Result
0:2
28/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Sergipano - Play Offs - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
 Brazil | TV Record |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 18', 0 - 1, Guilherme Nunes ⚽,
- 24', Sassa 🟨,
- 43', Guilherme Nunes 🟨,
- 45+2', Lucao 🟨,
- 45+4', 0 - 2, Andrey Quintino ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Fabricio Moura ↓, Pedro Igor ↑,
- 46', Guilherme Nunes ↓, Renilson ↑,
- 57', Tarcisio ↓, Manoel ↑,
- 58', Danielzinho ↓, Weriton ↑,
- 59', 🟨,
- 64', Jonata ↓, Lemos I. ↑,
- 65', Lorran ↓, Bruno Silva ↑,
- 65', Sassa ↓, Maikon Aquino ↑,
- 65', Bruno Silva 🟨,
- 79', 🟨,
- 79', Lucao 🟥,
- 90', 🟨,
- 90+3', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Itabaiana
34.9% | Draw
33.6% | Confiança
31.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Itabaiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Itabaiana's form might have worsened.Confiança has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itabaiana than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Itabaiana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Itabaiana - Confiança Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.6 ↑
(2.19) |
2.7 ↓
(3.05) |
2.88 ↓
(3.18) |
10.2%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 2-1. Second leg.
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Itabaiana won 1.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Confiança may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Confiança has had a series of home games.
- Itabaiana could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Itabaiana won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:19. (average 1.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Itabaiana won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 0.9:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Itabaiana won against Confiança?
Itabaiana has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Confiança won against Itabaiana?
Confiança has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Itabaiana - Confiança were as follows:
25.02.2026
Confiança
-
Itabaiana
1:2
08.02.2026
Confiança
-
Itabaiana
1:0
12.07.2025
Itabaiana
-
Confiança
0:0
29.03.2025
Confiança
-
Itabaiana
1:1
22.03.2025
Itabaiana
-
Confiança
1:2
Latest results of Itabaiana
Latest results of Confiança
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Sergipe (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Lagarto (3) | America SE (6) | 0 : 3 |
| 3 | Itabaiana (2) | Falcon (7) | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Confianca (4) | Guarany SE (5) | 1 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Sergipe (1) | America SE (6) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Itabaiana (2) | Confianca (4) | 0 : 2, 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Sergipe (1) | Confianca (4) | |
3rd place| 2 | Itabaiana (2) | America SE (6) | |
