Result
3:3
23/03/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- EUROPE: UEFA Nations League - League A - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, Supersport Action, SuperSport MaXimo 1 |
 Albania | SuperSport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD |
 Australia | Optus Sport |
 Austria | DAZN, RTL |
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
 Belgium | DAZN 1, DAZN 2, Play Sports 1 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4 |
 Czech-republic | Sport 2 |
 Denmark | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+ |
 France | L'Equipe Live Foot |
 Georgia | Silk Sport 1 |
 Germany | RTL, RTL+ |
 Greece | Nova Sports 2 |
 Hungary | Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium |
 Iceland | Viaplay, Vodafone Sport |
 India | JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 5 |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Italy | RAI 1, RaiPlay |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | ART Motion Sport 1 |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Montenegro | Arena Premium 1 |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 3 |
 Nigeria | SuperSport Action, Supersport Maximo 1 |
 North-central-america | Csport Caribbean, ESPN Norte, RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | Arena Premium 1 |
 Norway | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Papua-new-guinea | TVWan Sports |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 2 |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Puerto-rico | Fox Sports 2 |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1, Nova Sport |
 South-africa | Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 3 |
 South-america | ESPN South, ViX Latin America |
 South-korea | SPOTV Prime+ |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, RSI La 2, RTL, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF 2, SRF 2, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Taiwan | ELTA Sports 1 |
 Turkey | Exxen |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2 |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Sport 24 International |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fox Sports 1, Fox Sports 2, Foxsports.com, Sport 24 At Sea |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
 Vietnam | TV 360 |
 World | Disney+, VIX App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.24 | 1.35 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 22 | 9 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 28 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (489/550) | 84% (346/414) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 84% (144/171) | 69% (56/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 41% (7/17) | 29% (4/14) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 60% (9/15) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 19 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 21', Gatti F. 🟨,
- 22', Stiller A. 🟨,
- 29', Buongiorno A. 🟨,
- 30', 1 - 0, Kimmich J. (Pen),
- 36', 2 - 0, Musiala J. ⚽, Kimmich J. (A),
- 45', 3 - 0, Kleindienst T. ⚽, Kimmich J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Gatti F. ↓, Politano M. ↑,
- 46', Maldini D. ↓, Frattesi D. ↑,
- 49', 3 - 1, Kean M. ⚽,
- 63', Goretzka L. ↓, Amiri N. ↑,
- 63', Sane L. ↓, Adeyemi K. ↑,
- 63', Stiller A. ↓, Gross P. ↑,
- 68', Adeyemi K. 🟨,
- 68', Tonali S. ↓, Raspadori G. ↑,
- 69', 3 - 2, Kean M. ⚽, Raspadori G. (A),
- 77', Musiala J. ↓, Andrich R. ↑,
- 77', Rudiger A. ↓, Bisseck Y. ↑,
- 79', Bastoni A. 🟨,
- 79', Kleindienst T. 🟨,
- 85', Kean M. ↓, Lucca L. ↑,
- 85', Ricci S. ↓, Zaccagni M. ↑,
- 90+5', 3 - 3, Raspadori G. (Pen),
- 90+9', Barella N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Germany
51.6% | Draw
25.3% | Italy
23% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Germany has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Italy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
Germany - Italy Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.86 ↑
(1.69) |
3.79 ↑
(3.33) |
4.2 ↑
(4.18) |
3.9%
(13.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Watch this match and UEFA Nations League with fubo (for US customers) Network on : FS2
What is the prediction for Germany - Italy?
Users Predictions:
59 users predict this event. Germany will win (votes: 45 - 76.3%). Italy will win (votes: 7 - 11.9%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 11.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Germany: 65.4% – 87.2%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-1.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Germany won 3.
- In this match Germany is a favorite.
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Germany won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16:9 (average 2:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Germany won against Italy?
Germany has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Italy won against Germany?
Italy has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Germany - Italy were as follows:
20.03.2025
Italy
-
Germany
1:2
Latest results of Germany
Draw
League A - Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Italy | Germany | 3 : 3, 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Denmark | Portugal | 2 : 5, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Netherlands | Spain | 3 : 4, 2 : 2 |
| 4 | Croatia | France | 0 : 3, 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Germany | Portugal | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Spain | France | 5 : 4 |
Final3rd place
