Result
2:1
13/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - First stage - Round 1
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | DAZN Brasil |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 34', 0 - 1, Vinicius ⚽,
- 38', Fabian Fernandez Nizio A. R. 🟨,
- 45+4', Wenderson 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Valdeci ↓, Robinho ↑,
- 46', Bruno Sena ↓, Fabricio Oya ↑,
- 53', 1 - 1, Wendel R. N. J. ⚽, Carlos Coppetti (A),
- 60', Felipe Santana ↓, Marco Antonio ↑,
- 67', Carlos Coppetti 🟨,
- 70', Jackson ↓, Cabral J. ↑,
- 70', Fabian Fernandez Nizio A. R. ↓, Romeo ↑,
- 73', 2 - 1, Cabral J. ⚽, Leilson (A),
- 76', Kauan ↓, Betao ↑,
- 77', Helio Borges ↓, Caio Vitor ↑,
- 77', Wenderson ↓, Bruno Mezenga ↑,
- 80', Marcos Ytalo ↓, Igor Fernandes ↑,
- 80', Luiz Paulo ↓, Arnaldo ↑,
- 84', Wendel R. N. J. 🟨,
- 89', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Itabaiana
31.8% | Draw
32.1% | Náutico Capibaribe
36.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Itabaiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Náutico Capibaribe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Náutico Capibaribe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Itabaiana than the current prediction. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Náutico Capibaribe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Itabaiana - Náutico Capibaribe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.84 ↓
(3.29) |
2.82 ↓
(3) |
2.51 ↑
(2.16) |
10.6%
(10%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Náutico will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 2 head-to-head matches Itabaiana won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1 (average 0:0.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Itabaiana won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0
How many head-to-head matches has Itabaiana won against Náutico Capibaribe?
Itabaiana has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Náutico Capibaribe won against Itabaiana?
Náutico Capibaribe has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Itabaiana - Náutico Capibaribe were as follows:
Latest results of Itabaiana
Latest results of Náutico Capibaribe
Brazilian Serie C Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | SER Caxias | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 22:16 | 6 | 27 |
| 2 | Ponte Preta | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 26 |
| 3 | Londrina | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 21:12 | 9 | 23 |
| 4 | Sao Bernardo | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 14:8 | 6 | 22 |
| 5 | Ypiranga FC | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 20 |
| 6 | Nautico | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14:6 | 8 | 20 |
| 7 | Floresta EC | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 19 |
| 8 | Brusque | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 12:12 | 0 | 18 |
| 9 | CSA | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 18 |
| 10 | Ituano | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Botafogo PB | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15:11 | 4 | 16 |
| 12 | Guarani | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 10:12 | -2 | 16 |
| 13 | Figueirense | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 15:14 | 1 | 15 |
| 14 | Maringa FC | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 17:19 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 | ABC | 13 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 15:17 | -2 | 15 |
| 16 | Confianca | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14:19 | -5 | 13 |
| 17 | Anapolis | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 13 |
| 18 | Retro | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 6:15 | -9 | 12 |
| 19 | Itabaiana | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9:16 | -7 | 11 |
| 20 | Tombense | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie D
