Result
1:4
05/02/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Mineiro - Round 6
- Referee: Candido Alves R. (Bra)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (322/396) | 78% (265/340) |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 25', Paulinho ↓, Vitinho ↑,
- 32', 0 - 1, Leo Reis ⚽,
- 37', 0 - 2, David Lucas ⚽, Serginho (A),
- 41', Caique Baiano 🟨,
- 42', 0 - 3, Jamerson J. ⚽, Leo Reis (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Yan Ferreira ↓, Fernando Neto ↑,
- 46', Serginho ↓, Bruno Menezes ↑,
- 54', David Lucas ↓, Victor Ferreira ↑,
- 60', 0 - 4, Ramon ⚽,
- 68', Norberto ↓, Anderson Paulista ↑,
- 68', Luan ↓, Jo ↑,
- 68', Leo Reis ↓, Ruan Levine ↑,
- 69', Joao Torres ↓, Jorginho ↑,
- 82', Yago Rocha ↓, Robinho ↑,
- 90+6', 1 - 4, Rodrigo Gaia (Pen),
Chances of winning
Villa Nova AC
38% | Draw
29.8% | Itabirito
32.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Villa Nova AC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Villa Nova AC's form might have worsened.Itabirito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Itabirito's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa Nova AC than the current prediction. (+8.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Villa Nova AC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Itabirito than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Itabirito, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Villa Nova AC - Itabirito Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.4 ↑
(2.03) |
3.06 ↓
(3.23) |
2.84 ↓
(3.55) |
9.6%
(8.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The competitors look crappy now.
- Villa Nova could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Villa Nova won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0
How many head-to-head matches has Villa Nova AC won against Itabirito?
Villa Nova AC has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Itabirito won against Villa Nova AC?
Itabirito has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Villa Nova AC - Itabirito were as follows:
28.01.2024
Itabirito
-
Villa Nova AC
0:2
Latest results of Villa Nova AC
Latest results of Itabirito
Draw
5th-8th placesSemi-finals| 1 | Uberlandia | Betim | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Democrata GV | Athletic Club | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Uberlandia | Athletic Club | 2 : 3, 0 : 2 |
