Result
3:1
27/07/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - First stage - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet+, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 3', Carlos Coppetti 🟨,
- 4', Grigor 🟨,
- 16', 1 - 0, Leilson (Pen),
- 20', Leo Passos 🟨,
- 30', Tiaguinho ↓, Guilherme Dal Pian ↑,
- 35', Neto Berola 🟨,
- 41', 1 - 1, Leo Passos ⚽, Neto Berola (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 49', 2 - 1, Jackson ⚽, Leilson (A),
- 54', 3 - 1, Jackson ⚽, Leilson (A),
- 62', Vinicius Popo ↓, Ze Carlos ↑,
- 62', Neto Berola ↓, Felipe Muranga ↑,
- 64', Jackson ↓, Karl ↑,
- 64', Dione ↓, Joao Maranhao ↑,
- 67', Belem P. ↓, Betao ↑,
- 70', Dija ↓, Kaio Mendes ↑,
- 70', Grigor ↓, Gabriel Razera ↑,
- 75', Tarcisio ↓, DG ↑,
- 75', Carlos Coppetti ↓, Vini Locatelli ↑,
Chances of winning
Itabaiana
36.6% | Draw
31.4% | Ituano
32% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Itabaiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)Ituano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itabaiana than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Itabaiana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ituano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Itabaiana - Ituano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.5 ↑
(2.2) |
2.92 ↑
(2.9) |
2.86 ↓
(3.2) |
9.2%
(11.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Itabaiana - Ituano?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Itabaiana (votes: 1 - 50%). Ituano (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 10).
- Recent form of Itabaiana has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Ituano has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Ituano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Itabaiana won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Itabaiana won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Itabaiana won against Ituano?
Itabaiana has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ituano won against Itabaiana?
Ituano has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Itabaiana - Ituano were as follows:
Latest results of Itabaiana
Brazilian Serie C Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ituano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Maringa FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Brusque | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Floresta EC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Santa Cruz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Paysandu PA | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Botafogo PB | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Amazonas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Figueirense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Guarani | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Maranhao | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Ypiranga FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Ferroviaria | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | SER Caxias | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Inter de Limeira | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Volta Redonda | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Itabaiana | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Confianca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 19 | Barra FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 20 | Anapolis | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie D
