Germany U21 vs Italy U21: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Euro U21
Soccer UEFA Euro U21 Germany U21 - Italy U21
Result
3:2 ET
22/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Euro U21 - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Lukjancukas M. (Ltu)
Germany U21 - Italy U21 - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.951.15
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
2113
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
87% (590/676)78% (375/482)
Yellow Cards
19
Red Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.951.15
xG on target (xGOT)
2.051.59
Total shots
2113
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
92
Blocked Shots
57
Shots inside the Box
144
Shots outside the Box
79
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
4516
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
2115
Passes
87% (590/676)78% (375/482)
Long passes
44% (20/45)37% (27/73)
Passes in final third
81% (158/196)61% (95/155)
Crosses
24% (9/38)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
2.480.82
Throw-ins
2718
Fouls
1521
Tackles
46% (11/24)52% (12/23)
Duels won
7276
Clearances
3248
Interceptions
97
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.592.05
Goals prevented
-0.41-0.95

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 16', Pirola L. 🟨,
  • 28', Koleosho L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 58', 0 - 1, Koleosho L. ⚽,
  • 62', Tresoldi N. ↓, Weiper N. ↑,
  • 62', Gruda B. ↓, Knauff A. ↑,
  • 62', Nebel P. ↓, Rohl M. ↑,
  • 63', Gnonto W. 🟨,
  • 68', 1 - 1, Woltemade N. ⚽, Reitz R. (A),
  • 71', Koleosho L. ↓, Casadei C. ↑,
  • 81', Gnonto W. 🟨,
  • 87', 2 - 1, Weiper N. ⚽, Woltemade N. (A),
  • 88', Ndour C. ↓, Pisilli N. ↑,
  • 88', Ruggeri M. ↓, Ambrosino G. ↑,
  • 90', Zanotti M. 🟨,
  • 90', Zanotti M. 🟨,
  • 90', Prati M. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Brown N. 🟨,
  • 90+6', 2 - 2, Ambrosino G. ⚽,
  • Extra Time (1 - 0)
  • 91', Rosenfelder M. ↓, Oermann T. ↑,
  • 91', Prati M. ↓, Kayode M. ↑,
  • 100', Collins N. ↓, Baum E. ↑,
  • 102', Fabbian G. ↓, Fazzini J. ↑,
  • 102', Pirola L. ↓, Turicchia R. ↑,
  • 114', Martel E. ↓, Wanner P. ↑,
  • 117', 3 - 2, Rohl M. ⚽, Brown N. (A),
  • 120', Kayode M. 🟨,
  • 120+1', Casadei C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Germany U21
49.9%		Draw
26.3%		Italy U21
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.3% 27.8% 28.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Germany U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Germany U21's performance.
  • Italy U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Italy U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
    •

    Germany U21 - Italy U21 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.89 ↓
    (2.25)    		 3.54 ↑
    (3.51)    		 3.95 ↑
    (3.37)    		 6.6%
    (2.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Germany U21 - Italy U21?
  • Users Predictions: Germany U21 will win (24 of 29 users predict this - 82.76%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.01% – 96.51%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Germany U21 will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Germany U21 is Qualified for Euro U21 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    • Italy U21 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Germany U21 is the team to beat.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Germany U21 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.6:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Germany U21 - Italy U21 were as follows:
    19.11.2022 Italy U21 - Germany U21 2:4
    Latest results of Germany U21
    18.06.2025 England U21 - Germany U21 1:2 ✺
    15.06.2025 Czech Republic U21 - Germany U21 2:4 ✺
    12.06.2025 Germany U21 - Slovenia U21 3:0 ✺
    25.03.2025 Germany U21 - Spain U21 3:1 ✺
    21.03.2025 Slovakia U21 - Germany U21 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of Italy U21
    17.06.2025 Spain U21 - Italy U21 1:1 ✺
    14.06.2025 Slovakia U21 - Italy U21 0:1 ✺
    11.06.2025 Italy U21 - Romania U21 1:0 ✺
    24.03.2025 Italy U21 - Denmark U21 1:1
    21.03.2025 Italy U21 - Netherlands U21 1:2
    UEFA Euro U21 Table
    2027

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Finland U2100000:000
    2Spain U2100000:000
    3San Marino U2100000:000
    4Romania U2100000:000
    5Cyprus U2100000:000
    6Kosovo U2100000:000


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Scotland U2100000:000
    2Bulgaria U2100000:000
    3Portugal U2100000:000
    4Azerbaijan U2100000:000
    5Czech Republic U2100000:000
    6Gibraltar U2100000:000


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Faroe Islands U2111002:113
    2France U2100000:000
    3Luxembourg U2100000:000
    4Iceland U2100000:000
    5Switzerland U2100000:000
    6Estonia U2110011:2-10


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Moldova U2111003:033
    2Kazakhstan U2111001:013
    3Ireland U2100000:000
    4Slovakia U2100000:000
    5England U2100000:000
    6Andorra U2120020:4-40


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Italy U2100000:000
    2North Macedonia U2100000:000
    3Montenegro U2100000:000
    4Poland U2100000:000
    5Sweden U2100000:000
    6Armenia U2100000:000


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Georgia U2100000:000
    2Malta U2100000:000
    3Germany U2100000:000
    4Northern Ireland U2100000:000
    5Latvia U2100000:000
    6Greece U2100000:000


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Slovenia U2100000:000
    2Netherlands U2100000:000
    3Norway U2100000:000
    4Israel U2100000:000
    5Bosnia & Herzegovina U2100000:000


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Croatia U2100000:000
    2Hungary U2100000:000
    3Turkey U2100000:000
    4Lithuania U2100000:000
    5Ukraine U2100000:000


    Group I
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Denmark U2100000:000
    2Belgium U2100000:000
    3Austria U2100000:000
    4Belarus U2100000:000
    5Wales U2100000:000


    Ranking of second-placed teams
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bulgaria U2100000:000
    2Kazakhstan U2100000:000
    3Spain U2100000:000
    4Belgium U2100000:000
    5France U2100000:000
    6Malta U2100000:000
    7Netherlands U2100000:000
    8Hungary U2100000:000
    9North Macedonia U2100000:000

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    Which TV channels are streaming of Germany U21 - Italy U21?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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