Itabaiana vs Náutico Capibaribe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie C Itabaiana - Náutico Capibaribe
Result
2:1
13/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - First stage - Round 1
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDAZN Brasil

Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
31
Corner Kicks
23
Yellow Cards
41
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
79
Corner Kicks
23
Goalkeeper Saves
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 34', 0 - 1, Vinicius ,
  • 38', Fabian Fernandez Nizio A. R. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Wenderson 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Valdeci , Robinho ,
  • 46', Bruno Sena , Fabricio Oya ,
  • 53', 1 - 1, Wendel R. N. J. , Carlos Coppetti (A),
  • 60', Felipe Santana , Marco Antonio ,
  • 67', Carlos Coppetti 🟨,
  • 70', Jackson , Cabral J. ,
  • 70', Fabian Fernandez Nizio A. R. , Romeo ,
  • 73', 2 - 1, Cabral J. , Leilson (A),
  • 76', Kauan , Betao ,
  • 77', Helio Borges , Caio Vitor ,
  • 77', Wenderson , Bruno Mezenga ,
  • 80', Marcos Ytalo , Igor Fernandes ,
  • 80', Luiz Paulo , Arnaldo ,
  • 84', Wendel R. N. J. 🟨,
  • 89', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Itabaiana
31.8%
Draw
32.1%
Náutico Capibaribe
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.6% 30.3% 42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3% 30.6% 42.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Itabaiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • Náutico Capibaribe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Náutico Capibaribe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Itabaiana than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Náutico Capibaribe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Itabaiana - Náutico Capibaribe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.84
    (3.29)
    2.82
    (3)
    2.51
    (2.16)
    10.6%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Náutico will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Itabaiana won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1 (average 0:0.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Itabaiana won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0
    Latest results of Itabaiana
    Latest results of Náutico Capibaribe
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1SER Caxias1390422:16627
    2Ponte Preta1382313:10326
    3Londrina1365221:12923
    4Sao Bernardo1364314:8622
    5Ypiranga FC1362512:14-220
    6Nautico1355314:6820
    7Floresta EC1354410:11-119
    8Brusque1353512:12018
    9CSA1346315:12318
    10Ituano1345412:13-117
    11Botafogo PB1344515:11416
    12Guarani1344510:12-216
    13Figueirense1336415:14115
    14Maringa FC1336417:19-215
    15ABC1329215:17-215
    16Confianca1334614:19-513
    17Anapolis132749:13-413
    18Retro133376:15-912
    19Itabaiana133289:16-711
    20Tombense1325611:16-511

          Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie D