Cianorte vs Itabirito – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D Cianorte - Itabirito
Result
3:1
19/07/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Round 13

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
154
Shots on target
123
Corner Kicks
86
Red Cards
01
Total shots
154
Shots on target
123
Shots off target
31
Corner Kicks
86
Goalkeeper Saves
29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Serginho ,
  • 33', 1 - 1, Tite ,
  • 45+3', 2 - 1, Caique ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 79', 3 - 1, Marcio Maranhao ,
  • 89', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Cianorte
50.5%
Draw
27.4%
Itabirito
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.1% 25% 22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1% 23.1% 24.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cianorte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Itabirito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cianorte than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itabirito than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • Cianorte - Itabirito Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (1.73)
    3.39
    (3.6)
    4.23
    (3.95)
    7.4%
    (10.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Cianorte - Itabirito?
  • Users Predictions: Cianorte will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 68.36%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cianorte will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 5 and 8).
    • Recent performances by Cianorte have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Itabirito's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Cianorte is the team to beat.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cianorte won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cianorte - Itabirito were as follows:
    26.04.2025 Itabirito - Cianorte 2:2
    Latest results of Cianorte
    12.07.2025 FC Cascavel - Cianorte 2:1
    14.06.2025 Cianorte - Uberlândia 3:2
    07.06.2025 Goiatuba - Cianorte 3:1
    31.05.2025 Cianorte - Goiatuba 2:3
    Latest results of Itabirito
    12.07.2025 Itabirito - Goiatuba 0:1
    06.07.2025 Itabirito - Operário MS 1:1
    07.06.2025 FC Cascavel - Itabirito 1:1
    31.05.2025 Itabirito - FC Cascavel 1:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    4ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    8ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    9PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    10CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    11Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    12CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    13AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    14EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    15Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    16Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao0 : 0, 1 : 2
    2ASAManauara0 : 0, 1 : 0
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz0 : 1, 1 : 1
    4America RNImperatriz0 : 0, 1 : 0
    5MixtoCianorte0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6Barra FCCeilandia1 : 0, 1 : 1
    7AparecidenseGoiatuba0 : 2, 3 : 2
    8Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES0 : 0, 1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1MaranhaoASA3 : 0, 1 : 0
    2Santa CruzAmerica RN1 : 1, 1 : 0
    3CianorteBarra FC0 : 1, 0 : 0
    4GoiatubaInter de Limeira0 : 1, 0 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1MaranhaoSanta Cruz0 : 0, 0 : 1
    2Barra FCInter de Limeira3 : 2, 2 : 0

    Final
    1Santa CruzBarra FC1 : 2