Itabaiana vs Confiança – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
09/04/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa do Nordeste - Round 3

Match Stats

Yellow cards
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 6', Valdir Junior , Weriton ,
  • 45+4', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 49', Ricardo Cerqueira 🟨,
  • 60', Breiner C. , Andrey Quintino ,
  • 62', 🟨,
  • 62', Leilson 🟨,
  • 63', Pedro Igor , Elimar ,
  • 70', Caio Felipe , Karl ,
  • 70', Leilson , Rodrigo Alves ,
  • 70', 0 - 1, ,
  • 72', Wendel , Sassa ,
  • 79', Ricardo Cerqueira , Lucas Bessa ,
  • 79', Gustavo Crecci , Everton Kanela ,
  • 90+2', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Itabaiana
36.4%
Draw
30.9%
Confiança
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.5% 29% 33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6% 28.2% 32.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Itabaiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Confiança has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itabaiana than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Itabaiana - Confiança Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.52
    (2.4)
    2.89
    (3.1)
    2.82
    (2.69)
    9.6%
    (11.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Itabaiana - Confiança?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DNB - Confiança (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Confiança (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • First leg result: 2-1. Aggregate: 2-3. Second leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Itabaiana won 1.
    • Itabaiana is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Confiança's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Confiança may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Itabaiana won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:20. (average 0.9:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Itabaiana won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 0.8:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Itabaiana - Confiança were as follows:
    28.02.2026 Itabaiana - Confiança 0:2
    25.02.2026 Confiança - Itabaiana 1:2
    08.02.2026 Confiança - Itabaiana 1:0
    12.07.2025 Itabaiana - Confiança 0:0
    29.03.2025 Confiança - Itabaiana 1:1
    Latest results of Itabaiana
    25.03.2026 Itabaiana - CRB Maceio 0:0
    04.03.2026 Manauara - Itabaiana 3:1
    28.02.2026 Itabaiana - Confiança 0:2
    Latest results of Confiança
    05.04.2026 Confiança - Amazonas 0:1
    26.03.2026 Sousa - Confiança 4:1
    18.03.2026 Vila Nova - Confiança 0:1
    14.03.2026 Sergipe - Confiança 1:0
    Brazilian Copa do Nordeste Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1ASA32105:237
    2Vitoria32019:546
    3Sousa32016:246
    4Fluminense-PI31113:304
    5Itabaiana30120:4-41


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Confianca32014:406
    2Juazeirense31115:504
    3Botafogo PB31114:5-14
    4Piaui31021:3-23
    5CRB30122:6-41


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sport Recife33006:159
    2Ferroviario32014:316
    3Ceara31114:404
    4America RN31112:3-14
    5Imperatriz30122:4-21


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Retro32014:406
    2Fortaleza32013:306
    3ABC31114:224
    4Jacuipense30121:3-21
    5Maranhao30123:6-31

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