63% (79/126)
Crosses
17% (2/12)	8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.74	0.34
Throw-ins
24	25
Fouls
11	8
Tackles
67% (14/21)	64% (14/22)
Duels won
47	50
Clearances
24	23
Interceptions
12	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	1
xGOT faced
0.73	1.89
Goals prevented
-0.27	-0.11

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Abdulkareem H. ⚽,
34', Kadhim H. F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 2 - 0, Ibrahim (Pen),
56', Haghnazari S. ↓, Gafurov M. ↑,
56', Dehghani R. ↓, Komolafe P. ↑,
59', Gafurov M. 🟨,
64', 2 - 1, Juraboev A. (Pen),
67', Kadhim H. F. ↓, Bitang C. ↑,
68', Bitang C. 🟨,
78', Abdulkareem H. ↓, Mohammad M. ↑,
78', Qasim M. ↓, Bani Hani R. ↑,
79', Ismael D. ↓, Mahdi Al Saedi S. M. ↑,
82', Rakhimov M. ↓, Islomov T. ↑,
85', Safarov M. 🟨,
87', Soirov R. ↓, Kamolov R. ↑,
88', Ibrahim ↓, Jabbar M. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/2v3zd9n2

Official Live

Chances of winning

Al-Zawraa
60.4%

Draw
22.5%

Istiklol Dushanbe
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

23.1%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

24%

21.2%

Al-Zawraa - Istiklol Dushanbe Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.69)	4.13 ↑ (4.02)	5.45 ↑ (4.21)	7.4% (7.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Al-Zawraa - Istiklol Dushanbe?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -1 - Al-Zawraa (1.78) (votes: 5 - 83.3%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Users Predictions: Al-Zawraa will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Al-Zawraa has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Istiklol is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Al-Zawraa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Istiklol has had a series of home games.
In this match, Al-Zawraa is a strong favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Al-Zawraa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

How many head-to-head matches has Al-Zawraa won against Istiklol Dushanbe?

Al-Zawraa has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Istiklol Dushanbe won against Al-Zawraa?

Istiklol Dushanbe has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Zawraa - Istiklol Dushanbe were as follows:

22.10.2025 Istiklol Dushanbe - Al-Zawraa 2:1

Latest results of Al-Zawraa

31.10.2025 Al Mosul - Al-Zawraa 1:3 ✺

27.10.2025 Al-Qasim - Al-Zawraa 0:2 ✺

22.10.2025 Istiklol Dushanbe - Al-Zawraa 2:1 ✺

05.10.2025 Al-Zawraa - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya 0:2 ✺

01.10.2025 Al-Zawraa - Al-Nassr Riyadh 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Istiklol Dushanbe

28.10.2025 Istiklol Dushanbe - Ravshan Kulob 6:2 ✺

22.10.2025 Istiklol Dushanbe - Al-Zawraa 2:1 ✺

01.10.2025 Istiklol Dushanbe - Goa 2:0 ✺

24.09.2025 Istiklol Dushanbe - Barkchi Hisor 2:1 ✺

17.09.2025 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Istiklol Dushanbe 5:0 ✺

AFC Champions League 2 Table

Main

Group A

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Al Wasl	6	4	2	0	15:6	9	14
2	Esteghlal F.C	6	2	2	2	8:10	-2	8
3	Al-Muharraq	6	2	1	3	8:8	0	7
4	Al Wehdat	6	1	1	4	5:12	-7	4

Group B

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Al Ahli Doha	6	2	4	0	7:4	3	10
2	Arkadag	6	1	4	1	5:6	-1	7
3	Al Khalidiyah	6	1	3	2	3:3	0	6
4	Andijan	6	0	5	1	1:3	-2	5

Group C

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Al Hussein	4	3	0	1	8:4	4	9
2	Sepahan	4	2	1	1	5:3	2	7
3	Ahal	4	0	1	3	4:10	-6	1
4	Mohun Bagan	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Group D

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Al Nassr	6	6	0	0	22:2	20	18
2	Al Zawraa	6	3	0	3	8:11	-3	9
3	Istiqlol Dushanbe	6	3	0	3	7:13	-6	9
4	Goa	6	0	0	6	3:14	-11	0

Group E

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Macarthur FC	6	4	1	1	11:6	5	13
2	Cong An Ha Noi	6	2	2	2	9:7	2	8
3	Tai Po	6	2	1	3	7:12	-5	7
4	Beijing Guoan	6	1	2	3	10:12	-2	5

Group F

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Gamba Osaka	6	6	0	0	16:2	14	18
2	Ratchaburi	6	3	0	3	15:8	7	9
3	Nam Dinh	6	3	0	3	14:7	7	9
4	Eastern AA	6	0	0	6	2:30	-28	0

Group G

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Persib Bandung	6	4	1	1	11:6	5	13
2	Bangkok Utd	6	3	1	2	8:7	1	10
3	Lion City	6	3	1	2	10:8	2	10
4	Selangor	6	0	1	5	7:15	-8	1

Group H

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Tampines	6	5	1	0	14:5	9	16
2	Pohang	6	4	1	1	7:2	5	13
3	Pathum United	6	2	0	4	5:8	-3	6
4	Kaya	6	0	0	6	4:15	-11	0

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