Result
0:0
31/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Sergipano - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Brazil | TV Record |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Lagarto
30.4% | Draw
32.4% | Itabaiana
37.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lagarto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lagarto's form might have worsened.Itabaiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Itabaiana's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lagarto than the current prediction. (+12.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lagarto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Itabaiana than the current prediction. (-8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Itabaiana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lagarto - Itabaiana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.98 ↑
(2.22) |
2.79 ↓
(3.26) |
2.44 ↓
(2.97) |
10.4%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lagarto won 0.
- Lagarto is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Itabaiana has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Itabaiana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Lagarto won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 0.7:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lagarto won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Lagarto won against Itabaiana?
Lagarto has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Itabaiana won against Lagarto?
Itabaiana has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lagarto - Itabaiana were as follows:
08.02.2025
Lagarto
-
Itabaiana
0:1
09.03.2024
Itabaiana
-
Lagarto
2:2
16.02.2023
Itabaiana
-
Lagarto
1:0
Latest results of Lagarto
Latest results of Itabaiana
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Sergipe (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Lagarto (3) | America SE (6) | 0 : 3 |
| 3 | Itabaiana (2) | Falcon (7) | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Confianca (4) | Guarany SE (5) | 1 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Sergipe (1) | America SE (6) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Itabaiana (2) | Confianca (4) | 0 : 2, 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Sergipe (1) | Confianca (4) | |
3rd place| 2 | Itabaiana (2) | America SE (6) | |
