Villa Nova AC vs Itabirito – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro Villa Nova AC - Itabirito
Result
1:4
05/02/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Mineiro - Round 6
  • Referee: Candido Alves R. (Bra)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Goal Attempts
1118
Shots on Goal
511
Shots off Goal
45
Blocked Shots
22
Corner Kicks
410
Goalkeeper Saves
74
Offsides
00
Fouls
1419
Yellow Cards
10
Passes
81% (322/396)78% (265/340)

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 25', Paulinho , Vitinho ,
  • 32', 0 - 1, Leo Reis ,
  • 37', 0 - 2, David Lucas , Serginho (A),
  • 41', Caique Baiano 🟨,
  • 42', 0 - 3, Jamerson J. , Leo Reis (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Yan Ferreira , Fernando Neto ,
  • 46', Serginho , Bruno Menezes ,
  • 54', David Lucas , Victor Ferreira ,
  • 60', 0 - 4, Ramon ,
  • 68', Norberto , Anderson Paulista ,
  • 68', Luan , Jo ,
  • 68', Leo Reis , Ruan Levine ,
  • 69', Joao Torres , Jorginho ,
  • 82', Yago Rocha , Robinho ,
  • 90+6', 1 - 4, Rodrigo Gaia (Pen),

Chances of winning


Villa Nova AC
38%
Draw
29.8%
Itabirito
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.5% 28.5% 26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3% 28% 25.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Villa Nova AC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Villa Nova AC's form might have worsened.
  • Itabirito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Itabirito's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa Nova AC than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Villa Nova AC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Itabirito than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Itabirito, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Villa Nova AC - Itabirito Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.4
    (2.03)
    3.06
    (3.23)
    2.84
    (3.55)
    9.6%
    (8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • The competitors look crappy now.
    • Villa Nova could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Villa Nova won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Villa Nova AC - Itabirito were as follows:
    28.01.2024 Itabirito - Villa Nova AC 0:2
    Latest results of Villa Nova AC
    Latest results of Itabirito
    02.02.2025 Itabirito - Aymorés 0:0
    30.01.2025 Itabirito - Cruzeiro 1:4
    26.01.2025 Uberlândia - Itabirito 1:1
    22.01.2025 Tombense - Itabirito 1:0
    18.01.2025 Itabirito - Betim 0:1
    Draw
    5th-8th places

    Semi-finals
    1UberlandiaBetim2 : 1, 0 : 0
    2Democrata GVAthletic Club0 : 1, 0 : 0

    Final
    1UberlandiaAthletic Club2 : 3, 0 : 2