Germany U21 vs Italy U21 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Euro U21 Germany U21 - Italy U21
Result
3:2 ET
22/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Euro U21 - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Lukjancukas M. (Ltu)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaNew World Sport 2, New World Sport App
andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
armeniaArmeniaSetanta Sports 1
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
austriaAustriaJoyn
azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 1
czech-republicCzech-republicCT sport
denmarkDenmarkTV3, Viaplay
europeEuropeSetanta Sports 1 Baltic
finlandFinlandRuutu+
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
germanyGermanyJoyn, Ran, SAT1
greeceGreeceERT 3
hungaryHungaryDuna World / M4 Sport +, M4 Sport
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
israelIsraelSport 1, Sport 4
italyItalyRAI 1, RaiPlay
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 1
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 1
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayVG+
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
portugalPortugalSport TV1
romaniaRomaniaPro Arena, Voyo
slovakiaSlovakiaSTVR Sport
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainRTVE Play
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 1
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomChannel 4
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.951.15
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
2113
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
87% (590/676)78% (375/482)
Yellow Cards
19
Red Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.951.15
xG on target (xGOT)
2.051.59
Total shots
2113
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
92
Blocked Shots
57
Shots inside the Box
144
Shots outside the Box
79
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
4516
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
2115
Passes
87% (590/676)78% (375/482)
Long passes
44% (20/45)37% (27/73)
Passes in final third
81% (158/196)61% (95/155)
Crosses
24% (9/38)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
2.480.82
Throw-ins
2718
Fouls
1521
Tackles
46% (11/24)52% (12/23)
Duels won
7276
Clearances
3248
Interceptions
97
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.592.05
Goals prevented
-0.41-0.95

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 16', Pirola L. 🟨,
  • 28', Koleosho L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 58', 0 - 1, Koleosho L. ,
  • 62', Tresoldi N. , Weiper N. ,
  • 62', Gruda B. , Knauff A. ,
  • 62', Nebel P. , Rohl M. ,
  • 63', Gnonto W. 🟨,
  • 68', 1 - 1, Woltemade N. , Reitz R. (A),
  • 71', Koleosho L. , Casadei C. ,
  • 81', Gnonto W. 🟨,
  • 87', 2 - 1, Weiper N. , Woltemade N. (A),
  • 88', Ndour C. , Pisilli N. ,
  • 88', Ruggeri M. , Ambrosino G. ,
  • 90', Zanotti M. 🟨,
  • 90', Zanotti M. 🟨,
  • 90', Prati M. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Brown N. 🟨,
  • 90+6', 2 - 2, Ambrosino G. ,
  • Extra Time (1 - 0)
  • 91', Rosenfelder M. , Oermann T. ,
  • 91', Prati M. , Kayode M. ,
  • 100', Collins N. , Baum E. ,
  • 102', Fabbian G. , Fazzini J. ,
  • 102', Pirola L. , Turicchia R. ,
  • 114', Martel E. , Wanner P. ,
  • 117', 3 - 2, Rohl M. , Brown N. (A),
  • 120', Kayode M. 🟨,
  • 120+1', Casadei C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Germany U21
49.9%
Draw
26.3%
Italy U21
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.3% 27.8% 28.9%

Germany U21 - Italy U21 Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.89
(2.25)
3.54
(3.51)
3.95
(3.37)
6.6%
(2.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Germany U21 - Italy U21?
  • Users Predictions: Germany U21 will win (24 of 29 users predict this - 82.76%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.01%96.51%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Germany U21 will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Germany U21 is Qualified for Euro U21 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    • Italy U21 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Germany U21 is the team to beat.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Germany U21 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.6:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Germany U21 - Italy U21 were as follows:
    19.11.2022 Italy U21 - Germany U21 2:4
    Latest results of Germany U21
    Latest results of Italy U21
    17.06.2025 Spain U21 - Italy U21 1:1
    14.06.2025 Slovakia U21 - Italy U21 0:1
    11.06.2025 Italy U21 - Romania U21 1:0
    24.03.2025 Italy U21 - Denmark U21 1:1
    UEFA Euro U21 Table
    2027

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Spain U21440015:21312
    2Finland U21430115:2139
    3Kosovo U21421112:397
    4Romania U2142114:227
    5Cyprus U2140040:14-140
    6San Marino U2140040:23-230


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portugal U21440021:02112
    2Czech Republic U21430110:379
    3Scotland U21521217:7107
    4Bulgaria U2142116:517
    5Azerbaijan U2140224:14-102
    6Gibraltar U2150051:30-290


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Faroe Islands U2153026:11-59
    2Switzerland U2142206:248
    3Iceland U2152217:528
    4France U21321013:2117
    5Estonia U2150235:13-82
    6Luxembourg U2140134:8-41


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Slovakia U21541012:5713
    2England U2144009:0912
    3Ireland U2142115:507
    4Moldova U2151046:11-53
    5Kazakhstan U2141032:5-33
    6Andorra U2161051:9-83


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Poland U21550017:11615
    2Italy U21540113:4912
    3Montenegro U2153028:719
    4Sweden U2152037:13-66
    5North Macedonia U2151045:12-73
    6Armenia U2150053:16-130


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Greece U21440012:21012
    2Germany U21430115:4119
    3Northern Ireland U2142115:327
    4Georgia U2141217:525
    5Latvia U2140131:8-71
    6Malta U2140040:18-180


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Norway U2122008:086
    2Netherlands U2131204:225
    3Bosnia & Herzegovina U2131202:025
    4Israel U2140313:6-33
    5Slovenia U2140131:10-91


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Turkey U2142205:238
    2Croatia U2132106:157
    3Ukraine U2141127:524
    4Hungary U2130305:503
    5Lithuania U2140131:11-101


    Group I
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Austria U2142115:507
    2Belgium U21421110:287
    3Denmark U2131117:524
    4Belarus U2131116:424
    5Wales U2141034:16-123


    Ranking of second-placed teams
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1England U2133008:089
    2Italy U2143018:359
    3Switzerland U2142206:248
    4Belgium U21421110:287
    5Croatia U2132106:157
    6Finland U2132018:266
    7Czech Republic U2132018:266
    8Germany U2132019:456
    9Netherlands U2131204:225

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