Result
1:0
11/08/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - First stage - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet+, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Karl ⚽,
- 16', Fredson 🟨,
- 19', Gustavo Crecci 🟨,
- 24', Baianinho 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Leo Costa ↓, Igor Bahia ↑,
- 46', Tarcisio ↓, Kauan Santos ↑,
- 46', Felipe Albuquerque ↓, Diogo Batista ↑,
- 51', Robinho 🟨,
- 60', Dione ↓, Carlos Coppetti ↑,
- 61', Robinho ↓, DG ↑,
- 65', Jackson 🟨,
- 65', Baianinho ↓, Robinho ↑,
- 65', Jackson ↓, David ↑,
- 66', Leilson ↓, Gabriel Marques ↑,
- 70', Leo Souza 🟨,
- 74', Karl ↓, Joao Maranhao ↑,
- 87', Tiago Marques ↓, Luciano Naninho ↑,
Chances of winning
Itabaiana
41.8% | Draw
31.2% | CS Alagoano
27% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Itabaiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)CS Alagoano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and CS Alagoano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Itabaiana than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for CS Alagoano than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Itabaiana - CS Alagoano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.31 ↓
(2.37) |
3.09 ↑
(3) |
3.57 ↑
(2.8) |
3.7%
(11.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Itabaiana - CS Alagoano?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Itabaiana will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Itabaiana: 29% – 96%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Itabaiana (votes: 4 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Itabaiana will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 9).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- CSA may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Itabaiana won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Itabaiana won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Itabaiana won against CS Alagoano?
Itabaiana has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has CS Alagoano won against Itabaiana?
CS Alagoano has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Itabaiana - CS Alagoano were as follows:
Latest results of Itabaiana
Latest results of CS Alagoano
Brazilian Serie C Table
Second stageGroup B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Floresta EC | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Londrina | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | SER Caxias | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Sao Bernardo | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ponte Preta | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 10 |
| 2 | Guarani | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Nautico | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 4 |
| 4 | Brusque | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Serie B Superbet
