Itabaiana vs Maranhão – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Copa do Nordeste Itabaiana - Maranhão
Result
3:4
21/03/2024 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: COPA DO NORDESTE - ROUND 6

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Vinicius Barata ,
  • 15', Bruno Sena 🟨,
  • 16', 0 - 2, Andre Radija ,
  • 31', Vitao 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 2)
  • 57', da Conceicao Araujo C. , Matheus ,
  • 57', Andre Radija , Hugo Leonardo ,
  • 63', Moises 🟨,
  • 65', Alison , Rafael Teixeira ,
  • 69', Marcelinho , Jupi ,
  • 69', Chiquinho Alagoano , Douglas Dias ,
  • 70', 1 - 2, Wendel Barros ,
  • 77', 1 - 3, Maicon ,
  • 81', 1 - 4, Rafael Teixeira ,
  • 82', Vitao , Matheus Prado ,
  • 84', 2 - 4, Joao Vitor ,
  • 85', Wendel Barros , Nenem ,
  • 90+2', Leo Carvalho 🟨,
  • 90+8', Rafael Teixeira 🟨,
  • 90+8', 🟨,
  • 90+9', 3 - 4, Matheus Prado ,

Chances of winning


Itabaiana
29.6%
Draw
30.4%
Maranhão
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.5% 32.1% 34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35% 33.6% 32.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Itabaiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Maranhão has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maranhão's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itabaiana than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Itabaiana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maranhão than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maranhão, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Itabaiana - Maranhão Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.1
    (2.73)
    3.02
    (2.84)
    2.29
    (2.65)
    9.1%
    (9.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 8 and 7).
    • Recent matches Itabaiana is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Maranhão is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Maranhão could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Itabaiana have a series of guest games.
    • Recently Maranhão have a series of home games.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Itabaiana
    16.03.2024 Dorense - Itabaiana 1:1
    13.03.2024 Dorense - Itabaiana 0:0
    09.03.2024 Itabaiana - Lagarto 2:2
    03.03.2024 Confiança - Itabaiana 0:1
    Latest results of Maranhão
    10.03.2024 Maranhão - Cordino 2:0
    06.03.2024 Maranhão - Treze 1:0
    02.03.2024 Maranhão - Pinheiro 2:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1CSAFerroviario2 : 1
    2VitoriaConfianca0 : 1
    3BahiaFortaleza2 : 1
    4Sport RecifeCeara0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1CSAConfianca
    2BahiaCeara

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2