Result
0:0
12/07/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - First stage - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | BandSports, Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 21', Belem P. 🟨,
- 23', Luiz Otavio 🟨,
- 43', Joao Vitor ↓, Pedro Henrique ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Fabricio Oya ↓, David ↑,
- 65', Tarcisio ↓, Kauan Santos ↑,
- 67', Alan Cardoso 🟨,
- 68', Vitinho ↓, Rafinha ↑,
- 68', Neto Oliveira ↓, Thiago Santos ↑,
- 70', Pedro Henrique 🟨,
- 72', Fredson 🟨,
- 74', Leilson ↓, Robinho ↑,
- 74', Dione ↓, Rhuan Silveira ↑,
- 75', Breiner C. ↓, Matheusinho ↑,
- 79', Carlos Coppetti ↓, Bruno Sena ↑,
- 80', Thiago Santos ↓, Nicholas ↑,
- 88', Kauan Santos 🟨,
- 89', Luiz Otavio ↓, Eduardo Moura ↑,
- 89', Dionisio ↓, Fabricio Pereira ↑,
Chances of winning
Itabaiana
38.2% | Draw
31.6% | Confiança
30.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Itabaiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Itabaiana's form might have worsened.Confiança has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itabaiana than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Itabaiana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Itabaiana - Confiança Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.37 ↑
(2) |
2.87 ↓
(3.13) |
3.01 ↓
(3.55) |
10.3%
(10.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Itabaiana - Confiança?
Users Predictions:
Itabaiana will win
(12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Itabaiana will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Itabaiana won 0.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Itabaiana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Confiança has had a series of away games.
- Itabaiana might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Itabaiana won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Itabaiana won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 0.9:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Itabaiana won against Confiança?
Itabaiana has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Confiança won against Itabaiana?
Confiança has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Itabaiana - Confiança were as follows:
29.03.2025
Confiança
-
Itabaiana
1:1
22.03.2025
Itabaiana
-
Confiança
1:2
23.02.2025
Confiança
-
Itabaiana
0:0
07.04.2024
Confiança
-
Itabaiana
1:0
03.04.2024
Itabaiana
-
Confiança
2:2
Latest results of Itabaiana
Latest results of Confiança
Brazilian Serie C Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | SER Caxias ✔ | 17 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 26:17 | 9 | 37 |
| 2 | Nautico ✔ | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 21:6 | 15 | 32 |
| 3 | Ponte Preta ✔ | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 17:15 | 2 | 30 |
| 4 | Londrina ✔ | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 26:17 | 9 | 29 |
| 5 | Sao Bernardo ✔ | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 18:12 | 6 | 29 |
| 6 | Floresta EC | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 13:14 | -1 | 24 |
| 7 | Confianca | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 20:21 | -1 | 23 |
| 8 | Guarani | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 17:18 | -1 | 23 |
| 9 | Brusque | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 22 |
| 10 | Ypiranga FC | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 22 |
| 11 | CSA | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 20:19 | 1 | 22 |
| 12 | Ituano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 17:20 | -3 | 21 |
| 13 | Maringa FC | 17 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
| 14 | Botafogo PB | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 21:19 | 2 | 20 |
| 15 | Figueirense | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 20:17 | 3 | 20 |
| 16 | Anapolis | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 13:18 | -5 | 19 |
| 17 | Itabaiana | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 13:18 | -5 | 18 |
| 18 | ABC | 17 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 19:23 | -4 | 17 |
| 19 | Retro ✔ | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 6:20 | -14 | 13 |
| 20 | Tombense ✔ | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 12:20 | -8 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie D
Clinched Spots for Teams
SER Caxias is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Nautico is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Ponte Preta is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Londrina is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Sao Bernardo is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Retro is Relegated to Serie D
Tombense is Relegated to Serie D
