Germany U21 vs Italy U21 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2 ET
22/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Euro U21 - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Lukjancukas M. (Ltu)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaNew World Sport 2, New World Sport App
andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
armeniaArmeniaSetanta Sports 1
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
austriaAustriaJoyn
azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 1
czech-republicCzech-republicCT sport
denmarkDenmarkTV3, Viaplay
europeEuropeSetanta Sports 1 Baltic
finlandFinlandRuutu+
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
germanyGermanyJoyn, Ran, SAT1
greeceGreeceERT 3
hungaryHungaryDuna World / M4 Sport +, M4 Sport
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
israelIsraelSport 1, Sport 4
italyItalyRAI 1, RaiPlay
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 1
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 1
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayVG+
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
portugalPortugalSport TV1
romaniaRomaniaPro Arena, Voyo
slovakiaSlovakiaSTVR Sport
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainRTVE Play
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 1
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomChannel 4
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.951.15
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
2113
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
87% (590/676)78% (375/482)
Yellow Cards
19
Red Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.951.15
xG on target (xGOT)
2.051.59
Total shots
2113
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
92
Blocked Shots
57
Shots inside the Box
144
Shots outside the Box
79
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
4516
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
2115
Passes
87% (590/676)78% (375/482)
Long passes
44% (20/45)37% (27/73)
Passes in final third
81% (158/196)61% (95/155)
Crosses
24% (9/38)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
2.480.82
Throw-ins
2718
Fouls
1521
Tackles
46% (11/24)52% (12/23)
Duels won
7276
Clearances
3248
Interceptions
97
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.592.05
Goals prevented
-0.41-0.95

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 16', Pirola L. 🟨,
  • 28', Koleosho L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 58', 0 - 1, Koleosho L. ,
  • 62', Tresoldi N. , Weiper N. ,
  • 62', Gruda B. , Knauff A. ,
  • 62', Nebel P. , Rohl M. ,
  • 63', Gnonto W. 🟨,
  • 68', 1 - 1, Woltemade N. , Reitz R. (A),
  • 71', Koleosho L. , Casadei C. ,
  • 81', Gnonto W. 🟨,
  • 87', 2 - 1, Weiper N. , Woltemade N. (A),
  • 88', Ndour C. , Pisilli N. ,
  • 88', Ruggeri M. , Ambrosino G. ,
  • 90', Zanotti M. 🟨,
  • 90', Zanotti M. 🟨,
  • 90', Prati M. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Brown N. 🟨,
  • 90+6', 2 - 2, Ambrosino G. ,
  • Extra Time (1 - 0)
  • 91', Rosenfelder M. , Oermann T. ,
  • 91', Prati M. , Kayode M. ,
  • 100', Collins N. , Baum E. ,
  • 102', Fabbian G. , Fazzini J. ,
  • 102', Pirola L. , Turicchia R. ,
  • 114', Martel E. , Wanner P. ,
  • 117', 3 - 2, Rohl M. , Brown N. (A),
  • 120', Kayode M. 🟨,
  • 120+1', Casadei C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Germany U21
49.9%
Draw
26.3%
Italy U21
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.3% 27.8% 28.9%

Germany U21 - Italy U21 Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.89
(2.25)
3.54
(3.51)
3.95
(3.37)
6.6%
(2.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Germany U21 - Italy U21?
  • Users Predictions: Germany U21 will win (24 of 29 users predict this - 82.76%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.01%96.51%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Germany U21 will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Germany U21 is Qualified for Euro U21 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    • Italy U21 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Germany U21 is the team to beat.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Germany U21 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.6:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Germany U21 - Italy U21 were as follows:
    19.11.2022 Italy U21 - Germany U21 2:4
    Latest results of Germany U21
    Latest results of Italy U21
    17.06.2025 Spain U21 - Italy U21 1:1
    14.06.2025 Slovakia U21 - Italy U21 0:1
    11.06.2025 Italy U21 - Romania U21 1:0
    24.03.2025 Italy U21 - Denmark U21 1:1
    UEFA Euro U21 Table
    2027

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Spain U21550017:21515
    2Finland U21531115:21310
    3Kosovo U21522112:398
    4Romania U2152124:407
    5Cyprus U2151045:14-93
    6San Marino U2150050:28-280


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portugal U21541021:02113
    2Czech Republic U21531110:3710
    3Scotland U21631218:71110
    4Bulgaria U2152126:607
    5Azerbaijan U2151225:14-95
    6Gibraltar U2160061:31-300


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1France U21431014:21210
    2Faroe Islands U2163036:12-69
    3Switzerland U2152217:438
    4Iceland U2152217:528
    5Luxembourg U2151136:9-34
    6Estonia U2150235:13-82


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1England U21550013:01315
    2Slovakia U21641112:9313
    3Ireland U2152125:9-47
    4Andorra U2172055:9-46
    5Moldova U2161147:12-54
    6Kazakhstan U2151133:6-34


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Poland U21660018:11718
    2Italy U21650117:51215
    3Montenegro U2163039:11-29
    4Sweden U2163038:13-59
    5North Macedonia U2161055:13-83
    6Armenia U2160063:17-140


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Greece U21550016:21415
    2Germany U21540117:41312
    3Northern Ireland U2152125:7-27
    4Georgia U2151227:705
    5Latvia U2151132:8-64
    6Malta U2150050:19-190


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Norway U2133009:099
    2Israel U2151316:7-16
    3Bosnia & Herzegovina U2141212:115
    4Netherlands U2141215:505
    5Slovenia U2140131:10-91


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Turkey U2153207:3411
    2Croatia U2143108:1710
    3Ukraine U2141127:524
    4Hungary U2140315:7-23
    5Lithuania U2150142:13-111


    Group I
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Austria U2142115:507
    2Belgium U21421110:287
    3Denmark U2142118:537
    4Belarus U2141126:514
    5Wales U2141034:16-123


    Ranking of second-placed teams
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Italy U21540112:4812
    2Croatia U2143108:1710
    3Slovakia U21531110:8210
    4Germany U21430111:479
    5Belgium U21421110:287
    6Finland U2142118:267
    7Czech Republic U2142118:267
    8Israel U2151316:7-16
    9Faroe Islands U2152034:11-76

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