Result
3:1
27/07/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - First stage - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet+, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 3', Carlos Coppetti 🟨,
- 4', Grigor 🟨,
- 16', 1 - 0, Leilson (Pen),
- 20', Leo Passos 🟨,
- 30', Tiaguinho ↓, Guilherme Dal Pian ↑,
- 35', Neto Berola 🟨,
- 41', 1 - 1, Leo Passos ⚽, Neto Berola (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 49', 2 - 1, Jackson ⚽, Leilson (A),
- 54', 3 - 1, Jackson ⚽, Leilson (A),
- 62', Vinicius Popo ↓, Ze Carlos ↑,
- 62', Neto Berola ↓, Felipe Muranga ↑,
- 64', Jackson ↓, Karl ↑,
- 64', Dione ↓, Joao Maranhao ↑,
- 67', Belem P. ↓, Betao ↑,
- 70', Dija ↓, Kaio Mendes ↑,
- 70', Grigor ↓, Gabriel Razera ↑,
- 75', Tarcisio ↓, DG ↑,
- 75', Carlos Coppetti ↓, Vini Locatelli ↑,
Chances of winning
Itabaiana
36.6% | Draw
31.4% | Ituano
32% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Itabaiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)Ituano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itabaiana than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Itabaiana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ituano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Itabaiana - Ituano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.5 ↑
(2.2) |
2.92 ↑
(2.9) |
2.86 ↓
(3.2) |
9.2%
(11.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Itabaiana - Ituano?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ituano (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 10).
- Recent form of Itabaiana has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Ituano has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Ituano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Itabaiana won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Itabaiana won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Itabaiana won against Ituano?
Itabaiana has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ituano won against Itabaiana?
Ituano has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Itabaiana - Ituano were as follows:
Latest results of Itabaiana
Brazilian Serie C Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | SER Caxias | 16 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 26:17 | 9 | 36 |
| 2 | Nautico | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 20:6 | 14 | 29 |
| 3 | Sao Bernardo | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 18:9 | 9 | 29 |
| 4 | Ponte Preta | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 27 |
| 5 | Londrina | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24:16 | 8 | 26 |
| 6 | Floresta EC | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 24 |
| 7 | Brusque | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 16:15 | 1 | 22 |
| 8 | Ypiranga FC | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 13:17 | -4 | 21 |
| 9 | CSA | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 18:16 | 2 | 21 |
| 10 | Confianca | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19:21 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 | Guarani | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 13:15 | -2 | 20 |
| 12 | Ituano | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15:18 | -3 | 20 |
| 13 | Botafogo PB | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:17 | 2 | 19 |
| 14 | Anapolis | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 13:17 | -4 | 19 |
| 15 | Maringa FC | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 19:21 | -2 | 17 |
| 16 | ABC | 16 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 16:19 | -3 | 17 |
| 17 | Figueirense | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 16 |
| 18 | Itabaiana | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 12:17 | -5 | 15 |
| 19 | Retro | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 6:19 | -13 | 13 |
| 20 | Tombense | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 12:20 | -8 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie D
